Daily Archives: January 7, 2011

Although US GDP growth has now been positive for 6 successive quarters, unemployment has remain stubbornly stuck at close to a 10 per cent per cent rate throughout that time. Until today, the jobs data each month had poured a dose of cold water on the idea that the economy was embarking on a “normal” recovery. However, the December labour market data, published today, show the unemployment rate dropping to 9.4 per cent. This suggests that the last and most crucial leg of a normal economic upswing may finally be kicking in, although the rise of only 113,000 in private sector jobs was a tad disappointing.

Gavyn Davies

on macroeconomics

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A blog on macroeconomics, economic policymaking and the financial markets. Gavyn usually writes about a key topic of the week on Sunday.

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Gavyn Davies is a macroeconomist who is now chairman of Fulcrum Asset Management and co-founder of Prisma Capital Partners. He was the head of the global economics department at Goldman Sachs from 1987-2001, and was chairman of the BBC from 2001-2004.

He has also served as an economic policy adviser in No 10 Downing Street, an external adviser to the British Treasury, and as a visiting professor at the London School of Economics.

Gavyn Davies is an active investor and may have financial interests and holdings in any of the topics about which he writes. The views expressed are solely those of Mr Davies and in no way reflect the views of Prisma Capital Partners LP, Fulcrum Asset Management LLP, their respective affiliates or representatives. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, investment advice or recommendations. Readers are urged to seek professional advice before making any investments.

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