Sign up for our daily US politics newsletter here.

Is it time for Hillary Clinton to start panicking?

Two recent polls provide opposing – and seemingly contradictory – responses.

The first, a CNN/ORC national survey, shows Donald Trump topping Clinton 45 per cent to 43 per cent among likely voters. The second, a 50-state poll from the Washington Post and SurveyMonkey, illustrates just how much of a built-in electoral college advantage Clinton has – and even shows her leading in Texas.

 Read more

By Gideon Rachman

Journalism is sometimes said to be the first draft of history. This article is the first draft of a history exam for students graduating in 2066. I have tried to imagine the questions future historians will ask about today’s political events.

Three weeks after president Vladimir Putin accused Ukraine of attempting to launch sabotage missions into the Russian-annexed Crimean peninsula, the all-out Russian invasion that was feared has not materialised.

But Mr Putin has managed to secure one-on-one meetings at this weekend’s G20 summit in Hangzhou with Germany’s Angela Merkel and France’s François Hollande – and may “informally” meet US president Barack Obama. This may have been his aim all along. Read more

Europe’s fraying economic ties with America

Economic ties between Europe and the US took a knock this week when the EU slapped huge back taxes on Apple and several European politicians declared transatlantic trade talks to be effectively dead. Gideon Rachman asks Tony Barber, the FT’s Europe editor, and Shawn Donnan, the FT’s world trade editor, what hopes remain for a successful conclusion to the TTIP talks. Read more

By Gideon Rachman

There was something distinctly presidential about Angela Merkel’s European travels last week. The German chancellor met 15 other EU leaders on a whistle-stop tour of the continent. It is the kind of speed-dating diplomacy that US presidents often undertake, as they build consensus and reassure allies.

 

As we wrap up the week, here is one take-away: ageism is alive and well! At least in the world of campaign politics.For much of the past two weeks, conservative news sites have focused on the status of Hillary Clinton’s health. (Is she prone to seizures? Does she secretly wear a defibrillator?) – conspiracy theories Clinton tried to put to rest on a Monday appearance on the Jimmy Kimmel show.

 Read more

 

You’re a racist! No, you’re a racist! Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton took their bitter battle for the White House deeper into the political trenches on Thursday with duelling speeches in which each accused the other of being racist. Read more

Turkey’s Syrian gamble

Turkey sent tanks into Syria on Wednesday, as part of a major offensive ostensibly against Isis – but also to contain Syrian Kurds. The move follows a recent coup attempt against President Erdogan and a deadly terrorist attack in the southern Turkish town of Gaziantep. Andrew England, the FT’s Middle East editor, speaks with Turkey correspondent Mehul Srivastava and former Turkey correspondent Daniel Dombey.

 

Donald Trump will have an unusual special guest on stage tonight when he holds a campaign rally in Jackson, Mississippi: Nigel Farage, the former leader of the UK Independence Party who along with Boris Johnson spearheaded the populist movement in Britain that led to Brexit. Read more

Hillary Clinton was on late-night television on Tuesday having her pulse checked by chat show host Jimmy Kimmel, as well as forcing open a jar of pickles.

The gags on ABC television were a response to mutterings about Clinton’s health by allies of Donald Trump including former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Earlier this month Trump himself asserted that Clinton “lacks the mental and physical stamina to take on Isis”. Read more

By Gideon Rachman

Two of the great political parties in the west — the Republicans in the US and Labour in the UK — are in a state of near collapse. That, in turn, threatens the health of democracy on both sides of the Atlantic.

Do you hear that leaky faucet? That’s the sound of the never-ending Hillary Clinton email saga, which 77 days out from Election Day continues to bring new revelations.

Today, Judicial Watch, the conservative legal group, revealed that Clinton and her lawyers had failed to release almost 15,000 work-related emails to the FBI. The State department now has one month to appraise those emails, after which it and Judicial Watch must set a timeline for them to be released. Read more

Another one bites the dust. Two months after firing his first campaign manager and two days after reshuffling his senior team, Donald Trump revealed on Friday morning that Paul Manafort, his campaign chairman who had been running the whole operation, ​had resigned. But was the departure a resignation? The evidence ​is unclear but ​​suggests otherwise.

Exhibit A: On Wednesday morning, Manafort told me he was “staying” when I asked if the revamp meant he was out. Read more

Russia and Ukraine: a new crisis?

Russia has been back in the spotlight recently, after President Putin replaced his long-standing chief of staff Sergei Ivanov. Meanwhile, tensions have mounted in eastern Ukraine, prompting fears of a new Russian offensive. Russia is still heavily involved in Syria. Is a new crisis building? Gideon Rachman speaks with Kathrin Hille, the FT’s Moscow bureau chief, and Neil Buckley, Eastern Europe editor.

Sign up to LatAm Viva by email every Friday.

Brazilians like to shrug off the country’s woes by saying that as long as they have football and carnival, everything is fine, or “tudo certo”. Now they have another reason to rejoice: US Olympic swimmers accused of allegedly fabricating a robbery in Rio de Janeiro. They may face charges for lying to officials. Read more

Theresa May, the UK prime minister, says that “Brexit means Brexit”. But when will it actually happen?

The whole question of the timing of Britain’s departure from the EU is now open to question. Britain has still not triggered Article 50, which gives formal notification that the UK intends to leave and fires the starting gun for negotiations. The Sunday Times claimed recently that Article 50 may not be triggered until late next year because of a mixture of administrative chaos in the UK and political uncertainty caused by elections in France and Germany in 2017.

Given that it will then probably take a minimum of two years to negotiate the divorce, that would mean that Britain’s exit from the EU would not happen until the end of 2019. Over at the Independent, however, Andrew Grice makes the case that delaying Brexit this long is not politically feasibleRead more

Sign up for our daily US politics newsletter here.

One day after Donald Trump’s major campaign reshuffle, there is some more big news: for the first time since the general election began, Trump’s campaign is starting to air TV ads in crucial swing states, a sign that Trump is at least in some ways starting to play by the traditional campaign playbook.

On Thursday the Trump campaign started airing ads on TV networks in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, and soon will begin airing ads in Virginia as well.

 Read more

Sign up for our daily US politics newsletter here.

Donald Trump has overhauled his campaign for the second time in two months as he falls further behind Hillary Clinton in the polls. In a move that surprised many people, he tapped Stephen Bannon, a former Goldman Sachs banker who runs the conservative anti-establishment Breitbart News to be chief executive of his campaign. He also promoted Kellyanne Conway, a veteran pollster, t​o campaign manager.

Paul Manafort, the campaign chairman, told the Financial Times that he would remain in place, but some saw the changes as reducing the influence of the man who was tasked at building bridges between Trump and the Republican establishment.

 Read more

A fixture of the Donald Trump rally during the Republican primary was the candidate reading out the many polls that showed him ahead in state after state.

A pair of swing state polls out Tuesday, however, illustrated why Trump no longer spends too much time on the stump dwelling on the horse race. A Washington Post poll of Virginia found him trailing Hillary Clinton by 14 points among registered voters, while a Monmouth University poll of Florida showed Clinton with a nine-point lead. Read more

Donald Trump has made his affinity for both Russia and foreign dictators well known throughout the campaign, so perhaps it was inevitable that someone tied the two together.

Leave it to Joe Biden, who made his debut campaigning for Hillary Clinton on Monday, to make the connection. In a speech in his hometown of Scranton, Pennsylvania, the vice president lambasted Trump’s national security ideas as “not only profoundly wrong, they’re very dangerous and they’re very un-American”. Read more