Why Gordon is wrong about the housing boom

Gordon Brown may come to regret today’s boast – in today’s prime minister’s questions – that Britain has "more homeowners than ever before".

Newcomers to the market are more exposed than anyone else if and when prices fall; which looks more and more likely. Especially now that banks are cutting back mortgage lending in the wake of the credit crunch.

The PM is still maintaining that circumstances are totally different to the early 90s, when interest rates were 11 per cent.

He is ignoring the fact that we’ve all borrowed far more this time to take account of the fact that debt is cheap. House prices have nearly tripled since the last crash. The key ratio – mortgage repayments as a proportion of income – is at its highest for over a decade and for many people will leap further this year as recent rate rises kick in.

Mr Brown tried to shrug off a question from Vince Cable, Lib Dem Treasury spokesman, asking whether the government had been "complacent" about the risks to the economy from the housing bubble. He may not be able to ignore it much longer.

Westminster blog

on the UK political scene

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Jim Pickard and Kiran Stacey, FT Westminster correspondents, share the latest news and analysis on the UK's political scene.

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Contact the Westminster blog team: Jim Pickard, Kiran Stacey, Nicholas Timmins, Elizabeth Rigby and Helen Warrell.

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The authors

Jim Pickard joined the lobby team in January 2008. He has been at the Financial Times since 1999 as a regional correspondent, assistant UK news editor and property correspondent.

Kiran Stacey is an FT political correspondent, having joined the lobby in 2011. He started at the FT as a graduate trainee in 2008, working on desks including UK companies and US equity markets before taking over the FT's Energy Source blog.

Contributors

Elizabeth Rigby, the FT's chief political correspondent, joined the lobby team in September 2010. Elizabeth has worked at the FT for more than a decade and was most recently its consumer industries editor.

Helen Warrell is the FT's UK reporter, covering home affairs, crime and policing. She joined the FT in 2008 and has spent time as a reporter in the Brussels bureau and more recently, editing the paper's Asia coverage on the world news desk.

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