Nomura has released its Global Annual Economic Outlook for 2014, and its prognosis for Asia is interesting.
The investment bank states that the region’s economic leaders for the coming year will be: Korea, Malaysia and (despite a devastating typhoon) the Philippines. Continue reading »
While the world’s media has focused its attention on Tacloban, the biggest city affected by Typhoon Haiyan, other places on the island of Samar have been badly hit. Basey is one such town. Just across the bay from Tacloban, it has received very little in the way of aid or assistance from the government in spite of extensive damage. Tom Griggs reports.
It’s hard to imagine the scale of destruction following the typhoon that hit the Philippines on Friday, killing an estimated 10,000 people and leaving a trail of devastation.
However, despite Haiyan being one of the strongest typhoons ever recorded, the impact on the Philippines economy may be relatively slight, and the reconstruction effort may even boost GDP. While that is hardly a comfort to people without homes or in mourning, an economic slump would be a double whammy better avoided. Continue reading »
Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia and Thailand are on the face of it a relatively homogeneous, integrated group of nations with similar trading partners. So why did the first two emerge from the 2008 financial crisis in a much better shape than the latter?
A working paper from the IMF concludes that it was because Indonesia and the Philippines were less open to trade and had greater fiscal stimuli. Continue reading »
Out of 60 countries, Indonesia and the Philippines are home to the most optimistic consumers. Thailand comes fourth on the consumer confidence index compiled by Nielsen, a research company.
Yet ask these consumers how they will spend their cash, and they tell Nielsen they’d prefer to save it, actually. Continue reading »
Christmas has come a few months early for families in the Philippines getting remittances from relatives living and working overseas.
Money sent home rose 7.4 per cent to $2.1bn in August from the same period a year ago, according to data released by the central bank on Wednesday. Last year, remittances reached that amount only in December, when transfers hit their annual peak because of holiday spending. Continue reading »
There was plenty of thinly-veiled gloom in the World Bank’s semi-annual update on the economies of East Asia. It expects the region to growth at 7.1 per cent this year, down from its projection of 7.8 per cent six months ago. Most of that is down to falling growth in China, though all the countries covered are experiencing problems of some sort.
All except one, that is: the Philippines. Continue reading »
Philippine electronics exports, which account for almost half the country’s overseas sales, surged by a surprising 11.2 per cent from a year ago in July to $1.9bn, in what could be the start of a rebound from a plunge of almost a fifth in the first half of the year. Continue reading »
By Leif Lybecker Eskesen of HSBC Global Research
Japan’s economy has struggled for decades, weighed down by the debt hangover from the era of burst bubbles and other structural impediments. However, this may change if “Abenomics” delivers on its promises, which in turn has major trade and investment implications for the Asean-5 countries of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam. Continue reading »
Amid the worldwide emerging market sell-off, it’s understandable that a small data point like Philippines monthly exports might have failed to garner much attention.
But hidden in the detail, there’s an interesting statistic that hints at a broader trend that’s worth keeping an eye on – not just in Asia, but across the emerging world. Continue reading »
In another sign that the benefits of faster economic growth in the Philippines have yet to trickle down, the country’s jobless rate in April rose to 7.5 per cent, the highest in almost four years, the government statistics office said Tuesday.
That is roughly in the same quarter that GDP surged 7.8 per cent, the highest in more than two years. Asia’s fastest growing economy also has one of the region’s biggest unemployment problems. Continue reading »
Just a day or two after mid-term elections that tightened Philippine president Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino’s hold on Congress, his economic managers unveiled a package of potentially contentious proposals to raise mining taxes that will test the president’s grip on the law-making body when it convenes in July. Continue reading »
It may look like a belated internal housekeeping job, coming long after rivals did the same thing. But the Philippine SM Group’s announcement on Friday that it will combine its various real estate businesses with its shopping mall operations under one company is making a big splash.
Stock exchange trading for the group’s four publicly-listed vehicles was suspended to make way for the announcement of the creation of the country’s largest property company. Continue reading »
Southeast Asia’s credentials as the next great frontier for economic growth, spurred by young populations and cautious optimism over planned structural reforms is one this year’s big emerging market themes. Just look at the Philippines, which notched up 7.8 per cent growth in the first quarter, even beating China.
But for private equity, the region is proving a tough nut to crack. Last year, according to consultancy Bain & Co, was “underwhelming”. Deal value fell by 16 per cent to $4.9bn, the number of deals dropped to just 32, from 39 the year previously. Continue reading »