Daily Archives: October 5, 2010

Latin American stocks and currencies gained today after Japan cut interest rates, spurring hopes for a prolonged era of cheap money, and commodities prices surged. Brazil’s real rose 1.7 per cent against the dollar to 1.67 despite the government’s move late Monday to double taxes on foreign fixed-income investment. Continue reading »

The success of microfinance sometimes appears simply a matter of a brilliant idea (lending small amounts to unbanked entrepreneurs) and a charismatic leader (Muhammad Yunus, now a Nobel prize winner).

But microfinance’s future growth may depend on governments and big investors. So it’s significant that, according to a new report out today, Peru has the world’s best business and policy environment for microfinance. Bangladesh, home of the Grameen Bank, doesn’t even make the top 30. Continue reading »

On Monday night Brazil unleashed its latest weapon in what Guido Mantega, the finance minister, recently called a “currency war”: an increase from 2 to 4 per cent in a tax on hot money inflows into bonds. Inflows into equities would continue to be taxed at 2 per cent, and direct investment not at all.

It went off with a whimper. Investors, in a reversal of the usual procedure, sold on the rumour and bought on the fact. Continue reading »

For the first time in six months, Russian stocks gained for a fifth consecutive day, as the price of oil rose above $84 a barrel. Other markets also gained, with Turkey’s ISE 100 at an all-time record and the Polish WIG20 extending its two-year high.

The Hungarian forint was the region’s best-performing currency – leaping nearly 3 per cent in value against the dollar, as investors display their confidence in the Orban administration. The Turkish lira reached a near-two-year high against the greenback. Continue reading »

The International Monetary Fund is worried about the herd instinct of the typical fund manager – and the impact of his activities on emerging markets. So worried, in fact, that it is urging emerging market governments to follow policies that would keep the herd under control.

It makes the point politely – and cautiously – in its twice-yearly global financial stability report, published on Tuesday. But the message is clear. After years in which it enthustiatically supported the liberalisation of global capital movement it is increasingly ready to admit that “in the last resort” capital flow restrictions may have their place. Continue reading »

When Western property investors talked up the central and eastern European market a few years ago, it meant the good opportunities had already gone. The locals had made their money and were selling up.

Now interest in emerging Europe is returning. The region’s property markets are growing for the first time since the recession, according to data out on Tuesday. Should the alarm bells be ringing? Continue reading »

There’s no stranger link between the developed world and an emerging economy than Norman Wisdom, the British comic actor who has died at the age of 95.

Wisdom is a fondly-remembered figure in his own country. But in Albania he is a cult hero whose death on Monday made the news on all Tirana’s main television channels. Continue reading »

With labour costs in China rising, clothing manufacturers are looking further afield for cheap production. The latest move comes from South Korean company clothing company E-Land Group, who is eyeing fast-growing India, where production costs are comparatively low. On Tuesday the company announced that it is in talk to buy a 54.4 per cent stake in India’s third-largest clothing manufacturer, Mudra Lifestyle.

It is the latest move by the South Korean company to strengthen its presence in fast-growing Asian markets. Continue reading »

Ecopetrol, Colombia’s state oil company, is one of the best examples of a creaky behemoth invigorated by part-privatisation. It is making the most of Colombia’s improved security environment and resilient economy.

Ecopetrol’s chief executive Javier Gutierrez has told beyondbrics that production should rise 6 per cent by the end of 2010, and the company may offer a further 10 per cent of its shares to investors next year. Continue reading »

By Thomas Williams and Yu Cher Jou of mergermarket

In the race for resources, Chinese companies are flush with cash and keen for technology. That’s good news for Arne Blystad, a Norwegian investor, who has sold a majority stake in his oil rig transport company to Grand China Shipping (GCS). Continue reading »

For a while, it looked like a tightening of monetary policy in Indonesia was inevitable. Food prices were up 10 per cent and surging capital inflows flooded the bond and equity markets.

South-east Asia’s largest economy is still seeing an investment boom, yet after inflation eased in September, the central bank on Tuesday kept its key lending rate steady at 6.5 per cent for the 15th month in a row. But the bank may have to act eventually. Continue reading »

Volkswagen, the market leader in China among foreign carmakers, is rapidly ramping up its presence in India. After opening a production plant earlier this year, the group has now launched its first local training academy.

Standing alongside the Group’s near-$800m production facility near Pune, in the state of Maharashtra, the academy will be used to train apprentices, employees and dealers from all the company’s brands in India.

VW is clearly thinking long-term. And it is thinking big: planning to increase sales from 19,000 last year to 1m by 2018, or 20 per cent of a 5m-a- year market. But it is not alone – rivals Toyota Motor, General Motors and others – have similar ideas. Can India be big enough for all of them? Continue reading »

Indonesian stocks extended their all-time high on Tuesday, after the central bank held interest rates at a record low of 6.5 per cent. However, in India, where authorities said they are considering responses to foreign inflows, financials led equities lower.

Elsewhere, Japanese and Chinese leaders pledged further high-level talks, with Japan’s trade minister reiteratingconcerns over rare-earth exports. Chinese markets were shut for a holiday, but Hong Kong stocks added marginally to a ten-month high. Continue reading »

While India industry is facing a skills shortage at nearly every level of its economy, as the FT explains on Tuesday, executives say the crisis is particularly acute for skilled blue collar construction jobs: the high-tech welders, bricklayers and other technical competencies so desperately required for India’s infrastructure build out.

Though it’s not widely talked about in polite conversation, it’s easy to wonder to what extent India’s traditional caste system – with its deep-rooted contempt for physical labour – is playing a role in perpetuating this skills shortage. Continue reading »

* Brazil raises tax on foreign inflows to 4 per cent

* Convergence moves apace for broadcasters, telecoms

* Hendry plots path to go short on China

* EU voices China currency concerns

* Satyam: CBI plans to grill Ramalinga Raju today Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

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11% Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in Thailand, as the economy bouces back after the 2011 floods.

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