Daily Archives: January 4, 2011

Chile’s entrance into the global currency war sent its peso down more than 4 per cent against the dollar on Tuesday after the central bank unveiled a plan to curb the currency’s appreciation. But the country’s blue-chip IPSA index gained 1.15 per cent as exporters rallied, led by wine exporter Concha y Toro. Continue reading »

By Kasper Viio of mergermarket

Grocery shopping in PolandPressure for consolidation in the Polish wholesale sector has pushed Eurocash, a big distributor of consumer goods, into buying the distribution arm of retailer Emperia for $312.5m. Under the agreement, Emperia will sell Eurocash the shares that it owns (directly and indirectly) in 17 grocery wholesalers and retailers.

The imperative for consolidation is coming from the growth of large supermarket chains, which are taking market share from smaller traditional retailers and are more demanding as customers. But viable opportunities for further big M&A in the sector may be limited. Continue reading »

Central and eastern European stocks continued to rise on Tuesday, buoyed by record copper prices and increased optimism among investors about the region’s outlook. In currency markets, the Hungarian forint rose sharply against the Swiss franc.

“Risk appetite is back among investors,” Neil Shearing, emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, told beyondbrics. “Central and eastern European stocks bucked the declining trend elsewhere today, and that may continue.” Continue reading »

After at least a year of speculation, Petrobras, Brazil’s national oil company, confirmed today it was in talks with Eni, the Italian energy group, on “the possibility of a potential transaction” involving Eni’s 33 per cent stake in Galp of Portugal.

Diário Económico, the Portuguese daily, said Petrobras would pay €3.5bn for the stake, short of the asking price of €4.7bn. Continue reading »

By Valentina Romei and Barney Jopson

It hardly needs saying that stock markets in emerging economies have boomed in recent years, enjoying a rush of new company listings and a bonanza of share price gains. But the transformations have not altered one thing that sets emerging markets apart from their developed rivals: a handful of companies account for a high proportion of bourses’ market capitalisation.

This week’s chart (after the break) highlights that concentration: it shows the cumulative size of the biggest five listed companies in each Bric country, and what proportion of total market cap they represent. The most concentrated market is Brazil, where the top five account for 48 per cent of total value, and the least concentrated is India, where the figure is 23 per cent. Continue reading »

Polsih motorway construction
Poland is leading the rest of the EU when it comes to profiting from structural funds, says the country’s regional development ministry. That is good news for Warsaw and good news for the companies – Polish and foreign – working on EU-funded projects.

Continue reading »

Chile has joined the “currency wars” with a hefty $12bn war chest. Traders, for the moment, are in retreat.

The peso weakened by 4 per cent early on Tuesday after the central bank announced the evening before that it was prepared to spend the equivalent of 6 per cent of Chilean annual economic output to try and stop the peso from appreciating further.

Although Chile has now joined Brazil and Colombia in actively intervening, this was a surprise announcement. After all, Chile’s central bank is better known for its hands-off approach to its floating exchange rate. But then surprise, as they say, is a key element to any successful attack. Continue reading »

Russia’s plan to reorient its energy trade towards the east has taken a leap forward with the start of oil exports through a new pipeline to China.

The pipeline, running from Skovorodino in east Siberia to Daqing in north China, is an offshoot of a new oil export route Russia is building to the Pacific Ocean, providing the world’s top oil producer with a strategic window on the energy-hungry markets of Asia. When it is completed in 2013, the 4,070km pipeline can carry up to 1.6m barrels a day of oil, about one third of Russia’s current exports. Continue reading »

* GM China sales hit record high in 2010

* Ecuador’s novel plan to save rainforest

* China’s Sinovel Wind to raise up to $1.4bn in IPO

* Foreigners abandon Polish property market

Continue reading »

Asian stocks continued their strong performance on Tuesday, as better than expected manufacturing data from the United States lifted investors.

“We’ve seen two months of positive data, which is definitely buoying investors’ expectations for 2011,” said Tim Schroeders of Melbourne-based Pengana Capital. “Signs are encouraging that things are improving.” Continue reading »

By Andy Rothman of CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets

Inflation has the potential to become a serious economic and political problem in China. Not only does it raise living costs for ordinary people, it can also leave them earning negative returns on the very high level of savings (about 30 per cent of disposable income) in deposit accounts. That’s why it’s so important to assess just how high inflation will be this year, and how China’s political leaders will respond.

In my view the problem is not very serious, and the policy response will be moderate. Yes, China will have to become accustomed to a slightly higher level of structural inflation in the coming years. But rapid growth in income and GDP means a crisis in the consumer price index is not looming. Continue reading »

More economic news from Asia today for policymakers looking for worrying signals on the outlook of inflation in Asia. The region’s recovery is putting upward pressure on prices in Thailand, where on Tuesday it announced that core inflation rose to 1.4 per cent in December – more than expected – although headline inflation remained at 3 per cent.

What is particularly worrying about the figures is that the Bank of Thailand has been a regional leader in raising interest rates to try and keep inflation under control. Continue reading »

From the FT:

From elsewhere:


It is no surprise to learn that Chinese gamblers have money to burn. Even so, the 58 per cent increase in casino revenue in Macao last year to a record 188.34 billion patacas ($23.51 billion) is startling.

Gaming entrepreneurs led by billionaire Stanley Ho, who have poured money into their Las Vegas-style properties, will be reaping the rewards – and completing another round of investments. Continue reading »

* Ecuador’s novel plan to save rainforest

* China’s Sinovel Wind to raise up to $1.4bn in IPO

* Foreigners abandon Polish property market

* Brazil poised to pressure Beijing on currency policy

* China promises to buy Spanish bonds Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

11% Quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in Thailand, as the economy bouces back after the 2011 floods.

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