Monthly Archives: November 2008

Chris Nuttall

Obama off-guard on election nightAs Barack Obama was giving his first news conference today as president elect, the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco was hearing how the web was won by him in 2008.

Obama, who launched his change.gov transition website on Thursday, used the web principally to raise money and organise constituencies, said John Heilemann of New York magazine, moderator of the politics panel.

“To me, one of the most staggering statistics of the election was that, in the month of February, Barack Obama raised $70m – the most any democratic candidate had ever raised in a month – and held exactly zero fund-raisers,” he said.

Joe Trippi, who worked on John Edwards’ campaign and authored The Revolution Will Not Be Televised, said: “The future is that this is the best prospect we’ve had for public financing.”

“Obama won every single caucus state that mattered,” he continued, “And he did it because he was able to move and organise thousands of people across the states and [Hillary Clinton] did not have the money and did not use the tools. His lead came out of those caucus states. This is civic engagement on a level we’ve never seen before.”

Gavin Newsom, mayor of San Francisco, complained that politics had entered a YouTubeification phase where “everything you say is exposed.”

“I now have to watch myself singing I left my heart in San Francisco and I can’t get it to go away. This is the end of the world as we know it,” he joked.

More seriously, he warned there could be a lot of collateral damage from politics becoming a 24-7 web TV series, although Joe Trippi argued the impact would lessen over time.

Arianna Huffington of the Huffington Post defended her army of 12,000 “Off the Bus” citizen journalists, which had reported off-the-cuff remarks such as Bill Clinton calling a Vanity Fair editor a “scumbag”.

Mayor Newsom raised the question of whether this full glare of web exposure would make politicians more guarded or make them seem more open:

“Are we now more authentic or less authentic, when we always have to be ‘on’ [-the-record], that’s the question,” he said.

(The photo above of Barack Obama’s unguarded moment on election night is actually from his own publicly available photostream on Flickr)

Chris Nuttall

Jerry Yang at Web 2.0Jerry Yang, Yahoo chief executive, spoke emphatically about wanting to remain in that role, in an interview at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco on Wednesday.

Following market rumours that he was about to quit earlier in the day, he told interviewer John Battelle:

“I’m passionate about Yahoo, I’m passionate about its people, I’m passionate about the mission and I’m willing to go through walls to do it, and that’s the reason I’m there [as CEO],” he said.

Yang was also critical of the Justice department, which had just scuppered Yahoo’s search advertising deal with Google.

“I really thought that the government in this case does not understand our industry, they have a market definition that I think is too narrow and I think things like this tend to have unintended consequences for our entire industry.”

The internet company’s chief also said he had wanted to do a deal to sell Yahoo to Microsoft in May, but “it was not meant to be.”

“I don’t have an ego about remaining independent. At the end of the day, we believed that there was a deal to be done, we were not that far apart, they walked away because they saw something else that they didn’t want to do.

“And we went back to them and we said even at the price [of $33 a share] you were suggesting, are you guys willing to do the deal, and they said no, so I don’t know what else we could have done.”

With Yahoo closing at $13.92 on Wednesday, maybe now the price is right for Steve Ballmer to reconsider.

(Photograph copyright James Duncan Davidson)

Richard Waters

bill-joy.jpgdanny-hillis.jpgBarack Obama’s promise to appoint the first chief technology officer for the US has had Silicon Valley buzzing all year. Now the election is over, it’s time for the real horse race to begin.

John Doerr of Kleiner Perkins got things going this afternoon at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco. Asked who should get the job, the always-outspoken Doerr didn’t hesitate.

His first pick was Sun co-founder, Kleiner partner and all-round brainiac Bill Joy (pictured above left.)

As an alternative he suggested Danny Hillis (above right), a supercomputer pioneer and leading exponent of artificial intelligence.

Both men would certainly be a good fit for Doerr’s personal job description for the first US CTO: someone to lead a new, much-needed focus on fundamental research, the sort of work that will bring new breakthroughs as significant as the birth of the internet (a product of DARPA.)

That doesn’t seem to be what Obama has in mind, though. He’s talked about the job as a way to increase transparency and citizen involvement in government, and make Federal agencies more productive and accountable.

It sounds vague, the sort of job description that may be worthy but often lacks teeth. But after the amazing technology awareness shown by the Obama campaign machine, there are certain to be many eager and capable applicants.

