Undercover Economist: How can I tell if I’ll have a decent pension?

Last week I mused about whether people in general were saving enough for retirement. (The answer: as far as we can tell, most people are.) This week I have decided to take on a far more important question: am I saving enough for retirement?

Apparently this activity is called “retirement planning”, which strikes me as a silly phrase given the imponderables involved.

Saving for retirement is usually posed as a problem of willpower: foolish, impatient people save too little and doom themselves to an old age devoid of Caribbean cruises. The real problem is not lack of willpower but lack of omniscience.

Hip kid that I am, I started my planning by opening up a spreadsheet. The next steps would have been to project the growth rate of my income, monthly savings, the path of inflation, the return on my growing savings pot, and (eventually) the likely annuity rate on retirement.

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