Monthly Archives: July 2009

My Baltic tour continued today in Riga. This morning I saw the Latvian prime minister, Valdis Dombrovskis – who, irritatingly, is eight years younger than me – he’s 37. It was all charmingly informal. I turned up at the government offices and said “I have come to see the prime minister”, several times very slowly to the security guard on the door. Eventually he understood, pointed at the stairs and waved three fingers at me – which I accurately interpreted as meaning “third floor”. When I got up there, a woman popped out of an office and introduced herself as the PM’s secretary and went to fetch me a cup of coffee. After a while, a man in short sleeves and glasses wandered into the office. I did vaguely wonder whether he was a computer technician, since he had a faintly geeky air. But when he said, “well we might as well get started”, it struck me that that this must – in fact – be the prime minister himself.

Our talk was off-the-record, and I’m saving the serious stuff on the Baltics for my newspaper column on Tuesday. So let me just say it was really interesting, and move swiftly on.

This afternoon I gave a talk on international politics at a wonderful second-hand book-store in Riga, run by my old colleague from the FT and The Economist, Robert Cottrell. It is called appropriately enough, “Robert’s Books” and I would recommend that you drop by, if you are ever in Riga. In those rare moments when Robert is not dealing with customers (one of whom has just charmingly bought Harry Potter and a set of essays by the German Freudian psychologist, Alfred Adler), he runs the excellent web-site The Browser – which I must remember to add to my own blogroll.

PS – Fulham won 3-0.

I am currently in the struggling Baltic states, who are all busily trying to rebrand themselves as Nordic. Read this FT piece to understand why

The Malawi Model: Joshua Kurlantzick argues Malawi has done well by avoiding privatisation.  The Democracy Journal

The Gates of Political Distraction: Thomas Frank in The Wall Street Journal

Britain’s own Guantánamo: David Vine in The Guardian

Over the last couple of years I have been gradually transferring my loyalties from Chelsea football club to Fulham. Fulham have several advantages over Chelsea – their tickets are cheap and easy to get hold of, their ground is picturesque and closer to my house, and their supporters – unlike Chelsea’s thuggish, hyped-up followers – are amiable and philosphical.

So sharing a flight out to to Lithuania today with Fulham supporters was no hardship. Far from being the stereotypical English football hooligans, many of the Fulham fans seemed to be of pensionable age. I suppose pensioners are the only group with the time to take three days off in the middle of the week to see Fulham play an obscure Lithuanian team, in an obscure European competition. The match is on tomorrow (or possibly today, it’s late.)

I would love to be able to say that I too am here solely to watch 90 minutes of football. But, alas, I think I’m going to miss the game. One of the Fulham fans asked me why I was flying to Vilnius. I did not reply – “To interview the president” – since that sounded a bit poncey. But, actually, that is the reason. I am meant to be doing a lunch with the FT with Dalia Grybauskaite tomorrow – it should appear in the paper some time in the next few months. (Features can have rather leisurely deadlines.) We should have plenty to talk about. I read in today’s paper that the Lithuanian economy has shrunk by 22.4% since this time last year, which sounds pretty drastic.

Peacekeepers declare war on climate change, boy scouts in reserve: Richard Gowan in Global Dashboard

European-Moroccans and the lives they lead: Charlemagne’s notebook in The Economist

Diplomacy 101 from Joe Biden: This post from Daniel W. Drezner in Foreign Policy presciently foresaw that the Russians would be distinctly unamused by Joe Biden’s remarks

Ingram Pinn illustration

The phrase “climate change denier” has a nasty ring to it. It links those who dispute mainstream science on global warming with “Holocaust deniers”. They are not just wrong, it implies, they are evil.

But the climate change lobby is in the grip of its own form of dangerous fantasy. It is in denial not about science – but about international politics.

At the moment, efforts to deal with global warming are focused on a huge international summit in Copenhagen in December. But the chances of Copenhagen delivering a deal that meets the goals for carbon dioxide emissions set by the United Nations Panel on Climate Change is vanishingly small. In private, many climate change activists will admit this. But Copenhagen is the only game in town – so they keep playing.

The remainder of the article can be read here. Please post comments below.

I thought Sarah Palin’s farewell speech as governor of Alaska was an astonishing performance – and I don’t mean that in a good way. There have been times when Palin has been able to perform adequately in public; her acceptance speech at the Republican convention, and her debate with Joe Biden are examples. But this was Sarah Palin unplugged, and it was not a pretty sight.

