Daily Archives: September 2, 2010

The equity markets have all enjoyed a strong bounce since the US purchasing managers’ index for August was published yesterday. Expected to decline on the month, perhaps by a sizeable amount, the PMI actually rose from 55.5 to 56.3. After a long string of weak data, this is a sufficiently large surprise to pose the question: is the US economy really slowing as much as many of us thought? Maybe I am just stubborn, but this indicator has not been enough to persuade me to change my basic view.

Gavyn Davies

on macroeconomics

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A blog on macroeconomics, economic policymaking and the financial markets. Gavyn usually writes about a key topic of the week on Sunday.

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Gavyn Davies is a macroeconomist who is now chairman of Fulcrum Asset Management and co-founder of Prisma Capital Partners. He was the head of the global economics department at Goldman Sachs from 1987-2001, and was chairman of the BBC from 2001-2004.

He has also served as an economic policy adviser in No 10 Downing Street, an external adviser to the British Treasury, and as a visiting professor at the London School of Economics.

Gavyn Davies is an active investor and may have financial interests and holdings in any of the topics about which he writes. The views expressed are solely those of Mr Davies and in no way reflect the views of Prisma Capital Partners LP, Fulcrum Asset Management LLP, their respective affiliates or representatives. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, investment advice or recommendations. Readers are urged to seek professional advice before making any investments.

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