So exciting are European Union summits that they sometimes distract attention from developments that, though perhaps less eye-catching, tell you a lot more about what’s going on in the EU. For example, the latest two-day summit is concentrating on financial regulation, guarantees for Ireland’s sovereignty so that it can hold another referendum on the EU’s Lisbon treaty, and the nomination of José Manuel Barroso for a second term as European Commission president.
But a more interesting story was the breakdown on Thursday of EU-mediated talks between Slovenia and Croatia over their bilateral maritime border dispute. This makes it virtually certain that Croatia will not complete its EU accession negotiations by the end of this year – the goal that Barroso and Croatia’s government had originally set themselves.
Croatia has been an official candidate for EU membership since 2005. The slow pace of its accession talks is sending a very poor signal to the populations of other Balkan countries, such as Albania, the former Yugoslav republic of Macedonia and Serbia. They instinctively see their future in the EU, with its implicit promises of prosperity and security.
But with Croatia’s negotiations gummed up, they are starting to wonder when they will ever get their opportunity to join. This has serious implications for the stability of the region, which was devastated by war and economic dislocation in the 1990s and is now suffering the impact of the world financial crisis and recession.
Slovenia started blocking Croatia’s accession talks last December in what looked like a blatant attempt to exploit the fact that it was already an EU member to triumph in the border dispute. Most other EU countries were unhappy with Slovenia’s tactics. Six months later, however, nothing much has changed.
Why have Slovenia’s EU partners not put Ljubljana under more pressure to find a solution? One answer is that certain countries – one thinks of France, Germany and the Netherlands – are not especially enthusiastic about enlarging the EU at the moment. At the very least, they want the Lisbon treaty to come into force before the EU admits any new members.
Given the uncertainty over the Lisbon treaty, it would seem that Slovenia has every incentive not to speed up the resolution of its border dispute with Croatia. And so it is that EU enlargement – one of the bloc’s policies that has been shown to work very effectively over the past 30 years – falls by the wayside. Not very clever.


Older entries




Across the globe: Gideon Rachman and his FT colleagues debate international affairs on