A deep recession but a strong recovery

November 25th, 2008 3:30pm

By Nariman Behravesh

The full fury of the two shocks that have hit the world economy - the financial crisis and record oil prices - is beginning to dissipate. Unfortunately, the full impact of these shocks on the real economy has yet to be felt. Continue reading "A deep recession but a strong recovery"

Dig into the IMF’s tool box to tackle the crisis

November 11th, 2008 5:50pm

By Morris Goldstein

With a global recession in prospect, now is the time to strengthen the provisions of the International Monetary Fund’s old Compensatory Financing Facility and to put it back into action. Continue reading "Dig into the IMF’s tool box to tackle the crisis"

Money market on strike

November 9th, 2008 10:00pm

By Jon Danielsson and Casper de Vries

Neither the recent massive money market injections, the coordinated lowering of interest rates nor the use of public funds to recapitalise banks have done much to restart interbank lending. This action did not solve the underlying problem preventing interbank lending: extreme information asymmetry. Continue reading "Money market on strike"

The folly of Europe’s central banks

October 28th, 2008 3:39pm

By John N Muellbauer

When future economic historians look back to trace the triggers for the October 2008 financial panic and the unnecessarily severe recession of 2009, they will likely put their fingers on two.

  • The failure to keep Lehman Bros functioning as a going concern.
  • The failure of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England to use their interest rate setting firepower to organise a substantial globally co-ordinated interest rate cut (the cut of October 8, 2008 was too timid).

A convincing argument for independent central banks adopting an inflation targeting framework is that, where central banks are forward looking and responsive, they should be able to avoid deflationary slumps. The markets then should expect the central banks to assess clearly the global economic situation and the downside risks, and take decisive action. Continue reading "The folly of Europe’s central banks"