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<channel>
	<title>Money Supply</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply</link>
	<description>News, data and opinions on market-moving economics from the Financial Times</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 11:53:32 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
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		<title>A sensible IMF back-down</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/22/a-sensible-imf-back-down/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/22/a-sensible-imf-back-down/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 11:00:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Giles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=161692</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In April, the International Monetary Fund <a title="UK and IMF face dust-up on austerity" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4fe3455c-a849-11e2-8e5d-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">positioned itself to go head-to-head</a> with the UK government over its fiscal stance. The fund said it wanted Britain to consider slowing deficit reduction and Olivier Blanchard, its chief economist, said the country was &#8220;playing with fire&#8221;.</p>
<p>A month later, the <a title="IMF backs away from criticism of UK austerity policies - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cd72060a-c2c7-11e2-9bcb-00144feab7de.html">considered view of the IMF</a> is much more nuanced. Here are the five things you need to know about the fund&#8217;s retreat.</p>
<p><strong></strong></p><a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/22/a-sensible-imf-back-down/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>You can take my Pfennigs, but the cent stays</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/21/you-can-take-my-pfennigs-but-the-cent-stays/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/21/you-can-take-my-pfennigs-but-the-cent-stays/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 May 2013 15:42:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Steen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bundesbank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Central Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union (EU)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bundesbank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[circulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Commission]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[minting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=161522</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_161552" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 282px"><a href="http://blogs.r.ftdata.co.uk/money-supply/files/2013/05/IMG_2499.jpeg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-161552" src="http://blogs.r.ftdata.co.uk/money-supply/files/2013/05/IMG_2499-272x364.jpg" alt="" width="272" height="364" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Small change</p></div>
<p>Search the pockets, wallets, purses, car cigarette ashtrays and homes of anyone in (almost) any eurozone country and you are likely to find significant heaps of small, brown iron-and-copper 1 and 2 euro cent coins.</p>
<p>They cost more to make than they are worth, there&#8217;s precious little you can buy with them (though the German post office <a title="Deutsche Post" href="https://philatelie.deutschepost.de/Briefmarken/klassische-Briefmarken/weitere-Wertstufen/Ergaenzungswert-0-03-EUR.html" target="_blank">does sell a €0.03 stamp</a>) and they tend to accumulate in drawers and on flat surfaces at an alarming rate. So, one might reasonably ask, why not just get rid of them?</p>
<a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/21/you-can-take-my-pfennigs-but-the-cent-stays/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>BoE makes rulers redundant</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/boe-makes-rulers-redundant/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/boe-makes-rulers-redundant/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 18:08:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Claire Jones</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bank of England]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation report]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=161232</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>One of the few occasions when I&#8217;ve used a ruler since leaving school is during the Bank of England&#8217;s inflation report press conferences. I&#8217;m not alone &#8212; for years a ruler has been an essential tool for those trying to fathom what monetary policy makers thought was going to happen to growth and inflation in the months and years ahead.</p>
<p>The BoE&#8217;s practice of waiting a week between releasing its quarterly fan charts for growth and inflation and the data underlying them left bank-watchers with little choice but to dig out the ruler to work out where the MPC thought growth would be in, say, 2014. As Chris Giles commented <a title="Big pictures, small minds" href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2010/02/11/bank-of-england-big-pictures-small-minds/" target="_blank">here,</a> there were several problems with this approach.</p>
<p>Now, thanks to the <a title="ft alphaville - Bank of England glasnost" href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/03/14/1423212/bank-of-england-glasnost/" target="_blank">Stockton Review</a>, reporters need no longer remember their rulers (hat tip to George Buckley at Deutsche Bank for the headline of this post).</p>
<a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/boe-makes-rulers-redundant/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>Inflation report in five bites</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/inflation-report-in-five-bites/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/inflation-report-in-five-bites/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 14:11:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Giles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bank of England]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sir Mervyn King]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=161142</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>If you read today&#8217;s Bank of England<a href="http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/inflationreport/2013/ir1302.aspx"> inflation report</a>, you will notice some welcome changes. More will follow on this blog about the improvements in BoE transparency. In the meantime, the five things you need to know about the bank&#8217;s economic outlook are:</p><a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/inflation-report-in-five-bites/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>Five quick takeaways from the eurozone GDP numbers</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/takeaways-from-ez-gdp-numbers/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/takeaways-from-ez-gdp-numbers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 11:40:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Steen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[European Central Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union (EU)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[austerity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ECB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eurozone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=160952</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.r.ftdata.co.uk/money-supply/files/2013/05/Euro1.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-161072" src="http://blogs.r.ftdata.co.uk/money-supply/files/2013/05/Euro1-272x153.jpg" alt="" width="272" height="153" /></a>You still need a strong constitution or a taste for gallows humour to read most eurozone economic statistics, as <a title="Eurozone in longest recession since birth of euro - FT.com" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/2c5024d2-bd27-11e2-890a-00144feab7de.html">today&#8217;s release of the preliminary Q1 gross domestic product</a> <del>growth</del> contraction data shows.</p>
