Daily Archives: May 11, 2010

More signs today that big pharma is looking to expand its reach in emerging markets: GlaxoSmithKline is taking a 9.9 per cent stake in South Korea’s Dong-A Pharmaceutical, while Abbott Labs is licensing drugs from Zydus Cadila, an Indian group, to sell in developing countries including Brazil, Russia and Mexico.

On first glance the Baltics would appear an unlikely setting for a roaring petro-economy. But the hotels of Tallin may soon be busy with international energy investors.

Estonia’s national energy company has lined up advisors for a UK stock market listing in what would be the biggest foreign privatisation on the London market in three years. The Estonian cabinet is expected to decide this week on whether to sell around a quarter of the state-owned Eesti Energia into the public markets for between €400-€500m.

Latin American stocks and currencies were mostly lower on Tuesday as fears that China may be overheating and ongoing concerns over European debt pushed investors away from extending Monday’s rally.

“This is a reflection of a reduction of risk in asset exposure rather than any endogenous risk in the emerging markets,” said Michael Roche, a global emerging markets analyst at MF Global.

Taken strictly at face value, América Móvil‘s tender offer today for Carso Global Telecom and Telmex Internacional might appear to some as a lot of paperwork for relatively little gain.

The EU and IMF’s massive €110bn EU bailout for Greece will fail. This is the stark view of Argentine President Cristina Fernández, whose country had the dubious distinction of crashing into the world’s biggest debt default in 2001, on nearly $100bn.

Speaking at an event on Monday night to refinance debt for Argentina’s provinces, which are mired debt, Fernández said the Greek rescue plan repeated “the same recipes that they applied to us and that provoked (what happened in) 2001″.

The FT has the reputation as a heavyweight among newspapers, even a superheavyweight, especially when all the supplements and special reports are considered. But here, for the benefit of beyondbrics readers, is conclusive proof that it weighs nothing at all. Indeed, less than nothing.

Spain’s Telefónica must have thought it was making an offer Portugal Telecom could not refuse: €5.7bn for its stake in Vivo, Brazil’s biggest mobile operator, of which the Spanish and Portuguese companies have shared control. That is a lot more than the €3bn-plus offer Telefónica made in 2007 and represents a premium of more than 150 per cent to the current value of the controlling shares. But it was still not enough.

Action is heating up around the potential sale of Poland’s fifth-largest bank, Bank Zachodni WBK. The bank is being put on the block by its troubled owner, Allied Irish Banks, which is looking to offload its foreign affiliates in an effort to raise capital. And now potential buyers are coming out of the woodwork. 

When the price of pan-India spectrum in the country’s ongoing auction of airwaves for third generation mobile networks reached $1.9bn last month, analysts were already describing the bidding as moving beyond “rational” levels. Kunal Bajaj, director for India at Analysys Mason, a consultancy, said bidding at that time was by one measure already more than double the high end of international benchmarks.

Few would have imagined that nearly two weeks later, the bidding would still be continuing, this week hitting $3bn. And there is yet another auction to come – the sale of broadband wireless access spectrum, which will kick off after the 3G process ends.

Russia is not planning to introduce Brazilian-style capital controls or tax short-term inflows, as suggested by the Interational Monetary Fund, says Igor Shuvalov, first deputy prime minister. But it is looking at slowing flows of “hot” money into the country through increasing banks’ reserve requirements on short-term inflows.

Turkey may be an aspirant to European Union membership, but it has no wish to be associated with the bloc’s current economic convulsions.

As the European Central Bank threw its weight behind the eurozone rescue package, Ali Babacan, Turkish economy minister, was announcing details of a long-awaited fiscal rule, no doubt hoping to convince markets that Turkey’s management of public finances will bear no relation to that of its Mediterranean neighbours.

Yesterday our Brazil correspondent Jonathan Wheatley posted here on his interview with Brazil’s finance minister Guido Mantega. Here’s the full video interview:

If there’s one word to describe the International Monetary Fund’s outlook on Russia it is cautious, cautious, cautious.

In Moscow to present the organisation’s biannual report on Europe, IMF representatives praised Russia’s fiscal stability against the backdrop of the continent’s sovereign problems, noting the country’s large stockpile of reserves and low level of government debt. But for all its praise of the Russian government’s response, the IMF was quick to note these compliments only applied to the short-term.

For a region that is closely related by culture, religion, language and economic structure, the Arab Gulf is remarkably disconnected logistically.

Roads criss-cross the sandy dunes of the Arabian peninsula, but experts say they are hopelessly insufficient and a major hindrance to internal trade among the six Gulf Cooperation Council countries. Saudi Arabia is the only country to have any sign of a railway system.

But this situation looks to be changing as Abu Dhabi’s newly established Union Railway announces plans to spend about $11bn on a 1,5000km railway across the United Arab Emirates and will start the bidding process for investment in the next two months, as Dow Jones reported today.

The €750bn rescue of the eurozone orchestrated by EU leaders is being greeted with relief in Warsaw even though the country does not use the euro. The steep rebound in markets after last week’s panic is calming anxiety around tomorrow’s initial public offering of PZU, central Europe’s largest insurer.

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54.46 Rupees to the dollar on Wednesday, an all-time low for India's currency.

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