Daily Archives: June 30, 2008

John Gapper

This morning’s Wall Street Journal story on Martin Broughton, chairman of British Airways, predicting that US airlines will soon start lobbying for the relaxation of foreign ownership rules has the ring of truth to me.

The reason is that one senior executive of a US airline said precisely that to me recently (off the record). He said that he could no longer see the point of the US law barring a foreign airline from owning more than 25 per cent of a US one and would not object to it being abolished.

The reason he gave for this was that the industry was largely financed by debt anyway and it did not make much difference who held the equity. This seemed fair enough but underlying it is financial pragmatism – US airlines need capital from wherever they can get it these days.

Of course, from the consumer’s perspective, allowing foreign ownership would be a boon. The US airlines – like those in some other countries – have existed in a protectionist world for too long and it has not helped either standards of customer service or the industry’s solvency.

The long-running battle over the ownership and control of Virgin America showed how protectionist the US market remains. Even my executive was too wary of a backlash to make his views known openly.

But there is nothing like self-interest to batter down longstanding traditions and I suspect Mr Broughton’s prediction may prove true.

John Gapper

There is a lot of financial action in Qatar at the moment, and that means fees for investment banks. Last week’s announcement of a strategic partnership between NYSE Euronext and the State of Qatar to boost the local stock exchange is being followed by an IPO of Vodafone’s Qatar business.

What strikes me about the latter is the financial advisers to the deal: HSBC Middle East and Qatar National Bank. Neither of these is one of Wall Street’s big swinging investment banks, which are now sweeping into the Gulf in the hope of gaining petrodollars.

The gulf is an interesting test case of longstanding relationships versus deal-making prestige. Qatar National Bank clearly has a lot of the former, but so does HSBC, which has been in the Gulf for a long time, as it has across Asia.

This counts for something but not as much as you might think. One HSBC banker in the Gulf told me last year that the bank was already under pressure from the Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanleys of the world, which were squeezing it out of deals that it formerly expected to get.

In general, the financial world is pretty unsentimental and all of the talk about relationships mattering in China has not stopped the big Wall Street firms picking up a lot of business there. I expect the Gulf will be just as fertile territory for them.

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This blog is mainly about business and strategy and how and why people who run companies take the decisions that they do.

Most of the time, John Gapper is in New York and Andrew Hill is in London. We occasionally debate business issues between us, but your comments and criticism are welcome.




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About John and Andrew

John Gapper is an associate editor and the chief business commentator of the FT. He has worked for the FT since 1987, covering labour relations, banking and the media. He is co-author, with Nicholas Denton, of All That Glitters, an account of the collapse of Barings in 1995.

Andrew Hill is an associate editor and the management editor of the FT. He is a former City editor, financial editor, comment and analysis editor, New York bureau chief, foreign news editor and correspondent in Brussels and Milan.

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