Daily Archives: August 18, 2011

Markets from Mexico to Argentina took a hammering on Thursday in a wave of global selling after poor US jobs and inflation data deepened the gloom hanging over the world economy and the price of copper, a key export in Chile and Peru, fell on concerns that lower growth will stifle demand in the US and China.

Bonds, stocks and currencies tumbled across the region as, in addition to the poor numbers, business activity index released by the Philadelphia Fed fell to -30.7 in August, the negative indicating a contraction, from 3.2 in July. That was its lowest level since the 2009 recession – highlighting market fears that another recession is nigh. Morgan Stanley said the US, and Europe – key Latin American export destinations, were “dangerously close” to slipping back into recession. Continue reading »

Barbie is back. Mattel, the US toy firm has been struggling to export its famous blonde bombshell to Argentina for months as Argentine officials, worried about soaring imports and a worsening trade balance, have cracked down on imports that are unmatched by a corresponding amount in exports.

The government’s policy of requiring imports and exports to be matched dollar for dollar has led to some unusual deals, such as soybean exports in exchange for car imports.

Now Barbie, too, has been saved, just in time for the Día del Niño on August 21 – a commercial fest devoted to giving gifts to children. Continue reading »

On the morning of August 9, the day after markets in Europe and the US collapsed, the Hong Kong government agreed to sell a plot of land at the minimum asking price to the sole bidding group that bothered to show up. For a property market that has seen prices rising 80 per cent in the past 30 months, the results sent a frisson of shock through the territory. That same day, the Hang Seng stock index dropped 5.7 per cent.

Several days later, Kevin Lai, the local economist for Daiwa Capital Markets, noted that with a 0.5 per cent seasonally adjusted contraction over the second quarter, Hong Kong – the most externally driven economy in the region – is now “halfway into recession”. Continue reading »

Polish equities were the among biggest losers in Thursday’s global market rout.

The benchmark WIG20 index, where financial shares make up more than 40 percent of the weighting, fell by as much as 8.8 percent before closing 5.8 percent lower at 2,248.51 amid renewed concerns over Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. Continue reading »

The volatility of Russian markets would seem to dash any hopes for an initial public offering bonanza this fall. But for some the dream lives on.

Abrau-Dyurso, one of Russia’s biggest producers of sparkling wine, will attempt to raise as much as $15m in a Moscow IPO that could value the company at $100m, Boris Titov, the group’s owner told news outlets this week. And the businessman has few doubts about the deal going through.

Continue reading »

Brazilian president Dilma RousseffFour ministers down. How many more to go?

Brazilian agriculture minister Wagner Rossi resigned on Wednesday amid a messy corruption scandal – the fourth top official to leave the government in less than three months.

What started off as ‘spring-cleaning’ by Brazil’s new president, Dilma Rousseff, is now starting to resemble more of an industrial overhaul. Continue reading »

Looking for an alternative to the Swiss franc as a safe haven currency? With the Swissie riding high and bouncing around in volatile markets, investors want other options. The US dollar,  yen, pound and Euro are ruled out immediately. Latin America? Forget it. Renminbi? No, thanks.

So, Record, a London-based currency manager,  has backed the Czech Republic, a small country that some foreign exchange traders will more readily associate with beer and stag parties than rock-solid investments.

And it’s taken just one remark from this modest British outfit for a country of 10m to decide – hey, this is our moment in financial history. Continue reading »

Another day, another bout of euro worries hitting central and eastern Europe. The region’s bourses are sharply down on Thursday – with the MSCI east Europe index falling 6.95 per cent, compared with a 4.98 per cent drop in western Europe.

It’s a useful reminder of CEE’s continuing vulnerability and dependence on external capital and credit inflows. In the 2008-9 crisis, the European Union and the International Monetary Fund stepped in to fill the breach left by private financiers. In a timely report, Unicredit suggests they might have to help out again. Continue reading »

Brics and mortarAfter suffering one of the most destructive housing market bubbles in recent world history, you might not imagine that Ireland would be the first port of call for those seeking advice on how to develop their property sector.

But, at a seminar funded by the Irish government’s aid organisation in Hanoi on Thursday, Irish officials argued that precisely because of their country’s painful experiences, they have some useful lessons to share with Vietnam, which is facing its own overheating property market. Continue reading »

Chinese singer Hu Yenpin displays banknotes of Taiwanese and Chinese currency at a bank in Taipei on June 30, 2008.China vice premier Li Keqiang’s visit to Hong Kong has stirred excitement not only in the city but also in Taiwan, where an increasing number of people are asking: why can’t Taiwan be a renminbi trading hub too? Continue reading »

* HKEx eyes JV with mainland counterparts

* Seoul tech stocks suffer sharp falls

* Global growth worries sap equities

* China issues $3.1bn of bonds in Hong Kong

* Russia to sell arms to Syria, sales overall to rise Continue reading »

You might think that India takes a close interest in Bangladesh – a fast-growing neighbour with bags of economic potential despite its periodic natural disasters and political upheavals.

But India’s relationship with the country which split from west Bengal to form East Pakistan in 1947 can be best described as one of ‘benign neglect’.

India is a bit player in the Bangaldeshi economy, ranking ninth in terms of FDI. To underscore the apathy, no Indian prime minister has visited Dhaka in 12 years.

However, Manmohan Singh now wants to change all that – with a visit next month that will prioritise business. Continue reading »

Thursdays best picks from the beyondbrics team: how the Swiss and Chinese approaches to their currencies highlight a dilemma, watching Delhi blunder into far more dangerous territory, and the unexpected rise of dalit millionaires in India. Continue reading »

If the signs of Indonesia’s rise aren’t yet obvious, consider this: office space in central Jakarta is witnessing record demand.  Banks, insurers, oil companies and advertising agencies took up 243,000 square meters of floor space in the first half of 2011 and and are forecast to rent 350,000 sqm by the year-end.

“All of a sudden, demand jumped very high in the office and industrial sectors,” said Anton Sitorus, chief researcher for Jones Lang LaSalle in Indonesia. “It’s going to be the highest year ever, even higher than the 1995-1997 period.” Continue reading »

US vice president Joe Biden and Xi Jinping, his Chinese counterpart, during Biden's visit to Beijing August 2011If this week’s China visit of US vice-president Joe Biden is to produce anything beyond ceremony, Washington will want it to be a message of reassurance for its biggest creditor of America’s economic strength.

At such times, form can be as important as substance. So, it was embarrassing for all concerned that the vice-president’s carefully-choreographed Thursday meeting with Xi Jinping, his Chinese counterpart and heir apparent for Beijing’s top job, got off to an awkward start. Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

Number of the day

240p The new offer for Cove Energy shares from PTT, trumping the bid from Shell.

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