Monthly Archives: March 2009

Jim Pickard

I blogged back in February predicting a freeze in ministers’ pay – (‘I would be amazed if the PM doesn’t repeat this trick to convey the message: “We feel your pain”‘) – an event which finally happened yesterday.

But if the PM thinks this will take the heat off MPs he’s much mistaken.

1] Other MPs are still taking a 2.3 per cent pay rise. That may sound feeble but it’s still more than many other public sector workers are getting.

2] The MPs expenses story just keeps on rolling, with Jacqui Smith’s unfortunate video expenses claim only the first in a likely wave of detailed revelations. Commons’ authorities are trying to hunt down the person who is supposedly selling a disc with all the expenses to the press; asking price £300,000.

Some newspapers are failing to distinguish between expenses and staff pay, which makes up the bulk of allowances of up to £187,000 a year. (eg Daily Mirror: “They are all at it: Gravy train MPs rake in £144,1175 expenses each). Why ruin a good story with such nuances?

3] It’s emerged today that the taxpayer contribution to MPs rock-solid pensions has gone up as actuaries increase their life expectancy assumptions for honourable members.

Given the metaphorical lynch mob now surrounding the Commons the number-crunchers may be wrong.

UPDATE

The external body which monitors this stuff announced today that it would bring forward a broad investigation into MPs’ allowances. “It is now obvious that this piece of work needs to start as soon as possible,” said Sir Christopher Kelly, chairman of the Committee on Standards in Public Life. “The situation has changed quite dramatically over the last few months”.

The committee is switching its attention from another review – into local authorities – and beginning its investigation now; instead of the autumn. Not hard to imagine that it was under pressure from Downing St to move faster.

Jim Pickard

The Guardian picked up this morning on our blog on Baroness Hooper failing to mention her directorship at Barclays while defending tax havens in a Lord debate last week.

It’s taken a week to get hold of the baroness but we finally spoke at 11pm last night. Hooper explained why she had not mentioned that she was chair of the advisory committee for Barclays European Infrastructure Fund.

“I don’t think it had any relevance to the debate so…it is a declared interest in any event, that said I don’t think there is any problem with that,” she said.

The obvious relevance, of course, is that Barclays is fighting accusations that it has been running a vast tax avoidance unit. (Although I should emphasise the Baroness has nothing to do with it directly).

Vince-mania has reached shocking new levels. The economic saint moonlighting as the Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesman has parlayed his way into a new gig: the theatre.

For a ticket price of just £18.50, Vince-ettes can spend an evening with their hero at the Yvonne Arnaud theatre in Guildford. Apparently seats are selling out fast. A nice man at the box office told me the centre stalls have already gone. Never did I think there could be a profit making business out of charging people to listen to Lib Dems. Here’s the ad.

Ever wondered what the IMF would demand from Britain? Simon Johnson, the former IMF chief economist, offers a good guide to an organisation that “specializes in telling its clients what they don’t want to hear”. His piece in the Atlantic runs through a typical IMF solution for the US, but most of the points apply to the UK too. Here’s the nub of his argument, which would be painful reading for Gordon Brown and “oligarchs” in the City.

Looking just at the financial crisis (and leaving aside some problems of the larger economy), we face at least two major, interrelated problems. The first is a desperately ill banking sector that threatens to choke off any incipient recovery that the fiscal stimulus might generate. The second is a political balance of power that gives the financial sector a veto over public policy, even as that sector loses popular support.

Big banks, it seems, have only gained political strength since the crisis began. And this is not surprising. With the financial system so fragile, the damage that a major bank failure could cause—Lehman was small relative to Citigroup or Bank of America—is much greater than it would be during ordinary times. The banks have been exploiting this fear as they wring favorable deals out of Washington….

The challenges the United States faces are familiar territory to the people at the IMF. If you hid the name of the country and just showed them the numbers, there is no doubt what old IMF hands would say: nationalize troubled banks and break them up as necessary.

