Nigeria’s central bank has held its policy interest rate at 12 per cent for the 12th consecutive month. Can anything make it budge?
Analysts seem to think not. There are three factors that will keep rates locked: inflation, the naira and reserves. Continue reading »
As African central bank governors go, few have a higher profile than Lamido Sanusi – and few have courted more controversy. Appointed in the midst of a debt crisis in 2009, his bold moves to fix Nigeria’s crisis-stricken banks toppled the chief executives of eight local lenders, and he’s not one to tiptoe around the political elite either.
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After years of persistently high inflation, you would think taming the beast would be cause for celebration.
Not in Nigeria – or in the central bank, at any rate. Despite inflation falling to a 5-year low of 8.6 per cent year-on-year in March, the news has simply exacerbated the debate over what to do about interest rates. Continue reading »
Nigeria’s economy grew 6.5 per cent in the third quarter, slightly up from 6.4 per cent in the previous period. Continue reading »
Joining the club can bring a whole new bunch of friends. In the case of Nigeria, which last month was admitted by JP Morgan to its emerging market Government Bond Index with effect from October, it means a lots of new overseas investors – and borrowing costs dropping off a cliff.
But that doesn’t mean everything is rosy. Inflation is still stubbornly high, above the single-digit target, and the central bank is expected to hold interest rates on Tuesday. Continue reading »
Falling inflation wasn’t enough to twist policy makers’ arms in Nigeria on Tuesday. The central bank’s monetary policy committee left its policy rate at 12 per cent for a third consecutive time.
Although Monday’s inflation figure of 11.9 per cent year on year in February surprised the market, it is still above the central bank target of 10 per cent. Continue reading »