Ed Crooks

Vattenfall's Schwarze Pumpe carbon capture and storage pilot  plant

Vattenfall's Schwarze Pumpe CCS pilot

Lars Josefsson, who this week stepped down as chief executive of Vattenfall, has earned the right to take some pride in his achievements in his nine years leading the the Swedish state-owned power group.

Apart from his role in turning a national electricity company into an important player across northern Europe, Josefsson was also a pioneer among industry executives – alongside Lord Browne at BP – in taking seriously the threat of climate change.

As he steps down, however, to be replaced by Øystein Løseth, there is a question over how far Vattenfall will remain ahead of the pack, if at all.

Ed Crooks

In the run-up to the British general election campaign, gas storage became an unlikely subject of political controversy.

When the coldest winter for many years coincided with an interruption to supplies from Norway, gas suppliers were forced to exercise the option to cut back supplies for customers on interruptible contracts. The Conservatives made great play of the fact that Britain had less than a week’s gas consumption left in storage.

That particular factoid was always pretty meaningless. It is hard to believe that Britain’s entire gas supply will ever be cut off altogether, and the rate at which gas can flow out of storage can be as important as the total volume of gas available. But even so, the Conservatives tapped into a real concern that as Britain’s domestic gas production from the North Sea declines, the country is going to need a lot more storage as a buffer against supply shocks.

Now, in a policy paper smuggled out over the Easter holiday period, the Labour government has put forward its ideas about how to answer those concerns. And in a predictable twist, its potential answers are very close to the solutions put forward by the Tories.

Ed Crooks

As the details emerge of president Obama’s proposals to open up more areas of the US coast for oil and gas development, the modest scale of his plans has become clear. Indeed, in Alaska the restrictions on access are being strengthened, not relaxed.

The industry has welcomed the proposals as a good start, but some majors are privately pointing out what more they would like to see done.

The plan as set out by the Department of the Interior supports the contention that the significance of the move is largely political.

Ed Crooks

A new climate bill in the US senate that puts a tax on oil companies might be expected to raise howls of protest from the industry, but ConocoPhillips’ chief executive Jim Mulva likes the sound of the bill expected to be published by senators John Kerry, Lindsey Graham and Joe Lieberman.

He may not agree with everything in the senators’ plan. But given that carbon dioxide emissions need to be controlled, he believes the senators’ plan is likely to be clearly superior to the other options. In particular, it looks much better for the oil and gas industry than the Waxman-Markey bill passed in the House of Representatives last year.

The most striking thing is that he is backing something that looks very much like a carbon tax.

Ed Crooks

On Energy Source:

The climate emails inquiry

Anadarko’s exploration success

Energy headlines

Elsewhere:

Virent produces small quantities of “biogasoline” from sugar (WSJ)

Toshiba and Bill Gates to develop nuclear reactor (Sify)

More scepticism over Calera’s carbon capture (NY Times)

India competes with China in the battle for oil (The National)

World oil reserves over-stated by up to a third, says former UK chief scientific adviser (The Telegraph)

…and how he was attacked for taking a different view in 2007 (The Oil Drum)

Ed Crooks

BP has announced its deal with Devon Energy that it hopes will take it into the oil reserves of Brazil’s deep water for the first time, and some of the details are slightly different from what we thought when word first started circulating about the deal last night.

BP is paying $7bn, not $6bn, and is acquiring Devon’s assets in Azerbaijan – a country where BP is already very strong, and growing – as well as Brazil and the Gulf of Mexico.

Perhaps the most intriguing point – although a sideshow to the main event in Brazil and the Gulf of  Mexico – is what is going on with its Canadian heavy oil assets.

Ed Crooks

Update: More recent details of the $7bn Devon deal, and its Canadian oil sands side-deal.

BP plans to pay about $6bn for oil and gas assets put up for sale by Devon Energy of the US, particularly offshore acreage in the Gulf of Mexico and Brazil, taking advantage of its financial strength to make an important strategic move.

As of midnight London time, a deal was close, according to people with knowledge of the negotiations, and could come on Thursday.

For Devon, the deal looks pretty good. It has moved sharply on the sale, which had been expected to take until the end of the year. The price is hard to assess without the full details, but it does not look bad: BP is paying the mid-point of the $4.5bn-$7.5bn price that Devon hoped to raise, and it is not yet clear whether it is taking all of the assets that have been put up for sale. The disposal will free up capital to enable Devon to invest in its onshore US and Canadian business, particularly its position in the booming unconventional gas industry.

However, it is probably more significant for BP.

Ed Crooks

The plan for a European ‘super-grid’ being proposed today by 10 companies, including Siemens of Germany and France’s Areva, might sound ridiculously over-ambitious.

Cynics are already noting that most of the members of the group would be direct beneficiaries of the vast amounts that would have to spent building the super-grid.

But this is a project that has already won serious political backing from nine EU member states and Norway, and, at least in its most modest version, looks like a realistic prospect.

Ed Crooks

BP’s annual strategy presentation was delivered to analysts and investors on Tuesday, with the key headlines about the planned efficiency savings and production growth released beforehand.

Much of this is along the lines indicated at BP’s fourth quarter results. There is more detail in the press release, and a lot more in the slides and the webcast.

There was also a first appearance from Carl-Henric Svanberg, BP’s chairman, who sat silent throughout, but signed off saying: “I think your guys did well.”

Overall, the theme from Tony Hayward, the CEO, is that BP has great assets, in part thanks to the deals of the past decade, such as the takeovers of Amoco and Arco and the creation of TNK-BP, but is still not managing them as well as it could.

Ed Crooks

BP has been making some interesting points about the outlook for the natural gas market, most recently in a very thoughtful article in Foreign Affairs (requires subscription) by Christof Rühl, the company’s chief economist. It is a theme that BP is likely to highlight in its strategy presentation to investors on Tuesday.

It looks pretty clear that the key trends in the gas market – strong US production of “unconventional” gas, and the shift from long-term contracts to spot market sales – are bad news for Gazprom. Alexander Medvedev, the head of Gazprom’s international business, told the FT last week that the the basis of the company’s business in long-term oil-linked contracts remained unchanged, in spite of a shift to spot market pricing for between 10 and 15 per cent of the volumes sold to European customers.

What has perhaps been less widely appreciated is that, for all the enthusiasm of BP CEO Tony Hayward, the changing nature of the global gas market could also be bad news for BP and other international oil companies.

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