Sara Akbar, chief executive of Kuwait Energy, an independent oil and gas company focused on the region, brought to the IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates’ annual energy conference in Houston what she called a “view from the street” on the North Africa/Middle East tensions.
Akbar said that although the region was made up of disparate countries, they had enough similarities that one spark had set off change throughout. Even in Kuwait – which she noted had a very stable political system – there were calls for change.
As Brent crude climbs to $118 a barrel on the back of events in Libya, Javier Blas, commodities editor, talks to Daniel Garrahan about how high prices could go if the unrest in the Middle East spreads to Saudi Arabia.
Reuters and Upstream are reporting what looks like good news for those relying on Libyan oil supplies. According to both sources, Jammal bin Nour a judge and member of the coalition that says it is in charge in Benghazi, has said:
The oil deals (with foreign companies) that are legal and to the benefit of the Libyan people we will keep.
Just yesterday I was listening to the chief economist at the Centre for Global Energy Studies explain calmly why the oil price was unlikely to hit $150 a barrel. Today, it has taken a huge jump in that direction, peaking at more than $119.
Analysts are scrambling to update their forecasts. Here are some of their more important/interesting thoughts:
As the oil price continues to surge, hitting $109 a barrel, the oil price movement for 2011 has begun to look very much like that in 2008, when the price ended up hitting $145, and became a contributing factor to the slump.
But Leo Drollas, chief economist at the Centre for Global Energy Studies, thinks it won’t, even though there are many similarities with the situation in 2008, including high oil demand.