Daily Archives: July 15, 2010

Mexican peso against US dollarLatin American markets struggled on Thursday amid renewed fears over global growth. Stocks finished the session slightly higher, though Brazil’s commodity producers fell on signs China’s economy is cooling off. Mexico’s peso slipped against the dollar, while Brazil’s real was flat and the Chilean and Colombian pesos strengthened.

“If US growth concerns remain in play, we believe the peso will continue to be hurt disproportionately within [emerging markets]”, wrote Win Thin, senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman. “While [emerging market] currencies have been doing well so far in Q3, rising concerns about US and China growth could lead to a bout of profit-taking.” Continue reading »

By Andrew Downie in São Paulo

On the dance floor, the beach and the football field Brazilians are known as creative creatures. But a new report suggests they are not as innovative when it comes to business.

The fault lies in the lack of qualified engineers, according to the study carried out by the Institute of Industrial Development Studies (IEDI). Continue reading »

Barack Obama’s trip this November won’t be the first US presidential visit to India, but it’s already posing fresh dilemmas. How, embassy aides are asking, can Obama impress the new India – while also being impressed by it? Continue reading »

By Geoffrey Dennis of Citigroup

Emerging markets should rebound strongly in the second half of 2010 as current fears of a ‘double-dip’ of the global economy gradually fade and the EU fiscal crisis stays mainly in the background.

Citi’s forecast is for 20-25 per cent returns in the MSCI GEMs index by year-end, with most of the gains concentrated in the fourth quarter. Continue reading »

Central and east European stock indices were hit by relative gloom on Thursday, as poor manufacturing data from the US and reduced growth news from China lowered expectations of a speedy global recovery.

In Russia, the MICEX fell 1.35 per cent to 1,340.20, and the RTS was down 1.33 per cent at 9,207.95.

Turkey’s ISE 100 dropped 1.05 per cent to 57,689.93. In Hungary, the Budapest index was down 0.31 per cent to 22,838.19. Continue reading »

The real surprise in Wednesday’s Mexican cabinet reshuffle was not the resignation of Fernando Gómez Mont, the country’s most prominent minister, but rather his replacement by José Francisco Blake Mora.

Who? To describe Blake Mora as a relative unknown on Mexico’s political stage would be to do the man a favour. But his impact of his appointment on policy – including economic reform – may be greater than his ultra-low-profile would suggest. Continue reading »

Anthony Bolton, the fabled British stockpicker, is staking his reputation on a £460m ($702m) bet that the Chinese economy is shifting away from exports and towards domestic consumption. In a video interview with the FT’s Robert Cookson, Bolton explains why, and how.

Related reading:
Bolton bets on Chinese domestic consumption – FT

By Hafsa Kara of mergermarket.com

Asia’s biggest telecoms company is getting stuck into the African market. NTT, a Japanese company, will buy South Africa’s Dimension Data for GBP £2.1bn.

Both parties agreed to the terms of the deal under which Dimension Data’s shareholders will receive 120p in cash. That represents a premium of around 18% on the closing price of 101.6 per Dimension share over the last six months. Continue reading »

You have to feel sorry for Jennifer Lopez. No, seriously. At least a bit. For she has wandered into the minefields of Turkish politics, highlighting – in the most graceful possible way – traps that can also ensnare the foreign investor. Continue reading »

Sebastian Vladescu, Romania’s finance minister, dropped a bombshell this week when he told newspaper Ziarul Financiar that the country would have to abandon its 16 per cent flat-rate of tax from 2011 in favour of a progressive system.

Emil Boc, prime minister, responded by giving Vladescu a very public dressing down, forbidding cabinet members to go public on issues that had not been discussed by the government. But this won’t be the last word on the subject in Romania – or elsewhere in central and eastern Europe. Continue reading »

One thing seemed certain in 2010: China would overtake Japan as the world’s second-biggest economy.

But that is no longer so clear, with Chinese economic growth slowing sharply and the Yen unexpectedly strong. Continue reading »

For sale: One global chipmaker. Number 2 in the world. Strong earnings. Low price tag.

Finding a buyer for a company with such credentials must be a piece of cake, right? Yet somehow, for South Korea’s Hynix Semiconductor, it’s proving to be a mission impossible. Continue reading »

Luxury cars are back on (some) Gulf Arab shopping lists.

BMW sales in the region increased 13 per cent during the first half of the year. The group reported gains in nearly all of the Middle East’s 14 markets, particularly in Abu Dhabi, the ambitious, oil-rich capital of the United Arab Emirates. Continue reading »

Japan’s upgrading of Indonesian debt to investment grade this week – the first time since the Asian crisis of the late 1990s – is lifting hope that other ratings agencies will soon follow suit.

The Credit Rating Agency in Japan, Indonesia’s top long-term foreign investor, allocated a ‘BBB-’ to government debt, up from ‘BB+’, citing solid economic growth, political stability and tight fiscal policy. Continue reading »

* China economy shows signs of cooling
* AgBank in muted Shanghai debut
* India picks symbol to rival the €£¥$
* NTT in $3.2bn deal to buy South Africa’s Dimension Data
* China surpasses India for outsourcing Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

46 Number of Chinese cities out of 70 that saw a house price fall in April, the worst number since the new tracking system began.

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