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December 11, 2007

A Farewell to Alms

Two more reviews of Gregory Clark’s book on development. First, Ben Friedman in the NYT (sceptical but fascinated)…

Every story has to begin somewhere. Do we think technological progress was responsible for the Industrial Revolution and the astonishing increase in living standards in some countries but not others since then? Fine, but what brought about the new technology? Maybe social and political institutions — democracy, tolerance, the rule of law — played a role in when and where living standards increased. But where did they come from?

After decades of banishment to the realm of sociology and other such disciplines, the idea that a society’s “culture” matters has recently reappeared in economics. David Landes, an economic historian and a living national treasure if there ever was one, began this movement nearly 10 years ago when he looked in part to culture to explain “why some are so rich and some so poor” (the subtitle of his classic overview of world history).

But why not go one step further: If culture is responsible, where does it come from? Why do some countries have an economically helpful culture while others don’t? And, since no society got very far in economic terms before the Industrial Revolution, what caused the culture of the recently successful ones to change?

In “A Farewell to Alms,” Gregory Clark, an economic historian at the University of California, Davis, suggests an intriguing, even startling answer: natural selection. Focusing on England, where the Industrial Revolution began, Clark argues that persistently different rates of childbearing and survival, across differently situated families, changed human nature in ways that finally allowed human beings to escape from the Malthusian trap in which they had been locked since the dawn of settled agriculture, 10,000 years before. Specifically, the families that propagated themselves were the rich, while those that died out were the poor. Over time, the “survival of the richest” propagated within the population the traits that had allowed these people to be more economically successful in the first place: rational thought, frugality, a capacity for hard work — in short the familiar list of Calvinist, bourgeois virtues. The greater prevalence of those traits in turn made possible the Industrial Revolution and all that it has brought. (A lacuna in the argument is that Clark never says just how prevalent this Darwinian process made the traits he has in mind. Would an increase from, say 0.05 percent of the population to 0.50 percent have mattered much?)

Clark’s book is delightfully written, offering a profusion of detail on such seeming arcana as technology in Polynesia and Tasmania before contact with the West, Sharia-consistent banking practices in the Ottoman Empire and bathing habits (actually, the lack thereof) in 17th-century England. But Clark’s eye is fixed steadily on the idea he’s pushing; the details are fascinating, but they are there because they help make his central argument.

Second, Deidre McCloskey (pdf; unimpressed and somewhat aggrieved), via Marginal Revolution.

My FT review of the book is here. (I was fascinated, too, but I should have made more of my reservations.)

5 Responses to “A Farewell to Alms”

Comments

  1. Since I can’t locate Clive Crook’s review and I have not seen or read the book, it is worse than presumptuous of me to comment. But, judging from the above quoted portion of Mr. Friedman’s review, Gregory Clark’s book seems like the most obnoxious type of warmed-over social Darwinism. Maybe this was a useful theory in the 19th century age of robber barons and ruthless imperialism. But is it appropriate for the 21st century, when people all over the world are hoping to build a society based on the desire for peace and respect for human rights? Or does Mr. Clark believe that these goals themselves are just evidence of “weakness” on the part of those who deserve to be losers in the battle for survival?

    Posted by: algasema | December 11th, 2007 at 5:39 pm | Report this comment
  2. By way of postscript, I have found and read Mr. Crook’s review of Mr. Clark’s book. If anything, Mr. Crook’s review lends support to my above comments.

    Posted by: algasema | December 11th, 2007 at 5:55 pm | Report this comment
  3. Algasema-

    Further to our earlier conversation, the CBO just released data today on 2005:

    The effective tax rate paid by the top 1% was 31.2%, off from 33% pre-Bush. That’s a 5% reduction.

    The effective tax rate paid by the American households in the middle class was 14.2%, off from 16.6% pre-Bush. That’s a 14% reduction.

    Like I said, as a percentage of income, Bush favored the middle class. The tally includes all federal taxes, not just federal income taxes.

    Also, the share of taxes paid by the 1% increased to 27.6% in 2005 from 25.4% from 2004.

    You may think the government should confiscate more than 33% of the 1%’s income, or you may think that the 1% should pay more then 25% of all federal revenues, but you can’t make a colorable argument that Bush’s cuts were “for the rich”.

    Posted by: Bababooey | December 12th, 2007 at 5:26 pm | Report this comment
  4. Algasema, the question is whether the theory is true or false, not whether it is “appropriate to the 21st century”.

    People who think that a comment is inappropriate generally secretly think it to be true.

    Personally I am sceptical. Most wealth in preindustrial Britain was inherited, not earned. The best way to acquire wealth was therefore to marry it. Britons should therefore have been evolving, not into Isambard Kingdom Brunel, but instead into Lucy Steele: http://www.sparknotes.com/lit/sensibility/summary.html

    Posted by: twittering | December 12th, 2007 at 9:05 pm | Report this comment
  5. “Most wealth in preindustrial Britain was inherited, not earned.”

    It might be true that most great fortunes were inherited, not made. But the number who could live off inherited wealth was vanishingly small. Clark’s point is about all the people in the middle, the small farmer and the bakery owner who did well left more children than their friends who did less well.

    “appropriate for the 21st century”

    What does that mean? Explanations of history can be true, or false, or something in between. And they can be useful for understanding present-day problems, or not. But it’s not a question of whether you like them or not.

    Posted by: improbable | December 14th, 2007 at 7:58 pm | Report this comment

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