It’s that time of year again. With 2010 drawing closer, get ready for a surge of house market predictions.
Today the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) said it believed house prices in the UK are likely to remain flat, or, a slight drop in some markets, for the first six months of 2010, before picking up again and remaining stable in the second half of the year.
The prediction matches Halifax’s view in its latest house price index that house prices would remain flat, on average, next year.
The NAEA’s other predictions for the UK housing market include:
- Housing supply will remain stable in the run up to the General Election, after which there are likely to be more houses available for sale, particularly if Home Information Packs are scrapped.
- The General Election will cause a lull in activity as people adopt a “wait and see” approach.
- A number of buyers will continue to take advantage of lower interest rates and lower priced property.
- The continued presence of first time buyers will be critical to market success.
A survey by the Building Societies Association (BSA) also out today shows that the festive season – and maybe all that mulled wine – has had an effect on consumers’ good mood, with consumers giving an upbeat view on property prices.
According to the December BSA Property Tracker survey of over 2000 people, property prices will rise 3 per cent in 2010. This compares to consumers in the same survey a year ago predicting an 8.6 per cent decrease in prices.
While we can be certain that we’ll see a lot more 2010 house market predictions in the coming days and weeks from the wise and perhaps some not-so-wise property spokespeople, it is less clear on what will happen to house prices over the next 12 months. But you can be sure that won’t stop commentators from getting out their mystic balls….