Chris Nuttall

Quantum of SolaceVideo game publishers are often criticised for a lack of imagination in concentrating on blockbuster sequels, but it seems that’s about all gamers are prepared to pay for in these recessionary times.

Electronic Arts cut jobs and its forecasts last week as it reported that consumers were concentrating on its frontline titles and neglecting middle-tier ones and older catalogue games.

Today, THQ announced a major restructuring, with cancelled titles, five studio closures and 250 job losses – about 17 per cent of its workforce. It said it was now focused on producing a core number of high quality games.

Brian Farrell, chief executive, reported softness in sales of catalogue titles and a cautious retail environment. The kids licence business – THQ makes titles based on Nickelodeon cartoons and Disney Pixar movies – had slowed considerably and become less profitable, he said.

Activision Blizzard, now the biggest player in the sector since the merger with Vivendi’s games division, seems in the best position.

It has its biggest ever slate of AAA titles for the holiday season, it said today, including World of Warcraft’s Wrath of the Lich King,  two Guitar Hero titles, Call of Duty: World at War and a title based on the James Bond movie, Quantum of Solace.

Even so, there was a quantum of reserve in the remarks of chief executive, Bobby Kotick.

“We remain cautious given the likely slowdown in consumer spending this holiday season,” he said, adding “This is the most uncertainty that we have ever experienced.”

Richard Waters

Can Yahoo be serious? In its statement today on the collapse of its search alliance with Google, Yahoo said it was “disappointed that Google has elected to withdraw from the agreement rather than defend it in court.”

So let’s get this straight: Yahoo expects Google to go to war with the US government? And over a deal that meant very little at all to its bottom line?

Maybe it’s no surprise that Yahoo would want to fight to the end. It hasn’t got much to lose. But Google needs to wise up and be more careful about how it throws its weight around. Walking away from this alliance is the first sign that it understands what’s really at stake.

The arrangement always smacked of Google at its worst: a combination of naive insouciance and thinly-veiled scheming.

The insouciance was shown by Sergey Brin, who earlier this year blithely told a group of reporters (including this one) that the alliance was all about helping out old friends. After all, Yahoo’s Jerry Yang and David Filo had lent the Google founders a hand when they were just starting out, and anyway, their companies’ cultures were very similar.

The scheming was the obvious ulterior motive here, to block Microsoft. Asked about how they set corporate strategy, Google executives always deny they have such thoughts: everything they do is for the benefit of customers. But this partnership betrayed one of Google’s most powerful psychoses, its paranoia about Microsoft.

For the sake of its shareholders, Google really needs to move beyond this sort of badly handled, calculating manoeuvre.

In a blog note today, David Drummond, Google’s top lawyer, said that getting into a long legal battle would have been like “trying to drive down the road of innovation with the parking brake on.” True. But it was Google that let its eyes wander from the road in the first place.

The good news for Google and its shareholders is that it pulled out of this one before it was too late. The bad news is that the Department of Justice has been put on alert, and Google certainly can’t expect the benefit of the doubt next time around. It’s time to stamp on the accelerator and leave Yahoo in the rear-view mirror.

Richard Waters

fcc.jpgLost in the back-slapping over today’s FCC approval of the “White Spaces” plan is much real discussion of what these new slices of unlicensed spectrum will actually be used for.

Larry Page has said they will give rise to “WiFi on steroids”, and that phrase has been picked up and repeated without any attempt to define it. Even FCC chairman Kevin Martin used the phrase (without attribution) today.

Given the lower frequencies and longer wavelengths, signals in the White Spaces bands will carry much further than short-range WiFi, but that does not give much of a clue about how they will ultimately be used.

Martin suggested the applications would span “everything from enhanced home broadband networks, to intelligent peer-to-peer devices, and even small communications networks.”

Another FCC commissioner, Jonathan Adelstein, claimed the new spectrum would support a “third pipe” to the home, a new channel for broadband to compete with existing services from telecoms companies and cable operators.

And a third, Deborah Tate floated a number of potential uses, including this: “Communities of users may find they are able to communicate seamlessly through mesh networks rather than traditional phone lines.”

With an obvious nod to political expediency, tech companies have been talking up the potential to bring services to poorer, more sparsely populated rural areas. In the words of Motorola, the new spectrum will make broadband “available to millions of under-served Americans” – though the real money, as always, will be in the more densely populated and wealthier parts of the country.

