Daily Archives: August 16, 2010

View of the port in Rio de JaneiroMany saw Brazil’s quick bounce back from the global recession as proof of its relative isolation from swings in the economies of its trading partners, including China. Imports and exports total less than 20% of the country’s GDP, the reasoning goes, so Brazil should be fine if things slow down elsewhere.

But in a note titled “Brazil’s China connection”, Nomura argues this resilience is usually overstated, due primarily to another, less obvious, factor in the Brazilian economy: the low savings rate. Continue reading »

Brazilian real versus US dollarLatin American markets gained today as rising metals prices boosted miners and Brazil’s central bank chief said he saw a “consistent” decline in interest rates.

Currencies strengthened as the dollar extended losses after a US Treasury report showed  that China was again a net seller of Treasury bonds, leading to a net  outflow of capital from the US. Chile’s peso hit its strongest level in seven months in early trading on higher prices for copper, Chile’s major export, and rising expectations that the central bank will continue to raise interest rates. Continue reading »

By Paul J Davies in London

Vedanta’s offer to buy a majority stake in Cairn India, which is listed in Mumbai, has thrown up questions about shareholder rights in India that should interest anyone involved in the country’s stock market.

UK-listed Cairn Energy, which is looking to sell most of its controlling stake in Cairn India, has been offered Rs405 per share for it by Vedanta. Cairn India’s minority shareholders, however, have been offered Rs355. This is perfectly legal, but if the difference looks unfair, that’s basically because it is. Continue reading »

Over the next two weeks, beyondbrics will be taking a closer look at the rise of the emerging market consumer.

We’ll be looking across countries and continents, sectors and demographics, at the local affects of rising incomes. We’ll also explore the wider implications for the investment community, and for global businesses – whether they sell wrinkle creams, smartphones, or plane tickets.

Why? The rationale is simple: the shifting wealth of the world – to the south and the east – represents the biggest historical change in how the world consumes. And the numbers are startling. Continue reading »

Central and eastern European stock indices ended broadly positive on Monday, despite Japan’s poor growth data weighing on global sentiment.

Russia’s Micex index lost over 1 per cent in early trading, with oil and gas stocks worst hit, but recovered to close the afternoon session at 1,373.22, a 0.1 per cent rise. Moscow’s RTS index was flat at 1,445.05. Continue reading »

By Anjali Naik of mergermarket

Vedanta Resources’ $9.6bn move to take a majority stake in the Indian operations of Cairn Energy is a bold step in Vedanta’s quest to make itself an emerging markets natural resources champion.

Vedanta has been listed in London since 2003, but it is still seen as an Indian company – and the country’s largest miner – and is entering new terrain by trying to add Cairn’s oil resources to its mining assets. Continue reading »

Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono appears to be auditioning for a part in a domestic version of the film Groundhog Day, when the same events occur over and over again.

In his annual state of the nation-cum-budget address on Monday the retired general said: “The time has come for us to no longer be a caged tiger but a nation that is competitive on the international stage.” Continue reading »

Attendance at the European Central Bank’s fortnightly policy meetings tend to crimp the long-distance travel plans of Patrick Honohan, governor of the Central Bank of Ireland. Taking advantage of the annual August lull back on his home continent, on Monday Honohan was able to speak at a seminar at the Hong Kong Bankers Club and take in its views of the city’s ever changing skyline.

Across the harbour, workers are putting the final touches to the International Commerce Centre, Hong Kong’s tallest – and the world’s third tallest – building. “It’s always some [change] like that when you come to this region,” the central banker said, almost wistfully, before picking out some similarities between his country and fast-growing Asia. Continue reading »

Why do so many of Thailand’s high-level corruption cases come to light overseas in the United States rather than here in Bangkok?

The country lies about half way down Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index, ranked 84th out of 108 countries, a little worse than Panama and not quite as bent as Lesotho, but prosecutions are rare. Two recent cases being pursued in the US highlight this reality. Continue reading »

* Vedanta to take Cairn India stake

* Chinese economy eclipses Japan’s

* Gabon to get $4.5bn Asian investment

* Chile eyes rapid growth in bilateral trade with China

* Mercedes pips BMW to top luxury car market in India

Continue reading »

Most emerging Asian indices closed up on Monday, as poor Japanese growth data was outweighed by strong sentiment from China, now officially the world’s second-biggest economy.

The Shanghai Composite index continued Friday’s upwards momentum, rising 2.1 per cent to 2,661.71. Continue reading »

Ask an EM strategist these days where they see value, and you often get the same answer: Russia. The country is bouncing back from last year’s deep recession, with 5.2 per cent economic growth, year-on-year, in the second quarter.

But even after tripling from its January 2009 nadir, Russia’s RTS index is on a meagre 2010 price/earnings ratio of 5.7 times. How come? Continue reading »

From the FT,

From elsewhere,

John Abraham, the Indian model turned Bollywood actor, is a brand ambassador for the Yamaha FZ motorbike. But he is also the face of Garnier Men, L’Oreal India’s hair and skin care brand for men.

Beauty advertisements featuring some of the country’s big names, who are renowned for their masculinity, have forced men to reconsider their inhibitions. As a result, more and more of them are looking at ways to improve their appearance. Continue reading »

* Gabon to get $4.5bn Asian investment

* Chile eyes rapid growth in bilateral trade with China

* South Africa’s Aspen to buy Sigma drugs arm for $804m

* Mercedes pips BMW to top luxury car market in India

* China consortium may bid for 30 per cent stake in AIA: report Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

46 Number of Chinese cities out of 70 that saw a house price fall in April, the worst number since the new tracking system began.

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