Daily Archives: July 12, 2010

It’s no secret that over the last decade Brazil has benefited from a boom in demand for commodities, most notably from China. More recently, robust trade with Asia has helped allow Brazil to bounce back quickly from recession, while other countries, more closely linked to the troubled economies of the developed world, have lagged behind.

But some are beginning to wonder if the country is becoming too dependent on exporting basic goods. In the first half of this year, sales of raw materials ($38.69bn) accounted for 43.4 per cent of total exports, up from 22.8 per cent ($5.96bn) in the same period in 2000. Conversely, sales of industrial goods (including semi-manufactured goods) of $48.51bn were just 54.4 per cent of the total, while they formed 74.4 per cent ($19.46bn) ten years ago. Continue reading »

Vale share price chartLower commodities prices weighed on Latin American markets on Monday as the latest trade data out of China showed reduced copper and iron imports.

“While the near-term outlook for iron ore producers is challenging, shares seem to be pricing in a sharp drop in demand already”, wrote Leonardo Correa, Renato Antunes and Christopher LaFemina, equities analysts with Barclays Capital, in a note about the Latin American metals and mining sector. Continue reading »

By Gregory Meyer in New York

Wheat field in CaliforniaChina’s growing appetite for meat and capacity to weave textiles have been a huge boon for American farmers, who are shipping record volumes of soyabeans, cotton and other crops there this year.

That’s not good enough for US politicians. The Senate finance committee has called for an investigation into whether China unfairly keeps out other US agricultural exports, notably beef and wheat. The committee chairman is Max Baucus of the state of Montana (human pop. 1m; cattle pop. 2.6m) Continue reading »

Last week, I moderated a panel on multinationals in emerging markets for the London Business School’s Global Leadership Summit. Four prominent business leaders–Paul Bulcke, CEO Nestlé; Anshu Jain, who runs Deutsche Bank’s investment banking business; Vittorio Colao, the CEO of Vodafone; and John Connolly, the global chairman of Deloitte shared their insights on several topics, including which multinationals (other than their own) they most admired for their success in emerging markets.

People often use the term “emerging markets” as a catch all phrase implying that all countries within this category are broadly similar to one another. In reality, of course, the differences between India and China or Brazil and Russia dwarf their similarities. The heterogeneity of emerging markets raises questions for companies seeking to invest in these countries: How should we prioritize investments across emerging markets? How do we differentiate a more attractive market from a less attractive one? What criteria should we use in evaluating and comparing different markets? Continue reading »

When Diego Hernández, the copper industry’s “man of the year”, moved two months ago from BHP Billiton, the international mining group, to the presidency of Chile’s Codelco, there was a lot of talk he would have trouble handling its powerful unions after suggestions that the newly-elected conservative government could sell off a chunk of the state-run company. Continue reading »

On the same day that PetroChina says that it’s open to ‘closer ties’ with BP, there are calls from within India for the local energy giant to put its name in the hat for a potential takeover. But could an Indian or a Chinese company really step in at BP? Continue reading »

Equity markets in central and eastern Europe were mixed today are traders awaited the start of US earnings season, which kicks off with Alcoa tonight. Local factors also came into play, with Romania’s disappointing debt auction weighing on the stock market in Bucharest, and on the leu.

Further bond issues this week in Turkey, Hungary and Poland are all likely to be closely watched. Continue reading »

With temperatures soaring above 30 degrees in Moscow, streetside vats selling kvas, the traditional Russian drink made out of rye, yeast, beet sugar and stale bread, are sprouting as fast as mushrooms after the rain.

Despite ubiquitous sales of western soft drinks like Coca Cola and Pepsi, nothing, it seems, can reduce Russians’ taste for the fermented soft drink with the peculiar malt taste during the summer. As Russian newspaper Moskovsky Komsomolets writes this month, like “marinated watermelons” pickled in the heat, Muscovites have only one joy: “a cool and bracing keg of kvas”. Continue reading »

By Leslie Hook in Hong Kong

China has joined the chorus of countries clamoring for higher resources taxes, with an announcement last week that a value-based tax on oil, gas and coal extractions could be levied across the country. Continue reading »

The faceless capitalists of Wall Street have long considered Venezuela a “sell” – the oil producing country’s foreign currency bonds are considered almost twice as risky as Greece’s. But might even Cuba’s revolutionary gerontocracy now believe the same?

For those who like to look at the world through the lens of financial conspiracies, that’s one tentative reading of why Cuba pledged last week to release 52 political prisoners. Yes, the issue was attracting unwelcome international attention. But it is also true that throughout its history, Cuba has been a master at playing its geo-strategic cards. Continue reading »

Apparently the global financial landscape looks very different from Beijing than it does from most of the rest of the world.

In a challenge to what it called the “irrational” international rating system, Dagong Global Credit Rating, China’s first official credit rating agency, has released what it claims is the world’s first “non-western” assessment of sovereign credit and risk. Continue reading »

India’s industrial output has been growing at a blistering pace double digit pace since October, fuelled by robust demand for automobiles, inventory build-up and an upturn in the capital investment cycle.

But the pace of industrial expansion slowed sharply in May, rising 11.5 per cent year on year, down from a 16.5 per cent year on year increase in April, catching many economists off-guard. Continue reading »

Emerging equity markets in Asia were broadly higher on Monday, cashing in on a strong finish to Wall Street on Friday. Some of the region’s currencies, however, were hit by trade data from China that showed in spite of stronger-than-expected exports in June, domestic demand slowed.

There were also nerves ahead of the start of second-quarter corporate reporting in the US this week and the results of stress tests for European banks later in the month. Continue reading »

By Thomas Williams of mergermarket

The sale by Hong Kong Stock-listed Jinheng Automotive Safety Technology (JAST) of its airbag division to Chinese electrical parts and suspension supplier Wonder Auto Technology could be another indication of a further diversification and specialization in the Chinese automotive market.

At Rmb146m ($21.6m) the deal price is at a premium of almost 37 times the revenue the division, known as Jinheng (BVI), brought in last year. Continue reading »

* China: property news cheers markets
* Chinese union targets investment banks
* PetroChina open to closer ties with BP
* Nissan Motor evaluates China’s Baosteel as global supplier
* India’s industrial production growth slows to 11.5%
* Putin tells Aeroflot to buy Russian planes
* Volkswagen’s first-half China sales rise 46%
* IMF warns on emerging market currency controls
* G20 looks to Beijing to drive global growth
* India’s Reliance Life Insurance plans to list shares
* Tata Motors, JLR to share skills for engine, vehicle development
* China confirms renewal of Google’s China licence
* Markets upbeat Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

46 Number of Chinese cities out of 70 that saw a house price fall in April, the worst number since the new tracking system began.

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