Gore: Climate change’s Mr Realism

September 27th, 2007 12:39pm

The last couple of days in New York have provided a chance to compare the styles of two presidents and a nearly-president. On Tuesday George W Bush spoke to the UN. On Wednesday, a few blocks from the UN, Bill Clinton opened his 2007 Clinton Global Initiative. And - in the opening session - he shared a platform with Al Gore. Rather to my surprise, I thought the famously wooden Gore gave the most impressive and charismatic performance of the three men - aided by the fact that the opening session of the CGI focused heavily on his special subject: climate change.

Relations betweeen the Gore and Clinton camps have been tense since 2000 when, in the aftermath of the Lewinsky scandal, Gore’s presidential campaign deliberately tried to put some distance between him and Clinton. But in the opening CGI session, the two men seemed to get on fine. In fact, I rather longed for Gore to disrupt the sugary sweetness of the occasion by making a shock announcement that he will run for the presidency against Hillary. That would have put Bill on the spot.

Clinton’s presentation was a reminder of his formidable ability to combine personal charm, with a nerdy command of policy detail and relentless optimism. He still favours argument by anecdote. Clinton’s favourite rhetorical technique is to outline some huge policy problem, and then point to a local example - preferably combined with an uplifting personal story - that points the way forward and shows that all problems are soluble. In the opening panel, Clinton used Lee Scott - the boss of Walmart, who was also on the platform - as a sort of prop.

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The surge; Israeli sex crimes; green fanaticism

March 13th, 2007 12:33pm

Is the "surge" working? Both the American and the Iraqi governments have sounded a note of slight optimism recently. Even the news that the US is to send more troops to Iraq could be taken as a good sign - the original announcement of 21,500 extra troops was at the very low end of what "surge" advocates thought was necessary - so dispatching further troops could be a signal that the Bush administration really is committed to making this new strategy work. Robert Kagan, a neo-conservative academic (and brother of one of the intellectual architects of the surge plan) makes the case that the "surge" is already producing progress.

I would love to believe Kagan is right. But the Iraq Body Count project, which monitors the violence in Iraq more closely than any other impartial group, does not agree. Its latest weekly analysis shows no let up in the violence, and is the usual compilation of gut-wrenching stories. The Swoop foreign-policy analysis service asserts that President Bush is being told privately that the new strategy is not working.

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Climate change, a heated debate

December 19th, 2006 8:09am

One of the unpleasant side effects of global warming is that it makes good weather seem faintly sinister. I enjoyed wandering around London without having to wear a coat this weekend – but should this really be happening in December? Fortunately, the weather today is foul. So now I am feeling more relaxed about global warming.

David Miliband, Britain’s environment secretary and climate change evangelist, is operating on a similarly elevated intellectual level. In a blog entry he seeks to put the recent warm weather into some context.

But British climate-change sceptics –a fairly beleaguered bunch until recently – have had their morale boosted by a long and closely-argued attack on the science of global warming, published last month in the Sunday Telegraph. It seems to have become a new sacred text for climate-change sceptics.

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Europe is world’s best hope on climate change, alas

November 28th, 2006 9:52am

I sometimes ask myself whether, in 20 years’ time, I will look back on everything I am writing at the moment and wonder why I wasted so much time on relative trivialities such as the Iraq war or the future of the Bush administration. Will such issues seem like footnotes in history, compared with the consequences of global warming?

A similar question of priorities has obviously occurred to Tony Blair. In the run-up to the most recent European Union summit, he and Jan Peter Balkenende, the Dutch prime minister, sent a joint letter about climate change to the other 23 EU leaders. “We have a window of only 10-15 years to take the steps we need to avoid crossing catastrophic tipping points,” they warned.

None of the other European leaders disputed this vision of impending catastrophe. But if you look at the conclusions that came out of the summit, global warming appears like just another issue on the EU leaders’ “to do list”: review innovation policy; reach agreement on EU patent; improve internal decision-making procedures; save planet.

This mismatch between rhetoric and reality may be about to change, however. Climate change is moving sharply up the EU’s agenda.

This is an extract from Gideon Rachman’s regular Tuesday column in the FT - the remainder is available for FT.com subscribers here.