Her early unscripted remarks were so inarticulate that they barely made sense. Some of what she had to say was comic, such as her suggestion that she would guard the interests of Alaskans with the ferocity of a grizzly bear guarding it cubs. Some of it was faintly sinister, such as her attempt to suggest that her critics in the press were betraying American troops abroad. The logic was that the troops are fighting to defend freedom, including freedom of the press. But Palin’s press critics are lying and therefore abusing that freedom. Therefore they are betraying the troops.

The second half of her speech was marginally more coherent, as she outlined her achievements as governor and her hopes for the nation. Perhaps she was using an autocue, by that stage – or perhaps she had simply got into her stride. I got the impression that she is definitely positioning herself for a run at the presidency. Certainly she hit all the key themes – guns, God, patriotism, the military, small government, voluntarism, distrust of Washington.

I also think that if the economy is really bad in 2012, she would have a genuine shot at winning the White House. Scary is an over-used word. But that really is a scary thought.

Human Rights Watch hold Obama to account:

Beyond GuantánamoSarah E. Mendelson in the Democracy Journal

David Seaton muses on Obama:

Today’s America is a class actFrom David Seaton’s News Links

The Wall Street Journal sides with India over climate change:

Listening to India - The Wall Street Journal

He has survived insurrection on the streets of Tehran. But is President Ahmadi-Nejad in danger of losing the critical support of the Iranian establishment, for the most unlikely to reasons – he is not hardline enough on Israel?

This seems an odd charge to level against the Holocaust-denying president, who has spoken longingly of a day when Israel no longer exists. But his decision to appoint Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei as his first vice-president and right-hand man has provoked a backlash among fundamentalists and hardliners. This morning’s FT suggest that Ayatollah Khamenei, the supreme leader himself, may also be demanding that ADJ “make a U-turn on the appointment”. The reason that Mashaei has provoked such fury is because he has suggested that Iran “is a friend of the Israeli people.”

Of course, nobody is suggesting that President Ahmadi-Nejad appointed Mashaei because he agrees with him about Israel. Still, it would be satisfyingly weird if ADJ ran into political trouble for not being anti-Israeli enough. It also shows that any tendency to assume that the Israel-Iran problem would wither away with the downfall of Ahamdi-Nejad is well wide of the mark.

Meanwhile connoisseurs of left-wing intellectual contortions might like this letter from The Guardian, on why the Iranian demonstrations should give no succour to capitalists.

Whenever European leaders want to justify the drive for ever-closer union in foreign policy, they quote Henry Kissinger’s famous remark – “Who do I call if I want to speak to Europe?”. The comment is meant to epitomise Europe’s failure to get its act together on the world stage. The hope in Brussels is that if the Lisbon Treaty goes through, the Americans will finally get that single number to dial; it will be the new EU foreign secretary for Hillary Clinton, and new EU president for Obama.

The Kissinger “who do I call” remark was trotted out at almost every seminar I ever went to Brussels. So I’m delighted to add it to the list of “famous sayings that were never said”.

Reginald Dale of the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington (and before that of The Financial Times) has written to me to say: “Kissinger never made the famous remark about Europe’s telephone number. According to the late Peter Rodman, who knew him well, the saying is apocryphal, and in fact Kissinger’s concern was the precise opposite – he was fed up with having to deal with a Dane whom he regarded as incompetent and ineffective, who was trying to represent the whole of the EU as President of the Council. Kissinger himself has disowned the remark, and it seems that he was actually seeking to divide and rule in Europe, rather than be restricted to a single voice on the telephone.”

Any more myths need puncturing?

Self-Fulfilling ProphecyChristina Larson in The New Republic: A Journal of Politics and the Arts

Obama meets the LobbyStephen M. Walt in Foreign Policy  (Walt returns to the subject of his bitterly controversial book, “The Lobby”)

On Versions of GoodnessBagehot in The Economist

The New Scramble for AfricaMark Weston in EMEA Finance

Someone give the FT a dose of valium, pleaseDaniel W. Drezner in Foreign Policy

The World

with Gideon Rachman

About this blog About Gideon Blog guide
Gideon Rachman and his FT colleagues debate international affairs. Read more on the authors.

Gideon became chief foreign affairs columnist for the Financial Times in July 2006. He joined the FT after a 15-year career at The Economist, which included spells as a foreign correspondent in Brussels, Washington and Bangkok. He also edited The Economist’s business and Asia sections.

His particular interests include American foreign policy, the European Union and globalisation
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