The Swedish central bank has kept the repo rate at 0.25 per cent, but brought forward the likely date of first rise to summer or autumn and substantially increased its inflation forecast for 2010.
Economic recovery is on more solid ground, both in Sweden and internationally, the Riksbank believes. “The risk of a major setback in the recovery of the economy has declined and that the upturn therefore rests on more solid ground,” said the statement.
Well done to the Swedes. While the world frets and dithers about house price bubbles, the Swedish central bank has come up with a plan. In less than a year, a new commission will report back on all you could wish to know about Swedish housing bubbles: what makes them likely; what pops them; what tools are – or should be – available to combat them; and whether Swedes are currently in one.
The report will focus on residential property, although the (better studied) commercial property sector will be included. The commission will be run from within the central bank by heads of the monetary policy and financial stability departments. A related conference will be held in the autumn of this year and the final report is expected no later than January 31, 2011.
The Swedish central bank will keep the repo rate at 0.25 per cent in order to “attain the inflation target of 2 per cent and to support the economic recovery”. The repo rate is expected to remain at this level until Q4, when it is forecast to rise to 0.4 per cent. Also unchanged are the deposit rate at -0.25 per cent and the lending rate at 0.75 per cent.
Deputy Governor Lars Svensson entered a reservation against the decision
Happily for Sweden, Latvia accounts for less than five per cent of Swedbank’s total lending and only three per cent of SEB’s, and both banks have recently strengthened their balance sheets. Less happily for Sweden, currency traders are bearish the krona, writes Andrew Ward of the FT