Daily Archives: March 3, 2011

Bovespa chartEasing oil prices and encouraging US jobless claims figures helped lift Latin American stocks on Thursday, while investors in Brazil were cheered by last year’s strong GDP growth.

Brazilian stocks were buoyed by news the economy grew 7.5 per cent in 2010, the fastest rate since 1986, as consumer credit and investment surged. The Bovespa rose 1.3 per cent as steelmakers and banks gained. Gerdau rose 4.6 per cent while Itau added 2.5 per cent. The real firmed against the dollar after the central bank raised interest rates by an expected 50 basis points on Wednesday night. Continue reading »

It’s official: Brazil’s economy grew by 7.5 per cent in 2010. No surprises there (although 4th quarter growth was slightly less than expected).

As economists were quick to point out, 2010′s figure followed a contraction of 0.6 per cent in 2009, leaving Brazil right on trend of an average 4.5 per cent a year growth since 2002 (see chart from Capital Economics after the break). Will it last? Continue reading »

Turkey led gains for central and eastern European stocks on Thursday, as inflation fell to its lowest level in four decades and fears about political unrest in the Arab world eased.

CEE currencies rose sharply against the dollar, with the Turkish lira leading the rally. Continue reading »

Carlos SlimBy Ronald Buchanan in Mexico City

Mexico’s trust-busters are trying to defuse a battle of the titans pitting Carlos Slim, the world’s wealthiest tycoon, against rival media magnates Emilio Azcárraga and Ricardo Salinas Pliego.

Slim’s empire, including the nation’s dominant telephone companies plus a string of major retail outlets, has announced the withdrawal of all its advertising from Azcárraga’s Grupo Televisa and Salinas Pliego’s TV Azteca. Continue reading »

The global financial crisis was bad enough for Dubai, with its real estate exposure and heavy debt burden. The regional political crisis is proving equally troubling.

Dubai’s stock market fell another 1.6 per cent on Thursday, ending the week at seven-year lows amid growing turmoil in the Arab world. The index has fallen 16 per cent since unrest reached the oil-rich Gulf two-and-a-half weeks ago.  But Dubai has a history of coming out of crises relatively unscathed.   Continue reading »

Just as analysts and investors were digesting the Brazilian central bank’s dovish rate hike on Wednesday night, Guido Mantega, finance minister, has announced a R$55bn ($33bn) transfer of funds from the treasury to the national development bank. He also threatened to restart the currency war.

Not quite the message you want to send on the day investors are wondering just how serious the government is about its promised fiscal austerity. Interest rate futures responded by climbing a wall. Continue reading »

Standard Chartered Bank branch, MumbaiIndia is already big for Standard Chartered, contributing the biggest single slice of profits, as the company announced this week.

But could the profits become much bigger if the country presses ahead with long-awaited banking liberalisation?

The answer is yes. But it will take time before foreign banks are finally allowed through the gates. Continue reading »

As one Hong Kong banker told beyondbrics recently, “Mongolia is the only game in town”. And soon, gung-ho investors may get a new way to play it. The resource-rich country, forecast by one bank to be the world’s fastest-growing emerging market in coming years, wants to raise $500m in its first dollar bond sale.

This is not the first time it’s floated the idea. But it’s the first time it has the attention of so many bankers and investors. Continue reading »

For those of a nervous disposition, India’s markets look peculiarly dicey just now. From another angle, especially compared to the tumult across the Arabian Sea, the country resembles a bulwark of stability. Investors seem unsure whether to laugh or cry.

The past seven days have seen significant swings in sentiment. As turmoil in Libya sent oil prices surging last week, Mumbai’s benchmark Sensex index incurred its steepest one-day fall in 16 months. Then this Tuesday, as investors digested the previous day’s budget and its commitments to reducing the fiscal deficit, the Sensex recorded its biggest gains in a single session since May 2009. Continue reading »

While other bourses are being buffeted by the news from the Middle East, Russia has hit a new post-financial-crisis high, with the RTS stock index breaking through the 2,000 points mark for the first time since summer 2008. Anybody who wants to relive pre-crisis life could do worse than take a weekend trip to Moscow.
RTS chart March 2007 to date

Continue reading »

Miroslav Miskovic, owner and president of Serbia’s largest company by turnover, Delta Holding, has gone all the way and sold 100 per cent of his retail operations to Belgium’s Delhaize for €932.5m.

Delta announced the deal on Thursday as the start of another “long-term partnership” with a foreign strategic partner “in the interest of the further development of the retail chain and because of intense competition among international retail chains.” Continue reading »

Vladimir Putin, Russian prime minister, spells things outShares in Novatek, Russia’s top independent gas producer, soared on Thursday after the announcement of a long-awaited partnership with Total, which will see the French group investing billions in Arctic gas.

If properly implemented ( a challenge not to be underestimated), the $4bn agreement should help modernise the Russian economy, bring more gas to energy-hungry world markets and bolster fragile ties between Russia and western Europe. And it should make Novatek’s billionaire core shareholders even richer – not least Gennady Timchenko, a close ally of prime minister Vladimir Putin (pictured). Continue reading »

Asian stocks were mixed on Thursday, as strong US employment data was offset by concerns that political unrest in the Arab world will further push up energy prices.

South Korean equities saw the biggest gains, rising the most in 17 months after the country’s industrial output rose the fastest in five months in February. The Korean won rose sharply against the dollar. Continue reading »

* Gaddafi forces resume attacks on east

* Total to buy $4bn stake in Russia’s Novatek

* Brazil seeks to curb rising inflation

* Berkshire sets up India insurance distribution unit

* Mongolia to raise $500m in first dollar bond sale Continue reading »

Thursday’s top picks from the beyondbrics team: making China’s “firewater”, the message from Morocco for Arab monarchs, Gaddafi’s thwarted dream to be king of Africa, and China’s comedy scene. Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

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12.4% Fall in Mail.Ru shares on Monday, on the back of its Facebook stake.

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