Everyone knows that you should treat monthly economic data with caution since what seems like news is often just a blip – something random in measurement. Since you cannot normally tell the difference between a blip and news on the day, most media organisations understandably treat the release as news and perhaps add some caution to a story towards the end when few people will still be taking notice.
Today is different. I can definitively say the good UK employment data is a blip and should not be considered news. The reason is that the Office for National Statistics are decent enough to publish underlying data for the series proving the case. Read more



Chris Giles
Michael Steen
Robin Harding
Ralph Atkins
Claire Jones