<p>The bloc is now in its longest recession since the birth of the single currency, beating the post-Lehman Brothers slump in duration, though not in the depth of the downturn.</p><a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/05/15/takeaways-from-ez-gdp-numbers/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>Live coverage of the European Central Bank&#8217;s interest rate decision</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/liveblogs/2013-05-02-2/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/liveblogs/2013-05-02-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 May 2013 10:59:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Richard Martin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Central banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Central Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union (EU)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mario draghi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SMEs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?post_type=webchat-live-blogs&#038;p=160872</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><img class="liveblog-excerpt-img" src="http://media.ft.com/cms/fea69240-1426-11e2-9ac6-00144feabdc0.jpg" />Hello and welcome to the FT's live blog on the European Central Bank's rate decision and press conference. All eyes on Thursday are on the ECB and what it has left in its tool kit as gloomy data throws further doubt on the recession-bound eurozone economy. </p>
<p>Many economists are expecting what would largely be a symbolic cut in interest rates. The governing council's vote is due at 12.45 (BST) and ECB President Mario Draghi will meet the press at half past one. </p>
<p>By Claire Jones and Lindsay Whipp. All times are UK time.</p>
<a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/liveblogs/2013-05-02-2/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>FOMC preview, May 2013</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/30/fomc-preview-may-2013/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/30/fomc-preview-may-2013/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Apr 2013 16:29:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robin Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[QE3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taper]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=160812</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The current FOMC meeting, which <a title="FOMC calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm">starts today and concludes tomorrow</a> without a Ben Bernanke press conference, is unlikely to produce much news. Steady movement towards a taper of the $85bn, QE3 programme of asset purchases has been checked by a run of bad economic data since March.</p>
<p>I get no sense that much has changed in the thinking of most FOMC officials. There is still a fair bit of confidence that the underlying state of the economy has improved (see, for example, the comments of <a title="FT - Fed urged to taper QE through Treasuries" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a540f4e2-a51d-11e2-8777-00144feabdc0.html">Boston Fed president Eric Rosengren</a>). The main effect of weak payrolls and the sequester is to increase uncertainty about the trajectory of the economy. That encourages the status quo – and open-ended QE means the default is continued purchases.</p><a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/30/fomc-preview-may-2013/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>Did sequestration cause weak Q1 GDP?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/26/did-sequestration-cause-weak-q1-gdp/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/26/did-sequestration-cause-weak-q1-gdp/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Apr 2013 21:44:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robin Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sequester]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=160682</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>We leaned heavily on the idea that sequestration is slowing the growth of the US economy in our <a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/03284888-ae6c-11e2-8316-00144feabdc0.html">write-up of Q1 GDP</a>. The immediate reason to do so is the composition of growth.</p>
<p>Federal defence spending knocked 0.65 percentage points off total growth. Without that, the headline figure would have been an annualised 3.2 per cent instead of 2.5 per cent, bang in line with expectations.</p><a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/26/did-sequestration-cause-weak-q1-gdp/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>How to raise growth 2014-style</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/25/how-to-raise-growth-2014-style/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/25/how-to-raise-growth-2014-style/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Apr 2013 17:13:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Giles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eurostat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[intangibles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UK GDP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=160602</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The FT&#8217;s US economics editor Robin Harding had an excellent scoop this week on the US plans to change the calculation methodology for the national accounts in a move that will <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/52d23fa6-aa98-11e2-bc0d-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank">lift US GDP by 3 per cent in July</a>. Even better, he explained that the changes to the way the US statistics authorities plan to count intangible investment and military procurement were not a unilateral act, but part of a <a href="http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/sna.asp" target="_blank">United Nations coordinated approach</a>. What effect would this have on Europe, I wondered.</p>
<p>Well, after a root around Eurostat&#8217;s website, the UK&#8217;s ONS methodology pages and some academic articles, I am really excited. The bottom line for people with better things to do is that<a href="http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Update_of_the_SNA_1993_and_revision_of_ESA95" target="_blank"> Eurostat reckons GDP in most EU countries will also go up by about 2 to 3 per cent</a>. The amount depends on the quantity of R&amp;D expenditure carried out (<a href="http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/factbook-2011-en/08/01/01/08-01-01-g1.html?contentType=&amp;itemId=/content/chapter/factbook-2011-68-en&amp;containerItemId=/content/serial/18147364&amp;accessItemIds=&amp;mimeType=text/h" target="_blank">good for Germany, Sweden and Finland, bad for Greece)</a> and amount of military kit purchased every year (good for France and the UK). With some exceptions, every EU country has to put in place the new European System of Accounts by <a href="http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/guide-method/development-programmes/esa2010/index.html" target="_blank">September 2014</a>. But it gets even more interesting.</p>
<a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/25/how-to-raise-growth-2014-style/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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		<title>A positive surprise on UK growth</title>
		<link>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/25/a-positive-surprise-on-uk-growth/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/25/a-positive-surprise-on-uk-growth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Apr 2013 09:06:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Giles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Osborne]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/?p=160542</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>After almost five years of disappointing services output, Britain&#8217;s shops, restaurants, car dealerships and airlines have come to the rescue of George Osborne. They have also saved the country from deeply misleading &#8220;triple-dip&#8221; headlines, although output is still 2.6 per cent below its 2008 peak.</p>
<p>The preliminary estimate of gross domestic product rose 0.3 per cent in the first quarter. As my column today argued, we should not pay much attention to this figure, since the cash estimates of GDP, which come later, are<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b269796a-ab61-11e2-8c63-00144feabdc0.html" target="_blank"> more relevant to the economy&#8217;s predicament</a>. But there are some implications of this positive surprise and I list them here in order of importance.</p><a href="http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2013/04/25/a-positive-surprise-on-uk-growth/" class="more-link">Continue reading »</a>]]></description>
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