Dear Economist: Loving and losing – is the cost too high?

October 24th, 2009 1:10am

With the imminent passing of my pet rat I am faced with a lot of grief; he has been a great pet and so I will be more saddened by his passing than if he had been a bad one. My question is: is it possible for the cost (the grief from losing a friend/pet/family member) to outweigh the benefit (the joy gained through time spent with them) and so make the purchase of my pet not worth it, as the net benefit would be negative? Would there be a point where you would say: “I don’t want to get involved because I love X so much that I will be destroyed if I lose him?”
Ilka

Dear Ilka,

Your intriguing problem has not, as far as I know, been explored by economists before, although it has been discussed by artists. Your ailing rat puts me in mind of a departed sparrow, mourned in verse by Catullus. Paul Simon expressed the trade-off more directly in his early song “I Am a Rock”: “If I never loved I never would have cried.”

But poetic speculation gets us nowhere. Let’s head straight to the data. Andrew Oswald, professor of economics at Warwick University, provides the following data points to ponder, based on surveys of life-satisfaction. Relative to never having been married, being married is worth 0.38 “points” of life satisfaction on a scale of 1-7. Being separated is worth -0.24, widowed -0.19 and divorced -0.09.

This is not much to go on, but it is better than nothing. If we incautiously interpret these numbers as causal – in fact they are merely correlations – then we could conclude that 20 years of marriage is compensation for up to 40 years of widowhood. Ten years of marriage more than justifies 40 years as a divorcee.

For human marriages, these odds seem pretty good. For a pet rat, less so: the little darlings hit puberty at six weeks and rarely live past three years. Perhaps you should buy a tortoise next time.

Questions to economist@ft.com

Dear Economist: Should a lost glove be added to my ‘deficit’?

August 22nd, 2009 3:25am

My husband and I are following a tight budget, whereby he is using an Excel spreadsheet to plan our gas usage, spending of store card loyalty points, and so on. (I name just two of the 12 columns.) He has also plotted our petrol use on a graph. However, I became somewhat concerned when I lost a glove and its value was inputted into the “deficit” column – aptly titled column 13 – of the spreadsheet. I challenged this, as the glove was singular and therefore half the cost. It was also actually a gift – or two gifts. Are we down £15 (the approximate price of the pair of gloves), down £7.50, up £7.50, or quids in? This has become a sensitive issue in our marriage.
Mrs, soon to be Miss

Dear soon-to-be-Miss,

That the gloves were a gift is no longer important: the question is whether you are worse off for having lost them. And you are.

Nor are you worse off by a mere half-pair of gloves. Your gloves are, in the jargon, perfect or near-perfect complements. This means that the odd glove is worth little, unless you are holding down a career as a Michael Jackson impersonator. Just as important, the missing glove will be difficult to replace. Your husband is therefore quite right to claim that you have, in effect, lost the full pair of gloves.

But your husband’s competence ends there. His “deficit” column makes no sense in a spreadsheet designed to track expenditure. If you buy a replacement pair of gloves (or a single glove – good luck with that) then that is the moment to make a note in your spreadsheet, not before. You may not feel the need to replace them; it is August, after all.

Let’s be honest, though. This isn’t about the gloves, is it? It’s about your husband’s infuriating attempt to control you through a spreadsheet. Tell him either to put it away, or to add column 14: divorce expenses.

Questions to economist@ft.com

Dear Economist: What’s a girl to focus on – looks or brains?

July 25th, 2009 12:22am

My 15-year-old is disinclined to work for her GCSEs, saying her time is better spent preening herself in preparation for assignations with her delightful, diligent, privately educated, moneyed boyfriend. She insists the money spent on nail-painting, hair-colouring and the like is an investment and will be more than repaid when he marries her. Is she deluding herself?
A curious mother

Dear Curious Mother,

Surprising as this may seem in the 21st century, your daughter’s strategy is not unusual. Evidence on speed-dating gathered by the economists Michèle Belot and Marco Francesconi shows that women are attracted by rich men, while men focus more on a woman’s physical appearance. Lena Edlund, another economist, has found that in the areas of her native Sweden where the wealthiest men live, women of prime marriageable age are over-represented.

However, your daughter is only 15; for Edlund, “prime marriageable age” is 25-44. Your daughter is either going to have to get her hooks into this chap unusually early, or she is going to have to keep him on the boil for another decade – a lot of nail-painting.

Not only is she concentrating her investments into a single asset by abandoning her education, but she may even be making her main goal harder to achieve. Belot and Francesconi discovered that a strong social trend towards “assortative mating” means that although educated, high-achieving men are not interested in marrying a rich woman, they do like educated high-achieving women, rather than shallow girls with shiny nails.

Your daughter should learn to work hard and look good at the same time. Not only will it advance her immediate goals, it will also – sadly – stand her in good stead for the rest of her life.

Questions to economist@ft.com

Talk at the Royal Institution

April 2nd, 2009 10:50am

I am speaking at the Royal Institution on Monday 27 April, 7-8.30pm. Details avaiable here.

The Logic of Life: How economics can get you a date

March 22nd, 2009 11:02am

One of the least important but most enjoyable pieces of research reported in “The Logic of Life”, now available on video.
Further reading here.

Talk at Waterstones Gower Street

March 16th, 2009 10:00am

For readers in London:

Find reason in a crazy world: join Tim Harford a.k.a ‘The Undercover Economist’ discusses his newest book…
Tim Harford
The Logic of Life
WATERSTONE’S GOWER STREET
Thursday, 19 March 2009, 6:00PM
Tickets £3/£2 - redeemable against the promoted book on the night. Avalaible from the store.

In his bestselling new book, Undercover Economist,Tim Harford - author/prolific columnist and presenter of Radio 4’s ‘More or Less’ explains how there can be logic behind even the most irrational of behaviour. He will answer some of life’s mysteries including, Why is your boss overpaid? Why do people smoke? For more info or tickets call the store or events@gowerst.watertsones.co.uk.
Further details: 020 7636 1577

In other words, it’s a free talk if you buy the book. Do come and say hello.

The Logic of Life: Why Your Boss is Overpaid

March 13th, 2009 10:57am

I never realised how topical “Why Your Boss is Overpaid” was going to become when I wrote the chapter. Now I’ve made a video about one of the ideas.
Further reading here.

The Logic of Life: Racial Segregation

March 6th, 2009 2:55pm

I’ve been wanting to make a video explaining Thomas Schelling’s model of racial segregation for a long time. Here it is!

More about Thomas Schelling here in my “Lunch with the FT” piece shortly after he won the Nobel prize.

The Logic of Life, UK paperback

February 27th, 2009 1:22pm

The Logic of LifeA little bird tells me that the paperback of The Logic of Life is now on the front table in Borders in the UK. Official publication date is Thursday 5th March, but don’t feel you have to wait! Do please consider buying a copy.

The Logic of Life in paperback

February 10th, 2009 8:26am

Price-sensitive lovers of economics books may want to know that the paperback of “The Logic of Life” is now out in the US. (In the UK, one more month to wait.) You can buy it here; you can read discerning reviews from the New York Times, the Economist, and many others here - people of taste, all.

The book has been interpreted as the antithesis of Nudge or Predictably Irrational, an anti-behavioural-economics book, but it isn’t really that. It’s really a product of my love affair with economics, showing how it can usefully be applied to crime, marriage, poker and much else. Thumbing through the pages of the paperback reminds me how much I loved writing the book, so I’m glad that the collected book reviewers of America enjoyed reading it.