The Pacific Alliance is all the rage in Latin America. As today’s FT special report shows, the members of this newly-formed free trade pact include some of the region’s best-managed and most reform-minded economies: Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. These countries do not represent some kind of Platonic ideal. They suffer problems aplenty. But their governments do pride themselves on hard-nosed business dealing rather than gassy ideology. That being the case, is there a way for portfolio investors to actually trade the idea? Continue reading »
By Lucien Chauvin and Andres Schipani
Ollanta Humala, Peru’s president, is in a tough spot. The country faces its most serious constitutional crisis in more than a decade on Monday, if lawmakers reject his cabinet in a vote of no confidence.
The crisis revolves not around government policy or the performance of Humala’s cabinet, but around the role of his wife, First Lady Nadine Heredia. Continue reading »
Those times of stellar annual growth rates of 6, 7 or 8 per cent that Peru experienced in recent years may be gone, and the country might now be dealing with a current account deficit.
But the Andean nation still has quite a vibrant economy, which in 2013 expanded by 5 per cent, the national statistics agency said on Friday. Continue reading »
It has been a while coming but after a UN ruling on Monday it is finally time for Chile and Peru to put their maritime differences behind them.
The International Court of Justice in The Hague has given Peru a chunk of the Pacific Ocean it did not have before, while Chile has retained its rich coastal fishing grounds. So, despite smug smiles and gnashing of teeth in some corners of both countries, what looks like a split sovereignty ruling should reinforce the pledge Peru and Chile have made to remain good neighbours. Continue reading »
When it comes to energy in Latin America, all eyes have been on Mexico’s plans to open its oil industry to private investment. But Peruvian officials stole some of that thunder at the weekend by saying the government planned to sell up to 49 per cent of state-run PetroPeru. Continue reading »
An IMF research paper shows how rare Latin American financial crises have been since 1998, when the world was rocked by EM currency crises. We’ve graphed the findings below.
Carlos Vegh and Guillermo Vuletin, the authors, think the continent has learnt from 1998. Successful countries like Brazil, Peru and Chile have stimulated their economies when GDP dipped; before 1998, they were less keen to do so. Continue reading »
Research company Wealth-X has released its annual report on “ultra high net worth individuals”. (For those prefer plain English, they mean the stinking rich.)
The super wealthy in the west have got even richer over the past year. In fact the super rich have got richer just about everywhere – bar in eight emerging and frontier countries including China, Brazil and Syria. Continue reading »
Wasn’t the talk in some corners of Lima that the Peruvian economy was already pointing upwards? It seems for policy makers it needed yet another push.
Surprising analysts, the central bank has cut its policy interest rate, which has been fixed at 4.25 per cent a year since June 2011, to 4 per cent. Continue reading »
The times of the rip-roaring annual growth rates of 7 or 8 per cent that Peru has witnessed in recent years might be over but the Andean country is still one of Latin America’s most dynamic economies.
That, at least, is according to its finance minister Luis Miguel Castilla (pictured), who told beyondbrics that the economy will recover to some 6 per cent “or even more” next year – thanks in part to infrastructure spending, a recovery in business confidence, and strong mining investment that is expected to double the country’s copper production by 2016. Continue reading »
Mineral-rich Peru appears to be getting back to the game following news that Minmetals of China has submitted a bid for Glencore Xstrata’s Las Bambas copper project, one of the largest new copper projects in the world. Two other Chinese companies, Chinalco and Jiangxi Copper, as well as Newmont Mining of the US have also expressed interest in the mine.
Glencore is selling Las Bambas as a condition of its acquisition of Xstrata imposed by Chinese regulators. But Peru’s government has good reason to want a “first class” buyer, in the words of mining minister Jorge Merino, as it appears to be serious about re-igniting several large mining projects that have been stalled by protests or other issues. Continue reading »
Investors have got used to the idea that Brazil’s economy is not delivering on its post-crisis promise and that Chile, Peru, Colombia and Mexico are where future growth lies.
But how upbeat are consumers in those countries? A survey commissioned by LatAm Confidential, a new service from the Financial Times launched this week, throws up some surprising results. Continue reading »
Peru has racked up a decade of rapid economic growth that has made it one of Latin America’s investment darlings.
But the weakness of its institutions – evidenced by recent street protests over a Congressional backroom deal to appoint key Supreme Court judges – remains a constant, niggling “investment risk” in the eyes of most analysts.
For Enrique Mendizabal, a researcher who has launched the country’s first national awards for think tanks in conjunction with the magazine Poder, the importance of homegrown research to drive policy is an important part of addressing that weakness. Continue reading »
Peru’s biggest construction and engineering firm, Graña y Montero, showed the strength of pent-up demand for Latin American stocks on Wednesday with a $413m listing on the New York Stock Exchange.
“This transaction is going to open the door for upcoming Latin American IPOs,” NYSE’s head of Latin America, Alexandre Ibrahim, told beyondbrics. Continue reading »
Pick a number, any number. You might just hit on the amount Peru’s government will have to pay out to the holders of 40-year-old “land bonds” that hark back to the leftist military regime of Juan Velasco Alvarado.
When General Velasco expropriated huge tracts of land off wealthy ranchers to redistribute amongst campesinos, landholders were paid in bonds which have since been stored hopefully in family safes or sold on to speculative investors. Continue reading »