The disappointing economic data on US activity in recent months has brought a key policy debate back into focus. Is there a chronic shortage of growth in the developed world, and if so what should be done about it? The Keynesian side of this debate has been well served, with frequent outstanding contributions from Paul Krugman, Brad DeLong and others. But I have had more trouble finding serious economic contributions from the classical school, even though they seem to be gaining ground in political and policy circles on both sides of the Atlantic. For that reason, I was particularly interested in the recent lecture on the US recession given by the University of Chicago’s Robert Lucas. Lucas is universally recognised as an intellectual giant, and his lecture gives a neat synopsis of what the classical school currently thinks, straight from the horse’s mouth.
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