Daily Archives: August 11, 2010

By Ronald Buchanan in Mexico City

As the debate continues on deep-water drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, nobody mentions the country that gave the gulf its name.

Mexico plans to drill a well 2,600 metres deep in its part of the gulf. That’s more than twice as deep as Pemex, the state oil company, has ever drilled before, and shows how much pressure the company is under to develop deep-water reserves.

Pemex generates a third of the government’s revenues, but its production has slid as huge oil finds of the 1970s are exhausted. Continue reading »

Brazil's BovespaLatin American stocks fell again today as investors fretted over the deteriorating outlook for economic growth. Weak Chinese data, along with yesterday’s gloomy forecast from the Fed sparked a flight from risk and into perceived havens.

“Whenever there’s a sign of a slowdown in China, people sell off commodities stocks. It’s exaggerated”,  Guilherme Reboucas of Itaú Unibanco told Bloomberg. Continue reading »

Portfolio flows have been sloshing in and out of Brazilian equities this year in a manner fit to churn the strongest stomachs. But in the real world of mergers and acquisitions, investors are committing more long-term money to Brazil than ever before.

Figures published today by Dealogic, which tracks M&A and other markets, show deals announced so far this year are worth $65.4bn, the highest level ever and double the figure in the same period last year of $32.9bn.

Cross-border M&A amounted to $40.8bn year to date – up from just $5.1bn last year. Continue reading »

Growing concern amongst Asian central bank governors about capital inflows, which have seen a number of countries embrace once-dreaded capital controls, appears to be spreading to Latin America. Chile’s unflappable central bank governor, José De Gregorio, today expressed his concern about the growing number of foreign investors piling money into emerging markets. He says it is time to keep an eye on capital inflows. Continue reading »

Brazil is gradually changing its image of parties and palm trees. Yet one idea is sticking: that Brazilians – as supposed fun-lovers – would rather spend than save. The country has a savings rate of around 15 per cent of GDP, the lowest of Latin America’s emerging markets.

So Capital Economics implores, in a note published today, that “the over-riding priority for Brazil’s new president must be to raise the level of domestic savings”, especially by ensuring more state revenue goes on investment.

That would means sharp reductions in pensions – unless a foreign source of investment can be found instead. Continue reading »

By Max Gonzales, Adriana Curiel and Priscilla Murphy of mergermarket

Workers offer various services to passers-by in Mexico CityMexican unemployment is falling slowly, but still above its pre-crisis levels – so is it a good time to invest in an unemployment website?

Seek, Australia’s largest employment website, thinks so, and has bought a 40 per cent stake in its Mexican counterpart, Online Career Center, for $40m in a deal announced today. Continue reading »

Central and eastern European equities continued to retreat from their early August peaks, as investors showed caution about riskier markets. Financial and energy stocks again led losses, after slowing Chinese growth data weakened commodities prices. Continue reading »

By Simon Mundy in Johannesburg

It’s striking season again in South Africa. Yesterday most of the country’s 1.3m civil servants stayed away from work (pictured) to demand an 8.6 per cent wage increase – a possible precursor to a lengthy general strike, some worry.

Today up to 31,000 automotive workers followed suit, according to the National Union of Metalworkers (Numsa), which is representing them and calling for a 15 per cent salary rise. Continue reading »

What’s the best way to promote Moscow as an international financial centre? According to Russia’s economic development ministry, the Kremlin should remember what it’s good at. Soviet propaganda, for instance.

The ministry has put together a new proposal for how Russia should improve foreign investors’ perception of the country’s business climate.

Nice idea, but the execution is another reminder why the Kremlin’s financial-centre efforts leave more investors rolling their eyes than applauding. Continue reading »

The most recent Chinese economic data seem to paint a grim picture for oil. Demand for oil in July fell five per cent from the previous month, and is up just two per cent year on year, according to Deutsche Bank. That’s the slowest growth rate since January 2009, and oil prices have fallen below $80 since the news.

But China’s oil demand isn’t quite as weak as those numbers alone suggest, analysts and economists say. Continue reading »

By Christian Oliver and Song Jung-a in Seoul

South Korea isn’t China. Google will probably have nothing to worry about after a raid by the Seoul police.

Having a visit from the boys in grey is not as bad or as unusual as it sounds. While the cases involving foreign companies are often interesting they tend to result in minor fines or slapped wrists, rather than jail terms and nationwide scandal. Continue reading »

* China shows further signs of slowing

* Venezuela renews ties with Colombia

* Setback for BlackBerry in India

* Turkish fiscal rule reform delay raises concerns -S&P

* Everbright Bank said to price IPO at top of range

Continue reading »

Renewed fears over the strength of global growth pulled Asian stocks down on Wednesday, with tech exporters in South Korea and Taiwan falling strongly as trading volumes rose.

The Taiwanese Taiex fell 1 per cent to 7,895.03. Hon Hai Precision and HTC Corp both lost over 2 per cent, while laptop-maker Acer lost over 4 per cent after its July sales fell by 38 per cent. Shares in all three companies have advanced significantly since early July. Continue reading »

By Mark Mobius of Templeton Emerging Markets Group

Why is Turkey so compelling an investment destination right now? Today Turkey’s macro fundamentals remain strong and there is a marked decoupling from Eastern European peers who now have serious debt sustainability and banking sector issues.

As a result of comprehensive structure reforms in 2001, Turkey now benefits from a domestic consumption-driven economy, sound fiscal outlook (low government and private debt), solid banking system, secular disinflation trend and favourable demographics. Continue reading »

Toyota confirmed on Wednesday that it had suspended all automobile shipments to the country in June after scaling them back since 2008. The Japanese carmaker, whose Land Cruiser 4×4 is popular among those few Iranians who can afford to buy a heavily taxed foreign vehicle, said its decision reflected “the international situation including sanctions by the US and the UN”.

Toyota is not the only Asian manufacturer to be spooked by harsher scrutiny of trade with the atomically ambitious state. Some South Korean steel manufacturers and motor groups, including Hyundai, have also reportedly halted exports. Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

46 Number of Chinese cities out of 70 that saw a house price fall in April, the worst number since the new tracking system began.

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