Daily Archives: January 30, 2008

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By Martin Wolf

Whatever else it may be, the Federal Reserve is not boring. Indeed, by the standards of other central banks, it is hyperactive. The shock 0.75 percentage point reduction in the Federal Funds rate of interest last week, particularly if followed by the widely expected 0.5 percentage points on Wednesday, is a dramatic example. The Fed is the exemplar of an activist central bank. But US fiscal authorities are not far behind, as the $150bn (just over 1 per cent of gross domestic product) fiscal package going through Congress demonstrates.

So what are the US monetary and fiscal authorities trying to do? Will it work? What are the risks? Should others follow suit? The urgency of these questions was made clear at the annual meetings of the World Economic Forum in Davos last week. The consensus was gloomy. Comfortingly, the Davos consensus is usually wrong. The Fed is certainly trying to prove it so this time.

The answer to the first question is: apply “risk management”. That approach is associated with Alan Greenspan, the former Fed chairman. But it is also central to the thinking of the Fed under Ben Bernanke.

The remainder of this column can be read here. Debate from our panel of economists appears below.

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