G20

Mohamed El-Erian

CHINA-POLITICS-ECONOMY

Shanghai will host the finance ministers' and central bank governors' meeting  © Getty Images

As they prepare to host this weekend’s gathering of the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors, Chinese officials are putting the final touches to draft statements that will probably command unanimous backing — even if, to achieve that, substance has to be replaced with words whose policy follow-through will disappoint.

The complexity of today’s world does not yield to simple, substantive and action-oriented unifying statements. Instead, difficult policy trade-offs at the national level are compounded by insufficient global policy co-ordination; and both face the persistent problem of inadequate political follow-up. The risk is that no matter what the G20 communicates in terms of collective assessments and joint approaches, countries’ pursuit of national objectives increasingly conflict with their global responsibilities and commitments.

China has now joined Europe and the US in facing this dilemma in a way that is systemically important for the rest of the world. But, unlike its western counterparts, and like many other emerging economies, Beijing’s policy challenges have been aggravated by the extent to which the global system is increasingly malfunctioning. Read more

Mohamed El-Erian

Loving Paris as as I do, having lived and gone to school in the city, it is hard to focus strictly on the economic and financial implications of Friday’s tragedy. Yet for the French capital’s impressive resilience to prevail, and for society to be able to overcome this terrorist horror, we need as quickly as possible to reach an understanding of the implications and the possible responses. Read more

Nicholas Stern

GettyImages-495426112

Smog in Harbin, northeast China  © Getty Images

When the leaders of the world’s biggest economies gather this weekend at the G20 summit in Antalya, Turkey, they must recognise the real scale of subsidies for fossil fuels and accelerate their eradication.

In 2009, G20 leaders agreed to “phase out and rationalize over the medium term inefficient fossil fuel subsidies while providing targeted support for the poorest”. They acknowledged that “inefficient fossil fuel subsidies encourage wasteful consumption, reduce our energy security, impede investment in clean energy sources and undermine efforts to deal with the threat of climate change”.

While that commitment has been restated at many summits since, action to implement it has been unacceptably slow. Read more