He goes on to recommend that the big banks that helped lead the economy to ruin are broken up.

The second problem the U.S. faces—the power of the oligarchy—is just as important as the immediate crisis of lending. And the advice from the IMF on this front would again be simple: break the oligarchy.

Oversize institutions disproportionately influence public policy; the major banks we have today draw much of their power from being too big to fail. Nationalization and re-privatization would not change that; while the replacement of the bank executives who got us into this crisis would be just and sensible, ultimately, the swapping-out of one set of powerful managers for another would change only the names of the oligarchs.

If you want to see a critical response to the article, Dani Rodrik makes some convincing points.

Jim Pickard

Kevin Coyne, north-west regional official for Unite, was today suspended by the union’s hierarchy. As were two other officials.

Coyne was one of four people who stood against Derek Simpson, head of the Amicus wing of Unite, in a recent leadership challenge. Simpson won – but with only 38 per cent of the vote (see past FT Westminster blogs such as this, this and this).

Here are the full details of the story.

Jim Pickard

It’s normal practice in Parliamentary debates to declare any interests which could be relevant.

During a debate on tax avoidance yesterday, Baroness Hooper – a Tory peer – made sure she mentioned her interest as vice-chairman of the Overseas Territories All-Party Parliamentary Group.

What she didn’t mention is that she is also paid by Barclays (as chair of the advisory committee for Barclays European Infrastructure Fund).

Why is this relevant? Because, as Lord Oakeshott pointed out in the same debate, “Documents leaked to the Liberal Democrats…appear to detail systematic tax avoidance on a grand scale by Barclays”.

The documents in question have been injuncted.

So what did Hooper have to say about the overseas tax havens?

– prompting Lord Myners (no stranger to offshore havens) accusing her of “veering towards her being an apologist”?

UPDATE: Mea culpa. Myners actually used the phrase “apologist” in respect of another Tory peer, Baroness Noakes – although Baroness Hooper assures me: “I’m certainly an apologist for overseas territories”.

*

There is no doubt that successive governments have encouraged the overseas territories to be self-sufficient. A number of them have developed highly efficient and successful financial services, based on international best practice…

My final general point is to emphasise, as did the noble Lord, Lord Wallace, the distinction between tax avoidance and tax evasion. The former is legal, the latter a crime…

Jim Pickard

A meeting between Gordon Brown and Pele, the Brazilian soccer legend, was supposed to be taking place today.

(Brown touched down in Brazil today as the latest leg of his hectic Strasbourg/New York/Brazil/Chile trip).

The word from 10 Downing St this morning seemed to be that the Pele event was no longer happening. Not clear yet how or why. No doubt the prime minister, a keen football fan, will be disgruntled.

UPDATE

Downing St point out that they never said a meeting was agreed. Instead it was only a speculative report in the Evening Standard. Therefore I’m wrong to say it was “no longer happening”. Fair enough.

Another government person points out: “It was never said that we were seeing Pele. His schedule meant it wasn’t possible. But Pele knows Gordon is in town and has sent him his best wishes and even flowers so where’s the snub?”

Okay, okay, I get it.

Jim Pickard

We pointed out yesterday that the uncovered gilt auction was troubling if not – yet – the end of the world.

The FT’s resident economics guru Chris Giles has a flabbergasting explanation of the scale of the debt the government is raising in the next two years: £350bn.

That is more debt bequeathed to its successor than the total borrowed by successive rulers and governments of Britain between 1691 and 1997, the year Labour was elected.”

To put this in perspective: Charles the Second (pictured) died in 1685.


Jim Pickard

Stern words today from the Audit Commission about the 127 councils who stuck £954m in Icelandic banks which subsequently collapsed.

Singled out for the wooden spoon are the seven which put £32.8m in Reykjavik(pictured) in early October – in the week after the ratings agencies had downgraded the Icelandic banks and one, