Daily Archives: September 29, 2010

Brazilian real against US dollarRenewed European sovereign debt worries weighed on Latin American market. Stocks and Mexico’s peso fell, but Brazil’s real continued to gain against the dollar. Continue reading »

Investors have plenty of reasons to shy away from Argentina: many exports are heavily taxed; there are seasonal gas shortages; and the rules of the game have a nasty habit of changing.

But Argentina has seen an increased number of mergers and acquisitions in the first half of the year. And what’s especially interesting is who’s doing the buying: not the traditional US or European companies, but increasingly the Brics. Continue reading »

Turkey’s family conglomerates have always been skilled at reinventing themselves. Many had origins in textiles or construction, but shifted capital into construction, banking or automotives to keep up with fashions and opportunities.

Today the big opportunities are in infrastructure – and Turkish construction groups are rapidly recasting themselves as concessions groups to take advantage of a slew of roads, ports and energy privatisations at home and in the surrounding region. Continue reading »

Russian and Polish stocks rose on Wednesday, but other central and eastern European indices saw small losses. Currencies continued to rise against the dollar, with the Turkish lira gaining 1.3 per cent in response to news that the central bank may cut its lending rate.

In Russia, analysts said that the sacking of the mayor of Moscow, Yuri Luzhkov, could shake up the real estate sector. The former mayor’s wife, widely seen as Russia’s richest woman, is active in the sector. Continue reading »

One positive outcome of Russia’s devastating 2008- 2009 economic meltdown has been the development of a local bond market, which, following a decline in inflation and interest rates, has given Russian corporates an affordable alternative to borrowing from international banks.

Prior to the crisis, the only sources of long term credit were foreign banks, unless one was prepared to pay interest rates of 20 per cent plus. The result was a massive build up of foreign corporate debt, which had to be unwound after markets collapsed. Long moribund after the 1998 crash, a roubles bond market has now taken off again, and the terms are becoming more and more attractive to Russian companies. Continue reading »

By Timothy Ash, head of emerging markets research, Royal Bank of Scotland

Most investors in emerging markets had a pretty good end to 2009, thanks to quantitative easing policies adopted by developed countries. The party spilled into 2010 – and, although the need for a mega clean-up operation (fiscal austerity) became clear, the Fed has come along with a reworked version of quantitative easing. Continue reading »

Billionaires behind bars are still a rarity, but China’s Huang Guangyu is the best example since Russian oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Unlike Khodorkovsky, Huang was not his country’s richest man when he was put in jail back in May. But he is still a redoubtable figure. A recent internet poll found that most Chinese people thought that he would prevail in a battle for control of Gome, China’s second-largest retailer, which he founded.

A new Hurun Report, China’s rich list, published on Wednesday ranks him as the China’s 21st richest person, with net wealth of $3.5bn; that’s down just four places from last year. Moreover, as a Lex note explains, Huang has managed to block some – if not all – of Gome’s management’s attempts to sideline him. Next move? Lex says Gome’s chairman may now have to go.

Watching a recent Bollywood remake of the Hollywood Stepmom original, one might be forgiven for wondering why plastic tubs seem to feature as much as the celebrities who star in it. The reason for pervasive product placement in the film has to do with a new concept in India’s advertising world that is gaining traction: 360-degree marketing.

Not only are advertisers now visible on the big screen, they are benefiting from their own film release-associated adverts. Welcome to the new India where more competition for consumers means advertisements are featuring more prominently in the daily lives of Indians. Continue reading »

Asian stock markets were mixed on Wednesday, in spite of new data showing that Chinese manufacturing grew quicker than expected in September. The MSCI Asia ex Japan index slipped from a two-year high, and India’s Sensex fell below the 20,000 level.

Ahead of a vote by the US House of Representatives on China’s currency policy, the renminbi rose to its highest level against the dollar since 1993. Other currencies also strengthened, with the Indian rupee now having its best month since May 2009. Continue reading »

Ousmène Mandeng, Head of Public Sector Investment Advisory at Ashmore Investment Management

The on-going spat between the US and China over the value of the renminbi, together with the recent foreign exchange market intervention by the Bank of Japan, serve as a reminder that the dollar is bound for further weakness. Continue reading »

* Russian prosecutors to probe Moscow corruption

* Indian court orders close of Vedanta smelter

* US House set to approve China currency bill

* North Korea’s ‘first’ family readies for succession

* India begins most complex ID effort ever

* Chinese cinema chains ready to cash in on movie boom Continue reading »

Another day and another data bit suggesting that China is managing its exit from the global crisis without either soaring into the economic stratosphere or crashing down to earth.

HSBC’s China purchasing managers’ index rose this month (September) for the fifth month in a row, pointing, as the bank says, “to a moderate improvement in Chinese manufacturing sector operating conditions”.  With so much doubt circulating around the global economy, the outlookfor China cannot be certain but looks more stable than a few months ago. Continue reading »

Soon after China’s recent move towards internationalising its currency, Malaysia’s central bank bought renminbi-denominated bonds for its reserves . The move prompted speculation that this would set off a domino effect among China’s trade partners in Asia.

Now that Thailand’s central bank has opened a representative office in China, could Bangkok be next to add  renminbi-denominated bonds to its foreign reserve mix? Continue reading »

From the FT,

From elsewhere,

New Delhi sparked a flurry of enthusiasm among foreign retail giants in July, when the country’s Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion released a “discussion paper” arguing that India would reap a wide range of benefits if it dared to open the tightly regulated retail business to foreign direct investment.

That idea – that foreign retail giants like Tesco, Carrefour, and Walmart – should be set up shop, or lots of shops, in India has been a near total taboo in a country where petty shop-keepers and traders constitute a vast, powerful political constituency. Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

11% Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in Thailand, as the economy bouces back after the 2011 floods.

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