Rusal, the world’s largest aluminium group, on Monday reported losses for last year, announced new plans to cut output, and repeated calls for other producers to reduce capacity in an over-supplied industry.
All very sensible. But rivals won’t necessarily do as Rusal asks. And there there doubts whether the company can deliver on its pledge to reduce capacity in Russia by 7 per cent this year when the Kremlin won’t want the job cuts. No wonder the shares fell 3.4 per cent. Continue reading »
Roman Abramovich’s arrival as a peacemaker might have merited a warmer welcome given the bile surrounding Norilsk. But it was a bad day for the Russian market – and, in any case, the deal’s details suggest that trust remains in very short supply. One clause envisages penalties of over $560m at current share prices. The hatchet is, at best, half-buried. Continue reading »
Rusal is stuck between a rock and a hard place. The world’s largest aluminium producer on Monday produced its worst quarterly result since 2008.
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation were down 82 per cent to $130m in the three months to September compared to the previous quarter, on a 9.2 per cent drop in revenues to $2.6bn. With supply outstripping demand and prices down around 10 per cent over the past year, the debt-laden Russian group has few options but to keep stripping out costs – and maintain good relations with its creditors. Continue reading »
More bad news for Oleg Deripaska. As a huge lawsuit brought by a fellow Russian oligarch against him began in London, the billionaire chief executive of Rusal would have received word from Nigeria that his company’s investment there is in peril.
The supreme court in Abuja ruled on Friday that Rusal should be stripped of ownership of the former state-owned Aluminium Smelter Company of Nigeria (Alscon). Continue reading »
On Monday, the $-denominated MSCI index of central and east European equities was down a full 4.6 per cent, more than double the 1.9 per cent decline in global EMs. Stocks, bonds and currencies were all sold off in the flight to safety. Continue reading »
But what excited Deripaska most were Russian lending rates. At 9 per cent a year and more, they are far too high, he says. And the answer is: a change in the “ridiculous” management team at the central bank. Continue reading »
The Russian aluminium producer’s net profit for 2011 fell by more than 90 per cent after a $1.4bn writedown on the value of its 30 per cent stake in Norilsk Nickel. Lex discuss the implications for the investors of the determined pursuit of Norilsk by Rusal’s controlling shareholder Oleg Deripaska.
Russian oligarchs make uneasy partners – both for each other and for other shareholders. The falling out at Rusal, the world’s largest aluminium group, isn’t the first such row, and it won’t be the last.
UC Rusal’s controversial, but ultimately successful, Hong Kong listing was supposed to be the harbinger of an important new geoeconomic trend. If the heavily indebted aluminium group, controlled by oligarch Oleg Deripaska, could raise $2.2bn on the Chinese special administrative region’s stock exchange, surely other Russian resource companies would follow its lead. Continue reading »