Daily Archives: October 20, 2010

Boeing 737Emerging markets consumers are drinking more soda and buying more computers, as Coca-Cola and IBM attested in their earnings reports this week.  And America’s  industrial heavyweights are also profiting from the east and south, with sales of airplanes, helicopters and other equipment gathering pace.

The FT’s Ed Crooks and Hal Weitzman report that “US manufacturers have rejected fears of a global slide into recession with a series of strong results and positive statements, showing the benefit of strong growth in emerging economies in Asia and the Middle East.” Continue reading »

A Venezuelan flag is displayed on a oil refinery in the Venezuelan city of MoronAs Hugo Chávez gallivants around the globe courting controversy, back home Venezuelans are falling over themselves to get a piece of the action on the latest debt issue by state oil company PDVSA. So much so that there are rumours flying around that it could increase the amount from $3bn to as much as $4.5bn.

In effect, the very same Venezuelans who decry the way their revolutionary leader spends the country’s money (the latest talking point being Russian tanks and a nuclear power station), are desperately scrabbling to lend him more. Continue reading »

Mexico's IPCLatin American markets gained on Wednesday, boosted by strong US earnings results and expectations that Brazil’s central banks will keep interest rates unchanged tonight. Continue reading »

Oleg Deripaska versus Vladimir Potanin: for Russia watchers, it’s the ultimate clash of corporate titans, and there would appear to be no better sporting ring for it than the Norilsk Nickel’s extraordinary shareholders meeting on Thursday.

The meeting is meant to put to rest four months of bickering between the two oligarchs who are disputing the result of a June board election that gave Potanin’s Interros a larger presence on the board than Deripaska’s Rusal. Continue reading »

The Indian advance into the global pharmaceutical and medical equipment market goes on. Following some big deals, here is a modest $54.6m transaction which brings together Opto Circuits, a Bangalore-based pharmaceutical technology company, and Cardiac Science, a Washington state cardiac devices maker. Continue reading »

Polish and Turkish stocks closed down for a second successive session on Wednesday, with investors continuing to react to China’s interest rate hike. However, the region’s currencies did recover against the dollar after Tuesday’s losses.

Commenting on ongoing currency disputes, Turkey’s deputy prime minister said he hoped for renminbi appreciation, but added that “Pressure [on the Chinese authorities] doesn’t work.” Continue reading »

Jan Kulczyk is one of Poland’s wealthiest men, but it’s been a while since he won one of the mega-privatisations on which he built his fortune. That may be about to change as Kulczyk Holding, his investment vehicle, bids for state-owned Enea, Poland’s third largest power utility.

If he wins, he could go a long way to achieving his dream of building a national champion in Poland’s fragmented private sector. If he loses, he could struggle to give his diversified business empire a real core. Continue reading »

Red Bull has 10m fans on Facebook, but only one – it seems – in the Mexican congress. On Tuesday, Mexico’s lower house voted by a whopping margin of 436 to 1 to impose a 25-per-cent tax on Red Bull and other energy drinks.

The proposal comes at a time when Mexico is looking for extra revenue to reduce its budget deficit. If approved by the senate, it would be the latest example of how, for lucrative consumer businesses in emerging markets, the taxman cometh. Continue reading »

Pop the champagne. Audi on Wednesday became the first luxury carmaker to sell its millionth car in China – a Q5 compact crossover vehicle painted metallic blue.

At a ceremony in Changchun attended by more than 7,000 people, Rupert Stadler, Audi’s chief executive, crowed over the company’s 22-year history in the Middle Kingdom, where it makes cars with First Automobile Works. He said Audi would sell 200,00 cars in China this year, and its second million within another three years. But is the brand’s booming Chinese franchise really safe from competition? Continue reading »

This post by Gerard Lyons of Standard Chartered Bank is the third of three that beyondbrics is posting on Wednesday on capital controls. All are available here. Join the debate by posting your comments.

Brazil has twice raised the tax on bond inflows in recent weeks. Thailand has tightened its own controls. Other emerging markets may follow with similar actions. And who can blame them?

Following the successful co-ordination of global policy last year at the G20 London Summit, we are now back to countries setting policies to suit domestic needs. The trouble is that economic conditions around the world are so extreme that policies pursued in one country can have damaging repercussions elsewhere. So it is with monetary policy in the US and the west, with low interest rates leading to inflows into emerging economies. Hence the justification for exchange controls. Continue reading »

Both bulls and bears like to compare Japan in the 1960s and China in 2010. Bulls say the comparison offers China a well-trodden path to a modern, high-tech economic future. Bears point to Japan’s asset bubbles in the 1980s, the subsequent crash, and the lost decade that followed.

Today a note by MF Global’s Nicholas Smith – provocatively entitled ‘The Sweatshop that Roared’ – came out on the side of the bears, warning that 1960s Japan was in much better shape than today’s China, principally because of one thing: education. Continue reading »

This post by Guillermo Calvo of Columbia University is the second of three that beyondbrics is publishing on Wednesday on capital controls. All will be available here. Join the debate by posting your comments.

The resilience of capital flows towards emerging market economies is a sign that the world economy may be moving towards resolving global imbalances and allocating capital more effectively.

However, many EM policymakers fear that it could be “too much of a good thing.” Portfolio flows could turn out to be highly speculative and exit en masse, as they have done during several EM financial crises in the last two decades. Continue reading »

Turkish equities keep bursting through the ceiling. Last week, the Istanbul Stock Exchange’s main index passed 70,000 for the first time, hitting record highs on three consecutive days – and it has held steady this week.

The ISE100 has now gained around 30 per cent since the end of 2009, outperforming other emerging markets. Over the last three months, Turkey has had the world’s strongest equity market. Bond yields are close to record lows, and the lira only slipped this week from two year highs against the dollar. Continue reading »

Asian trading cooled on Wednesday, as traders reacted to last night’s surprise rate hike by the People’s Bank of China. Chinese equities rallied as insurers benefited from a surge in confidence, but housing companies took a hit. The rest of the region saw mixed trading. Most of the region’s currencies fell against the dollar as traders were spooked by the impact China’s policy tightening would have on Asian exports. Continue reading »

* Seoul says US holds key to trade deal

* China’s move may push capital controls in Asia

* China’s ‘super-speed’ train hits 500 km/h

* India warns on damage from G20 tension

* China and Latin America boost Peugeot sales Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

11% Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in Thailand, as the economy bouces back after the 2011 floods.

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