US unemployment winners and losers

And finally…employment gains!

Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 162,000 in March! And it increased 14,000 in January! So, including November, we’ve had three months of payroll gains since job losses began in January 2008.

Still a 162,000 gain is, at least, a psychological milestone: it is the first month of payroll gains reported as a preliminary reading. November and January were revised to gains only in the months after they were initially reported.

And looking beyond the headline figures, the gains generally boded well for a stabilising job market. Payrolls were boosted by private sector payroll gains rather than temporary census hiring. Still, the news wasn’t all good.

So, without further ado, March’s job loss winners and losers:

The Losers

  • The unofficial unemployed: The broadest measure of labour market slack, which includes discouraged workers and those working part time for economic reasons, actually ticked up this month to 16.9 per cent, its highest measure since December.
  • Long-term unemployed: The per cent of long-term unemployed continues to rise. The number of people unemployed for 27 weeks or longer was 44.1 per cent in March, up from 40.9 per cent in February.
  • Medium-term unemployed: And it’s not just the long term unemployed that are finding the labour market increasingly hostile. The median duration of unemployment rose to 20 weeks in March, up from 19.4 weeks in February.
  • Would-be census workers: Census hiring only accounted for 48,000 new jobs in March, against expectations of 80,000. This bodes well for the overall strength of employment figures. Census jobs are temporary and aren’t indicative of greater business confidence the way other temporary jobs are. But for those who were hoping the census would provide a brief unemployment respite, the jobs haven’t panned out just yet.
  • Financial workers: It’s hard to have sympathy, these days. But employees in the financial industries lost 21,000 jobs last month. Insurance carriers were particularly hard hit, shedding 9,000 jobs.
  • Teenagers: Teenagers saw a 1.1 percentage point increase in their unemployment rate which now stands at 26.1 per cent. But that figure is volatile – it had fallen 1.4 percentage points from January to February.
  • Blacks and African Americans: The February drop in unemployment among Blacks was reversed in March, as joblessness rose 0.7 percentage points to 16.5 per cent.

The Winners

  • People with jobs: The average workweek rose by 0.1 hours to 34.0, a sign of increased business activity, and a harbinger of hiring to come. But, alas, the news wasn’t all good. The average hourly earnings fell by $0.02, or 0.1 per cent following February’s $0.04 gain.
  • Health care workers: Health care accounted for 27,000 jobs in March. The best field to be looking for work in? Ambulatory health care services – work with those who need outpatient services – which saw gains of 16,000.
  • Temps: 40,200 new private sector temp jobs were created in March, a sign of increased business confidence. But growth wasn’t as strong as it had been in January, when the sector picked up 49,200 new jobs.
  • Miners and manufacturers: Mining jobs increased by 8,000, compared to an average of 6,000 over the past five months. Manufacturing employment continued its upward trend, growing by 17,000 in March.
  • People without a high school diploma: The unemployment rate fell 1.1 percentage points. But that doesn’t mean the advice we all were given to finish high school was any bad thing: at 14.5 per cent, the unemployment rate for those with less than a high school diploma is far higher than more educated groups.

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Chris Giles Chris Giles has been the economics editor of the Financial Times since 2004. Based in London, he writes about international economic trends and the British economy. Before reporting economics for the Financial Times, he wrote editorials for the paper, reported for the BBC, worked as a regulator of the broadcasting industry and undertook research for the Institute for Fiscal Studies. RSS

Ralph Atkins, Frankfurt bureau chief, has been writing about European economics and politics for the Financial Times for more than 20 years following an economics degree from Cambridge. He has been watching the European Central Bank and eurozone economies since 2004. He has previously worked in London, Bonn, Berlin, Jerusalem and Brussels. RSS

Robin Harding is the FT's US economics editor, based in Washington. Prior to this, he was based in Tokyo, covering the Bank of Japan and Japan's technology sector, and in London as an economics leader writer. Robin studied economics at Cambridge and has a masters in economics from Hitotsubashi University, where he was a Monbusho scholar. Before joining the FT, Robin worked in asset management and banking. RSS

Claire Jones is Money Supply economics team writer, based in London. Before joining the Financial Times, she was the editor of the Central Banking journal and CentralBanking.com. Claire studied philosophy and economics at the London School of Economics. RSS

James Politi is US economics and trade correspondent for the Financial Times, based in Washington DC. He joined the Washington bureau in January 2008 following four and a half years as US deals correspondent covering M&A and private equity. James Politi joined the FT in London in 2000 with an MSc at the London School of Economics, and undergraduate degrees from Georgetown University and the University of Florence. RSS

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