Daily Archives: February 21, 2012

The announcement this week that Coca-Cola Femsa, the world’s largest public bottler of Coca-Cola by sales volume, had entered a 12-month exclusivity agreement with Atlanta-based The Coca-Cola Company to explore the possibility of buying its Philippines unit could be a pretty sweet deal.

For a start, it would continue the Mexican company’s recent acquisition spree. Last year, the company, which is 54 per cent owned by Monterrey-based Fomento Económico Mexicano (Femsa) and 32 per cent owned by The Coca-Cola Company, expanded rapidly at home, using 24.5bn pesos in new stock to snap up three local bottlers. Continue reading »

Indigenous Panamanians protest recent changes to the country's mining lawThere’s gold in them thar Central American hills. Gold and several other valuable minerals. Mining companies, especially Canadian, are courting the region yet most of the governments are playing hard to get, if not being openly hostile.

All of which must be pretty perplexing to at least some of the companies. World prices of metals remain high while Central American economies are some of the world’s most vulnerable. Surely a slam-dunk for the miners? Continue reading »

It may not be much of a coincidence that a big emerging market – Turkey- relaxed its monetary policy almost as soon as the eurozone agreed the latest Greek bailout.

Turkey’s step, taken at the monthly meeting of the country’s monetary policy committee, reduces the highest interest rate the central bank can charge commercial banks by 100 basis points. Continue reading »

Your typical Nigerian consumer, whoever he or she may be, is not having a good time of it. Fresh from the depressing news that those living in absolute poverty is rising, there is a “double whammy” of price rises to contend with, as one bank put it in a research note.

After the removal of the fuel subsidy (that caused protests and strikes, costing the economy over $1bn), a new electricity pricing regime is expected in the first quarter of 2012 – which could raise costs by 50 per cent. This has prompted a report on Nigeria by BofA Merrill Lynch to forecast consumer expenditure to slow by 4.2 percentage points in 2012. Continue reading »

If the current glow around the latest Greek rescue package leaves you feeling cold, a Polish economics professor may have just the investment vehicle for you: Eurogeddon, a fund aimed at making money in case the worst predictions for the eurozone come true.

Krzysztof Rybinski (left), a former deputy governor of Poland’s central bank who has since become an increasingly bitter critic of the government’s economic policies, on Tuesday announced the launch of his new fund in conjunction with Polish fund manger Opera TFI. Continue reading »

Egypt may be lurching towards a much-needed IMF loan, but that hasn’t put off some foreign partners. GB Auto, the Cairo-listed auto assembler, will begin putting together and distributing cars from China’s Geely in the second quarter of 2012.

GB will assemble the cars from kits supplied by Geely (the Hangzhou-based carmaker that bought Volvo in a $1.5bn deal in 2010), and will distribute the finished product in markets across North Africa, beginning with Egypt. The deal is “one of several partnerships we will announce this year,” said GB’s chairman, Raouf Ghabbour, in a statement. Continue reading »

While South Africa’s growth prospects may not inspire much confidence, its retail sector, at least, seems to be going strong.

Shoprite, Africa’s biggest food retailer, revealed an 18.6 per cent jump in half-year profits on Tuesday, to R1,421bn ($186m). The results support data, released last week, which show buoyant growth in South African retail sales in December – even though the IMF sharply cut its outlook on the country’s growth last month. Continue reading »

For Dubai, the Arab spring has been a boon, in finance as much as tourism. Dubai’s financial centre says financial houses, including some from the competing banking hub of strife-torn Bahrain, are taking advantage of Dubai’s status as a safe port amid the storm of regional unrest.

The Dubai International Financial Centre says several banks are relocating staff to the centre, helping the tax-free financial hub grow by seven per cent to 848 companies last year. Continue reading »

On the face of it, it looks like investors believe the risks associated with Russia’s wave of protests have already had their day.

Russia’s stock indexes have surged this year with the dollar-denominated RTS up 20 per cent and the rouble-based Micex up 11 per cent year to date. Both have recovered the steep 11 per cent losses they saw in December when unprecedented demonstrations spooked investors. Of course, the general recovery in global sentiment has helped – but it does seem that investors have stopped worrying so much about Russian political risk. Continue reading »

By Robert Cookson and Henny Sender

Here’s something for investors who want the potential of emerging market stocks and bonds but are afraid of the currency exposure.

FTSE, the index group, has launched a basket of eleven currencies and two commodities – gold and oil – designed to protect investors against currency and inflation risk. While it is not EM-specific, it could be useful to investors in EMs as it includes the currencies of the four Brics. Continue reading »

Indians’ beloved chai seems to have received a reprieve from the international onslaught directed towards it lately: the US’s biggest retailer of coffee by the cup is gearing up to enter the Indian market but will focus on foods rather than beverages. Continue reading »

Egypt’s stock market is a paradox. Political tensions are getting worse, the economy is deteriorating and foreign exchange reserves are falling dangerously low. And yet equities are up nearly 40 per cent, the biggest gain in the world for 2012.

Clearly investors are betting that the closer the country edges to economic collapse, the greater the chances of the politicians seeing sense and the IMF leading an early bail-out. But what if they’re wrong? Continue reading »

Gazprom has announced that Russian gas exports to Europe – which were reduced during an exceptionally cold snap this month – have been restored to normal levels. But instead of apologizing for the inconvenience, the Russian gas monopoly has gone on the offensive, telling the EU it only has itself to blame for Gazprom’s supply problems. Continue reading »

* Eurozone agrees second Greek bail-out

* Shoprite lifts H1 profit by 18.6 pct

* Walmex fourth-quarter profit jumps 26%

* US and Mexico in landmark oil deal Continue reading »

It takes a brave economist to argue that China is not investing too much: the country’s fixed capital formation to GDP ratio is now 46 per cent of GDP, up from 28 per cent in 1980.

Yet that is exactly what Qu Hongbin, HSBC’s Chief Economist for China, suggests, pointing to the fact that China is just “halfway through the process of urbanisation and industrialisation.” The recent roll-out of its high-speed railway and freight networks may have garnered its share of headlines but Qu points out that “China’s railway network is still shorter than that of the US in 1880.” Continue reading »

Global equities macromap

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240p The new offer for Cove Energy shares from PTT, trumping the bid from Shell.

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