Chevron’s interim update, at first glance, is bad news. Earnings for the fourth quarter 2009 are expected to be lower than in the third quarter of 2009. When broken down by segment, downstream – refining and marketing – results, are expected to be sharply lower, due mainly to significantly weaker refining margins, which are affecting the industry as a whole. Upstream – exploration and production – results are expected to be in line with third quarter results, as the benefit of higher commodity prices is offset by the absence of gains recognized in the third quarter associated with formal approval of the Gorgan liquefied natural gas project in Australia.
But a closer look at Chevron’s upstream results by Credit Suisse reveals all is not lost.


