Monthly Archives: December 2007

John Gapper

This was a weird and wonderful day on Wall Street; one for the history books.

First, we learnt that David Rubenstein of Carlyle Group had bought a copy of the Magna Carta for $23.1m and plans to keep it on display at the National Archives in near his office in Washington. He did it, he told the Wall Street Journal, to "repay a debt I have to the country".

Talking of debt, Morgan Stanley then declared a $9.4bn write-down on mortgage securities, mostly run up by a single trading desk, which is quite a lot of money for a few people to lose. It said it was taking a $5bn capital infusion from China’s sovereign wealth fund and John Mack, its chief executive, would give up his annual bonus as penance.

Finally, we had a conference call to match – and indeed surpass – for strangeness the one held by Bear Stearns in the summer at which Jimmy Cayne, its chief executive disappeared halfway through the call and Bear’s stock fell sharply.

This time, the conference call was held by Sallie Mae, the giant mortgage securitisation group. It started amiably but Al Lord, its chief executive, then got into a tussle with analysts about how much information he was divulging. The call ended with Mr Lord saying testily to his head of investor relations head: "Let’s get the (expletive deleted) out of here" and Sallie Mae’s shares dropping 21 per cent.

You might have thought that staying on a call long enough to answer questions and remaining polite would not be too much to ask of a chief executive trying to retain confidence in his company. These are strange times indeed.

John Gapper

50s_column

For my weekly column in the FT, I have written about the decision by Tim Mason, the head of US operations for Tesco, to rule himself out of the race to succeed Terry Leahy as chief executive on the grounds that he is too old. Mr Mason is 50.

I conclude that companies are acting rationally in looking for chief executives in their mid to late-forties but that does not mean everyone over the age of 50 is doomed.

You can read the whole column here and post comments below.

John Gapper

Via Marginal Revolution, via Kottke, from LinuxWorld, (isn’t the internet a wonderful thing?) comes this sentiment:

Google is one of the few large companies that gets one fundamental rule of the Internet: Trying stuff is cheaper than deciding whether to try it . . . Don’t over-plan something. Just do it half-assed to start with, then throw more people at it to fix it if it works.

I think this is quite an important insight into the evolving nature of product development. Traditionally, companies hem and haw for a long time about launching products, partly because they are hard to come up with, partly because they do not want to waste money on something that does not pan out, and partly because they do not want to damage their reputations if the products fail.

But Google has, from the start, adopted a far more relaxed and improvisatory approach to new products. Many of them, as a Business Week article on cloud computing illustrated, emerge from the "20 per cent time" that Google engineers are supposedly allowed to spend on special projects of their own choosing. Others start off small, remain in beta for some time, and eventually gather steam.

This venture capital-style approach to new products has its risks. Some Google products publicly flop and others do not go anywhere much. But it allows the company to throw things up quickly. And it does cost less than having big layers of bureaucracy deciding what should be approved and what killed.

I have heard management consultants suggest that this "portfolio" approach to product development – essentially to try out a lot of things and see what works – is the future for all kinds of companies. The LinuxWorld post expresses its benefits neatly.

John Gapper

Scott Patterson of the Wall Street Journal thinks the fact that Wall Street analysts did not predict the downturn in investment bank earnings from the credit squeeze is "perhaps one of the biggest analyst lapses since Wall Street made darlings out of such 1990s Internet companies as Pets.com."

I don’t know about that. Surely the point of the analysts’ scandal of the early 1990s was that they knew that internet companies were no good but failed to tell investors because their banks wanted to gain advisory and underwriting business?

Getting earnings forecasts wrong may be embarrassing but it is hardly a scandal. In fact, I would say it is the opposite: it demonstrates that inside information was not leaking down from the top of the banks to their analysts. Chalk one up for Chinese walls.

John Gapper

I was gripped by Pico Iyer’s essay on the enigma of why service on US airlines is so bad compared with that in other US industries. As he pointedly asks:

Why is it, I often wonder, that US carriers have far and away the worst — most surly, inattentive and often snooty — service in the world?

It is a bit of a puzzle but I do not believe his theory that US airlines place the oldest and least enthusiastic attendants on the long-haul flights that he frequents. If that were so, then travelling on domestic US flights would be preferable. It is not.

John Gapper

What is the most powerful newspaper in the world? This weekend, it have been the Des Moines Register, which usually exists in relative obscurity but every four years has a big say in which candidates are nominated by the state of Iowa to be Democrat and Republican presidential candidates.

This year, as before, Iowa and New Hampshire have a disproportionate influence on who gets chosen as party candidates because they go first. The first vote this year is the Iowa caucus (the rules of which are too difficult to explain, or indeed for me to grasp), which will happen on February 3.

John Gapper

The baseball scandal in the US is an extraordinary story of an entire sport seemingly getting caught up in illegal drug-taking. Watching the press conferences given by George Mitchell, who conducted the inquiry into Major League Baseball, and others on Thursday I was most struck by the dog-in-the-manger attitude of Don Fehr, the head of the players’ association.

Mr Fehr spent most of his opening statement complaining about Mr Mitchell and the way that the inquiry had been conducted rather than apologising for the conduct of his members. True, it is only alleged conduct in the particular cases of the 89 players named in Mr Mitchell’s report. But Mr Fehr cannot seriously dispute that baseball has a big problem and that at least some of his members are part of it.

Here is the FT’s editorial on the subject.

John Gapper

Continuing my fascination with the Wall Street Journal and its takeover by Rupert Murdoch, I turned to the newspaper’s masthead this morning for a spot of Kremlinology.

The old US masthead, at the bottom of the second editorial page, featured Gordon Crovitz, the publisher, on the left side – the column reserved for editorial – and Peter McPherson and Richard Zannino, chairman and chief executive respectively of Dow Jones & Co, topping the business names on the right.

That was a clear enough division of church and state. So what would the post-takeover masthead look like, I wondered, after the fuss over whether Mr Murdoch will interfere in editorial matters?

The answer is: the masthead’s former strict division of left and right has been, ahem, superseded. Marcus Brauchli, the paper’s managing editor, is now at the top of the left-hand column with Clare Hart, executive vice-president of Dow Jones, at the top of the right-hand column.

But floating above both columns are now: Rupert Murdoch, chairman, Leslie Hinton, chief executive, and Robert Thomson, publisher. They are, by implication, the three kings of everything below. That answers that question.

Of course, none of this resolves the vexed issue of whether Dow Jones is the greatest brand in financial journalism.

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This blog is mainly about business and strategy and how and why people who run companies take the decisions that they do.

Most of the time, John Gapper is in New York and Andrew Hill is in London. We occasionally debate business issues between us, but your comments and criticism are welcome.




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Contact andrew.hill@ft.com or john.gapper@ft.com about the Business blog.

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About John and Andrew

John Gapper is an associate editor and the chief business commentator of the FT. He has worked for the FT since 1987, covering labour relations, banking and the media. He is co-author, with Nicholas Denton, of All That Glitters, an account of the collapse of Barings in 1995.

Andrew Hill is an associate editor and the management editor of the FT. He is a former City editor, financial editor, comment and analysis editor, New York bureau chief, foreign news editor and correspondent in Brussels and Milan.

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