Monthly Archives: August 2009

I am back at my desk. Nothing much has changed. The weather is still mediocre. The buskers outside my office window are still infuriating me by playing the same snatch of Mozart, a hundred times a day. I now hate Eine Kleine Nachtmusik. Still, at least, the world’s leaders have followed my wishes and not unleashed any major wars during my summer holiday.

Of course, I kept reading the newspapers and the internet while I was away – addictions are not kicked that easily. So, in the absence of small wars. what have been the major world events over the last three weeks? The Japanese have finally got rid of the LDP. Afghanistan has had its election and Karzai seems to have won. But US and UK casualties are now running at levels that are threatening support for the war.

The gloss has come off the Obama presidency and health-care reform is in trouble. Meanwhile the president himself went to Martha’s Vineyard on holiday. (I’ve never understood posh America’s obsession with “the Vineyard”; I’ve been there once and it struck me as a bit of dump.) Russia has not renewed its war with Georgia. The most offensive thing Vladimir Putin did this summer was to pose topless – an offence for which he has been roundly criticised by Phillip Stephens. And finally the German regional elections look quite interesting – no, really they do. They are the first indication I’ve seen for a while that the general election in September may not be the walk-over for Angela Merkel that everybody is anticipating.

I will be on holiday for the next three weeks – and will take a break from blogging. If war breaks out somewhere in the world, I will stagger to the nearest internet cafe and try to post something wise. Last August Russia invaded Georgia and I felt obliged to re-start the blog. So here’s hoping for a peaceful next three weeks that can safely pass without comment.

So Bill Clinton returns in triumph from North Korea, with two grateful female journalists for company on the flight home.

Naturally, there is lots of speculation about what lay behind the trip. Was the release of the imprisoned journalists really pre-arranged? Was Clinton’s mission purely humanitarian, or did he discuss other matters in his long meeting with Kim Jong-Il?

I certainly hope that Clinton did stray onto other issues. There is obviously an urgent need to explore whatever scope there is for diplomacy, with an erratic and dangerous nuclear-armed government, headed by the sick-looking “dear leader”.

In fact, I think it would be a good idea to make Clinton the Obama administration’s special representative to North Korea. He knows the dossier well from his time in the White House. He has a reasonably close, if complicated, relationship with the US Secretary of State.  Obama has appointed special envoys for the Middle East and for AfPak – why not for North Korea as well?

Nothing stirs the blood of the British more than the idea of being unfairly arrested by foreigners. London’s mayor Boris Johnson has used his newspaper column to attack both the UK and the US governments over the extradition of a British computer hacker to the US. Read the piece – it’s both funny and thought-provoking.

Meanwhile, the Eurosceptic website, Open Europe, is railing against what it regards as the misuse of the European Arrest Warrant to persecute Brits.

And finally, here is an account of the funeral of Cory Aquino

Pinn illustration

A writer who projects emotions on to the weather is guilty of the “pathetic fallacy”. But, at the risk of sounding both pathetic and fallacious, it was entirely appropriate that the sky darkened and the thunder cracked as I approached the office of the Latvian prime minister in Riga last week. The gloomy atmosphere reflected the dark mood in a small, embattled country of 2.2m people. While business headlines in the rest of the world speak of clearing skies and rays of sunshine, the Baltic states are still in the midst of a howling economic gale.

Despite the region’s small size, the intensifying crisis in the Baltics cannot be treated as a freakish local squall of little concern to outsiders. Bank failures or plunging currencies in the three Baltic nations – Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia – could threaten the fragile prospect of recovery in the rest of Europe. These countries also sit on one of the world’s most sensitive political fault-lines. They are the European Union’s frontier states, bordering Russia.

The economic downturns in the region are shocking. Last week, Lithuania announced that its economy had shrunk by 22.4 per cent, at an annual rate, during the second quarter of 2009. Latvia and Estonia are likely to record similar falls when they announce their figures. Dalia Grybauskaite, the Lithuanian president, told me last week that her country might have to apply to the International Monetary Fund for a loan. Latvia has already trodden that path. Last week it agreed its second loan in eight months from the IMF and the EU.

The remainder of the article can be read here. Please post comments below.

Ever wondered how long it will take for the drug-related violence and chaos in Mexico to spill across into the US? According to some observers, it is already happening on quite a large scale. A Latin American politician recently pointed out to me that last year there were more drug-related kidnappings in Phoenix, Arizona, than in the whole of Colombia. I have checked the news reports and this factoid appears to be true.

According to some reports, the police in Phoenix are worried that the problem will sooner or later spread from the drug-dealing community into the population as a whole. Certainly once grannies start being nabbed on their way to the golf course, you can expect more of a fuss.

Dispatch from Iran: Some Police Soften on Neda’s Day: Steve Clemons posts an email from an anonymous observer in The Washington Note. A protester describes trying to access the grave of the young woman who was killed during Iranian elections and the trouble that ensued.

Pressing Pyongyang On Rights: Roberta Cohen wonders whether a preoccupation with North Korean nukes is leading us to neglect human rights

The World

with Gideon Rachman

About this blog About Gideon Blog guide
Gideon Rachman and his FT colleagues debate international affairs. Read more on the authors.

Gideon became chief foreign affairs columnist for the Financial Times in July 2006. He joined the FT after a 15-year career at The Economist, which included spells as a foreign correspondent in Brussels, Washington and Bangkok. He also edited The Economist’s business and Asia sections.

His particular interests include American foreign policy, the European Union and globalisation
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