Daily Archives: January 7, 2011

Brazil's BovespaBrazilian banks fell for the second day following the central bank’s move to raise reserve requirements and a report showed inflation exceeded the government’s target in 2010, sending the Bovespa lower on Friday and paring its weekly gain.

The parent company of Itau Unibanco, Brazil’s biggest bank, slumped 2.9 per cent while Banco do Brasil lost 2.4 per cent. Commodities producers also fell, with state-controlled oil company Petrobras shedding 1.4 per cent and iron ore miner Vale down 0.8 per cent. Continue reading »

Hungary took over the rotating presidency of the European Union on January 1. The six-month role comes with a host of weighty – and sometimes tedious – responsibilities. But for the EU’s smaller and newer members it is also a great opportunity to advertise themselves and their virtues to a wider audience.

One set of Hungarian business people are especially excited about the chance: wine producers. Hungary will host over 200 professional and 20 ministerial EU events and Hungarian wine will be served at the livelier ones, a great opportunity for producers to promote their wares to unfamiliar drinkers. Continue reading »

Central and eastern European stocks fell for the first time this week on Friday, as weak employment data from the United States spooked investors. With Russia closed for trading, Turkey and Poland led falls.

“The market is having a little bit of difficulty coming to terms with the data,” said Jeremy Batstone-Carr, head of research at Charles Stanley & Co. in London. “We saw an increase in payrolls which was below expectations.” Continue reading »

It’s not only developed countries that are fretting about the latest spike in oil prices, which are edging towards $100 per barrel. In emerging markets, where fuel imports have soared in recent years, many fear that the consequences for growth could be equally severe.

Yet according to outspoken UBS economist Jonathan Anderson, emerging markets have nothing to fear from high oil prices. In fact, Anderson argued in a research note this week – entitled “Why Doesn’t Oil Matter?” – that these prices should play a “very benign role in the growth process.” Continue reading »

Brazil’s concern about the impact of its strong currency on the country’s manufacturers was well known, but its move this week to discourage currency speculation was a surprise. It represents one of several policy options open to emerging market policy makers facing similar problems, as Barney Jopson of beyondbrics discusses in this video interview.

Brian Dames became chief executive of Eskom, South Africa’s national electricity company, last July after a period that saw the utility hamstrung by leadership squabbles. Dames has impressed with his focused approach to the job in hand, and his candour on the challenges that Eskom faces.

But he caused a stir on Thursday with his blunt admission that, if electricity demand is not curbed, the country could face widespread power cuts in the next two years. Continue reading »

By Chetan Ahya of Morgan Stanley

India is catching up with China. Over the next two years, as long as we are spared another global financial crisis, India should start matching China’s economic growth of around 9 per cent. Then, by 2013-15, we think India will start outpacing China’s GDP growth notably.

We expect Chinese growth to slow marginally to a more sustainable rate of 8 per cent by 2013-15, following the remarkable 10 per cent average over the past 30 years. Meanwhile India’s growth will accelerate to a sustainable 9-10 per cent, after an average of 7.3 per cent over the past 10 years. What’s more, we expect India’s per capita income to reach China’s 2009 levels of $3,750 over the next 10-11 years. But what exactly will drive India’s growth rates higher? Continue reading »

Investors have long bemoaned the culture of insider trading in the Gulf. The region’s markets, especially the decade-old Dubai and Abu Dhabi bourses, have often seen sharp movements in stock prices ahead of important corporate announcements as insiders buy the rumour before selling the fact.

Enforcement against insider trading has been limited. So a decision by the UAE market regulator to ban a prominent businessman for breaking regulations governing the trading of shares in his own company would, on the face of it, appear to be a step in the right direction. Continue reading »

India and Indonesia led further falls for Asian stocks on Friday – capping a poor week for the region’s bourses – amid falling commodity prices and increasing anxiousness about the strength of the US economic recovery.

“Asian equities are certainly not cheap anymore,” said Jamie Coutts of brokerage BGC Partners in Singapore. “What we need is stellar economic numbers from the US to push stocks higher. That should help counter ongoing concerns about monetary tightening in China and Europe’s sovereign debt problems.” Continue reading »

* Beijing vows to be more open to investors

* Economic fears as Indian food prices soar

* China power sector to boom as oil sector goes slower

* Moelis & Company seeks Asian tie-up for global presence

* Wall Street banks win China approvals Continue reading »

JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley have received the green light to enter the Chinese securities market – through a joint venture with Chinese partner First Capital. The wait has been a long one, and marks the first time in six years that a US bank has been granted a license, as the FT reports on Friday.

The approval from Beijing – which will see JP Morgan gain a 33 per cent stake in First Capital – comes just ahead of President Hu Jintao’s planned trip to Washington, and analysts say the move could be seen as an attempt to shore up political capital in the face of growing criticism that Beijing is not giving US banks more access to China’s growing financial sector. Read more here.

From the FT:

From elsewhere:

It may not be the solution economists were looking for, but Indonesia’s president has come up with a creative way to combat food inflation after reading up in a gardening magazine. If chilis are too expensive, grow your own, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono suggested after a Cabinet meeting this week.

Indonesia’s farms have been hit by heavy rainfall, causing widespread crop failures and driving up the cost of staple foods like rice and hot peppers, key ingredients in every national dish. The price of chilis more than tripled in some areas to $11  per kilogram, while rice is up more than 10 per cent. Continue reading »

The financial press is abuzz this week over Facebook and its $50bn valuation, which comes out to about $100 per user. Increasingly, those users come from outside the US, as the social network pushes into emerging markets.

And that move is bearing fruit: Facebook now accounts for more than 36 per cent of visits to social media websites in India, far ahead of the former leader, Google-owned Orkut, according to Experian Hitwise, the internet measurement service. Continue reading »

Peru’s central bank caught economists by surprise on Thursday night when it raised its benchmark lending rate to 3.25 per cent on inflation concerns arising from “international” price rises.

Amid strong inflows of “hot money” that have pushed the Nuevo Sol to a two-year high of about 2.8 per dollar, the seven-member bank board had been holding rates at 3 per cent for the past three months. Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

12.4% Fall in Mail.Ru shares on Monday, on the back of its Facebook stake.

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