Nandan Nilekani

Nandan Nilekani is co-chairman of Infosys, the software services company

I took part in a luncheon discussion on the ‘post-carbon’ economy. This very term, ‘post-carbon’, is an obviously optimistic, future-forward theme in a time when oil and coal consumption is surging. Finding consensus here towards far-reaching solutions feels like a distant hope. In fact, our looming ecological crisis mirrors our present economic crisis in disconcerting ways.

Both these crises, for instance, happen to be triggered by market failure. The absence of any accounting when it came to environmental costs, and our failure to price natural resources into the economy have brought about the climate crisis. The financial collapse represents the same case of ‘disastrous optimism’ – our overlooking of ‘negative externalities’ in financial reporting, balance sheets and risk assessment. And in both these cases, we have tried to privatise profits and socialise losses.

The Davos annual gathering has an uncanny knack of being able to both predict and understand future waves of investment and growth. The wisdom of this particular crowd has been adept at capturing the zeitgeist. Two years back for instance, at Davos 2007, the reigning superstars were the wizards of private equity. These men and women, who Tom Wolfe had called the ‘Masters of the Universe’, were welcomed everywhere with applause and appreciation, and they fascinated audiences with their war stories of multi-billion dollar acquisitions. There was widespread speculation surrounding when they would break the US$ 100bn mark. There was no public company in the world that seemed beyond them.

As I make my way this week to Davos via Riyadh and Zurich, it becomes clear that the chill in the global economy has reached the deserts of Saudi Arabia. I attend a panel at the Saudi Global Competitiveness Forum where each speaker outdoes the next in headlining the many risks of the current downturn and predicting the gravest of consequences.’ Godzilla’ seems to have replaced ‘Goldilocks’ as the defining metaphor for our world markets.

Davos blog 2009

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