If you go down to the woods today, you won’t need a disguise: the bears are all at their annual picnic (OK, conference) in west London, led by uber-bear Albert Edwards of Société Générale.
He’s picked a good day to warn of looming disaster: yet another indicator suggests investor complacency is approaching danger levels thanks to the new year rally.
Short-term momentum indicators were flashing red in Europe last week, and even after falling back slightly remain very high. Read more


James Mackintosh is the Financial Times' Investment Editor, writing and presenting the daily Short View column and video. In 16 years at the FT his posts have included comment editor, motor industry editor and hedge funds correspondent, as well as spells in the Parliamentary lobby and Paris. He was the first reporter hired for FT.com, joining two weeks before it launched.
John Authers is the Financial Times' Senior Investment Columnist, writing the Saturday Long View and a regular Monday column. In a 22-year career at the FT, his previous posts have included global head of the Lex column, investment editor, US markets editor, Mexico City bureau chief and US banking correspondent. His latest book is The Fearful Rise of Markets.