Daily Archives: July 7, 2010

Mexico's IPC indexLatin American stocks followed global markets in a rally on Wednesday as fears over the eurozone’s banks eased and State Street forecast better-than-expected earnings.

“Throughout the last month you’ve seen a big tug of war between bulls and bears in global markets”, said Ed Kuczma, equity analyst at Van Eck Global. “Today, you saw a lot of sellers staying to the sidelines and byuers looking to pick up blue-chip names at cheaper valuations.” Continue reading »

Ringed with snow-capped mountains that look like they are straight off a chocolate box, the Chilean capital, Santiago, has a magnificent setting – and nightmare traffic.

In a bid to improve the lot of weary commuters, the government of former President Michelle Bachelet introduced an integrated bus and metro system, Transantiago, in 2007. An inheritance from the previous government, it was launched before the kinks had been ironed out, and consequently proved a PR, not to mention transport, disaster.

Despite sparkling big white “bendy” buses, the public hated the fact that many of their old routes were changed, complicating rather than easing their journeys. The launch was fraught with problems and the episode gave Ms Bachelet a serious mauling.

Three years on, the public are as disenchanted with Transantiago as ever. Ask locals what they think of the service and they roll their eyes and sigh. Continue reading »

By Paul Betts

Vivo storeYou can understand Cesar Alierta, Telefónica’s chief executive, if he feels he is due a break in Brazil. It is a country long regarded as one of the Spanish operator’s most attractive territories but which in recent times has been the source of a series of unwelcome problems.

Telefónica’s position across Latin America has underpinned the Spanish group’s with the financial markets during the past decade or so. Of all Europe’s big telecoms groups, Telefónica is seen to have executed its expansion into high-growth economies with the greatest competence and with returns to match, capitalising on its cultural compatibility with the Latin American region.

However, last week’s bombshell was the latest blow to Mr Alierta’s strategy there, courtesy of the Portuguese government’s use of a golden share to block what was shaping up to be a successful, if pricey, conclusion to Telefónica’s bid for its partner Portugal Telecom’s stake in leading Brazilian mobile operator Vivo. Continue reading »

Hisham El-Khazindar of Citadel CapitalWhat’s next for South Africa after the euphoria of the World Cup, which has helped to turn global attention to the emerging market, wears off? Behind the glitter of the World Cup marquis are some fundamental issues that the country still needs to address, as some analysts have cautioned. One of them, Mark Mobius, chief executive of Templeton Asset Management, told Bloomberg today that the government should sell its state-owned enterprises to improve efficiency, particularly in the power and utility sectors where shortcomings have resulted in frequent power outages.

But some of South Africa’s fundamentals are strong. It has rebounded from last year’s slump much faster than most developed countries and its growth, along with sub-Saharan Africa, is forecast by IMF to be 4.7 per cent this year and 6 per cent by 2011. So what opportunities does the region hold for global investors as it seeks to capitalise on the buzz created by soccer fans? What changes does it need to make to compete with heavy-hitting Bric countries? Next Monday Hisham El-Khazindar of Citadel Capital, Africa’s biggest private equity company, will address questions live on the FT’s Market Q&A. You can submit your own questions by following the link here to the FT’s Markets page.

Margaret Thatcher, certainly. Also Tony Blair and current British prime minister David Cameron. But who else should a soon-to-be Latin American president call on while in London? Why grammy award winner, Shakira, in town for a concert, of course.

Juan Manuel Santos – president-elect of Colombia but a man not known for his common touch – is on a working holiday in Europe before taking up his post in August. It’s not just about glad-handing, though. The 58-year old former defence and finance minister is on an earnest mission to project Colombia’s image abroad. Continue reading »

By Ivana Kottasová and Neil Dennis

Russian consumer confidence rose to the most in almost two years in the second quarter, and the Russian benchmark RTS index closed 0.2 per cent higher at 1,354.68 as markets in the central and eastern European region also reacted to a stronger open on Wall Street and a pick up in risk appetite. Continue reading »

Minutes from the Hungarian central bank’s June meeting, released on Wednesday, made uncomfortable reading for the government, which wants to impose a controversial HUF 200bn ($855m) tax on financial institutions.

As scheduled budget talks between ministers and International Monetary Fund continued in Budapest, the central bank — whose relations with the new government are somewhat strained at the moment — tossed a verbal stun-grenade into the proceedings. Continue reading »

HSBC’s latest quarterly comment on the state of emerging market economies is reassuring reading. Perhaps overly so.