Clearly, White Spaces are a blank slate on which any number of visions can be sketched. Until the technologies and business models of the companies that come to stake out this new territory become clearer, there is no telling what will happen.

But, like WiFi in its early days, that’s what makes it all so exciting.

Chris Nuttall

Dash ExpressCommoditisation of the portable navigation device (PND) market and the credit crunch appear to have combined to force Dash Navigation to change course.

The Silicon Valley start-up launched its innovative satellite navigation service earlier this year with a $400 in-car device.

But, on Monday, it announced it was getting out of hardware and cutting around two-thirds of its workforce.

Dash’s unique selling point is the service it offers through an internet connection to the device – combining traffic data from other Dash users and adding web-based information to the mapping.

It therefore makes sense for it to get out of making the boxes that contain its software when there are far bigger players able to undercut it and spend more on development of designs.

The average selling price of PNDs is predicted to fall to $150 by 2012 and mobile phones are expected to offer strong competition, according to the iSuppli research firm.

Presumably, the reshaped Dash will address both markets.

“Given the current economic environment, we believe that the greatest opportunities lie in integrating our service into the broad array of connected devices on the market,” said Rob Currie, who has now taken over as chief executive from founder Paul Lego.

Dash is backed by venture capital firms, including Kleiner Perkins and Sequoia Capital. It was Sequoia who issued a wake-up call to the Valley last month with its presentation urging its companies to make sharp cost cuts now to survive a recession.

Dash has shed around 50 people, mainly in sales and marketing, as well as changing its business model – two moves that may ensure it does not run out of road in a brutal market.

Chris Nuttall

Dell Inspiron Mini 12More evidence today of the astonishing rise of the netbook category for PCs.

Global microprocessor unit shipments grew 15.8 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter, according to the IDC research firm.

But, without shipments of Intel’s Atom low-power processor for netbooks, the growth would have only been 8.7 per cent.

Atom helped Intel to an 87.4 per cent unit share of the market for mobile PC processors, compared to 11.5 per cent for AMD and 1.2 per cent for VIA. That compares to Intel’s 80.8 per cent overall share of microprocessor shipments.
IDC says overall demand looks weak and it will be lowering its unit forecast for 2009.

The Gartner research firm lowered its forecasts today for the semiconductor industry in 2009.

It reduced its revenues prediction by $25bn from 8 per cent growth over 2008 to just 1 per cent growth, due to a weak economic environment.

“In a recession, it’s important to remember that there will not only be a potential reduction in the number of systems sold, but also a move to lower-cost systems with less semiconductor content,” said Bryan Lewis, research vice president at Gartner.

In other words, the low-cost trend only reinforces the impression that Atom is Intel’s biggest hedge against recession.

Chris Nuttall

Jeff DossettFor a company with a mountain to climb, Yahoo may have made the perfect hire.

Jeff Dossett has just been named as senior vice president, US Audience, replacing the departing Scott Moore as overseer of Yahoo’s consumer businesses.

Dossett previously led strategy and execution for Microsoft MSN’s audience, content and programming in the US as executive producer and general manager of the MSN Media Network.

More interestingly, in 2002, he took a two-year leave of absence to climb the highest mountain on each of the seven continents. After reaching the summit of Everest in May 2004, he became the third Canadian in history to complete successfully the “Seven Summits.”

Dossett will be Sherpa Tenzing to [Sir Edmund] Hilary Schneider, executive vice president of Yahoo US, in trying to lift the company from base camp in its fortunes, following the withdrawal of Microsoft’s takeover offer in May.

“I’m confident he is well-suited to lead Yahoo’s audience business to even greater heights,” said Schneider.

There is no word as yet on where Scott Moore is bound.

Yahoo shares closed slightly lower on Monday, off 0.6 per cent at $12.75, on fears that its search advertising deal with Google may not go ahead.

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Richard Waters, Chris Nuttall and April Dembosky in the FT's San Francisco bureau share their views - plus tech insights from Tim Bradshaw and Maija Palmer in London and Robin Kwong in Taipei.



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Contact the FT Tech Hub team: richard.waters@ft.com, chris.nuttall@ft.com, april.dembosky@ft.com, maija.palmer@ft.com, robin.kwong@ft.com and tim.bradshaw@ft.com.

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