Daily Archives: November 13, 2011

Mario Monti looks poised to become the new Italian prime minister. In sharp contrast to what happened in the last days of Silvio Berlusconi, there will be a strong political desire in Berlin, Paris and Frankfurt to help him stabilise the Italian crisis, and the markets may bounce on this mood. However, the eventual outcome will be determined not by personal relationships at the top of politics, but by economic fundamentals and by the way in which they interact with much wider political forces. On these grounds, Mr Monti’s Italian job looks to be facing daunting odds.

Gavyn Davies

on macroeconomics

About this blog About Gavyn Blog guide
A blog on macroeconomics, economic policymaking and the financial markets. Gavyn usually writes about a key topic of the week on Sunday.

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Gavyn Davies is a macroeconomist who is now chairman of Fulcrum Asset Management and co-founder of Prisma Capital Partners. He was the head of the global economics department at Goldman Sachs from 1987-2001, and was chairman of the BBC from 2001-2004.

He has also served as an economic policy adviser in No 10 Downing Street, an external adviser to the British Treasury, and as a visiting professor at the London School of Economics.

Gavyn Davies is an active investor and may have financial interests and holdings in any of the topics about which he writes. The views expressed are solely those of Mr Davies and in no way reflect the views of Prisma Capital Partners LP, Fulcrum Asset Management LLP, their respective affiliates or representatives. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, investment advice or recommendations. Readers are urged to seek professional advice before making any investments.

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