In a report published today, Stephen King, group chief economist, says the bank’s index of economic indicators fell in the second quarter to 55.8 per cent to 57.4. This the first drop since the recovery started last year – but one that still leaves the index comfortably in positive territory, well above the neutral level of 50.

King sees the current slow down in growth as “a bump in the road” towards “emerging market outperformance in the years ahead”. While the developed nations are stuck in “economic uncertainties”, there are “encouraging signs” that the emerging economies can sustain their recoveries without much help from developed countries.

However, this is not the whole story. Continue reading »

The first external default by a Russian bank since the country’s 1998 crisis immediately evokes terrible memories of financial chaos.

But the failure of Mezhprombank to repay a €200m eurobond on Tuesday should not scare the wider financial world. While Russian stocks, headed by banks, fell sharply on the news, it is clear Mezhprombank is a unique bank in a unique position. Continue reading »

In the land of sticky red tape and terminal delays in infrastructure projects, the story of New Delhi’s new airport almost seemed too good to be true. Just 37 months from the groundbreaking, the gleaming new facility, built by a private consortium led by Hyderabad-based developer GMR, was ready for take-off.

But not quite. This week, after the high-spirited celebration to inaugurate new India’s newest showpiece, airport authorities announced that the migration of international air carriers to the new terminal would be delayed by two weeks – from July 14 to July 28 – to give more time for testing. Continue reading »

By Hanna Gezelius and Mintoi Chessa-Florea of mergermarket

A takeover offer by South Africa-based Aspen Pharmacare Holdings for Australian Sigma Pharmaceuticals for A$0.55 per share, which amounts to A$647m, (€435m) highlights two main recurrent themes that are being weaved in the current healthcare sector: the attractiveness of emerging markets – and the sudden wave of bids for generic manufacturers and distributors.

The bid is revised from a lower bid of A$0.60 per share in May after a more insightful due diligence process which may have revealed further cracks in the balance sheet. Continue reading »

Serbia’s central bank governor is about to change, but the pressures the new man faces are likely to get even tougher.

Dejan Soskic, nominated on Tuesday to take over the helm of the National Bank of Serbia (NBS), has promised to make his own, sound decisions on monetary policy, rather than yielding to entrenched business interests or populist political whims. “I believe that I can resist different influences. Otherwise, I would not accept being a candidate,” he said.

But in Serbia, that’s easier said than done. Continue reading »

Asian markets were mainly down on Wednesday, save for the notoriously underperforming Shanghai composite, where the index was boosted by manufacturing shares.  After weeks of tight liquidity in Chinese markets, pressure was eased after Agriculture Bank of China priced its Shanghai and Hong Kong initial public offerings at top and mid of the range respectively. The bank will exercise the greenshoe option, Reuters reported this morning, making it the world’s largest IPO to date at $22.1bn.

With Wall Street down on negative service sector data on Tuesday, investors elsewhere in Asia are waiting to take a cue from Chinese data out next week. Continue reading »

*BP chief Hayward meets Middle East investors
*Battle for Parkway heats up as Malaysia’s wealth fund seeks capital
*Pugachyov’s IIB is first Russian bank to renege on foreign debt since 1999
*Estonia June inflation accelerates at fastest pace in 17 mnths
*Heritage gets permission for Ugandan asset sale
*AgBank on course for record $22.1bn IPO
*ICBC may raise 6.6 billion dollars in rights issue
*China plans new resource tax in western areas
*Chinese bank loans fall sharply in June
*Dow to carry on with India plans
*Call for heat allowances for Chinese workers
*Korean credit card competition expected to lower fees
*India needs contingency plan to control inflation, says Jalan
*Qatar Telecom seeks more deals despite debt
*Disney to expand language schools in China
*Markets lower

Continue reading »

Plastic seems to increasingly be middle class India’s best friend. But on Monday, credit card companies took a knock as the country-wide strike meant that many Indians were trapped indoors.

Research carried out by Venture Infotek, a card processing company which handles back office operations for several banks, showed that credit card transactions across India fell by 40 per cent with worst affected cities such as Mumbai and Kolkata seeing an 80 per cent drop. Delhi however only saw an 8 per cent fall, while life carried on as normal in Chennai. Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

46 Number of Chinese cities out of 70 that saw a house price fall in April, the worst number since the new tracking system began.

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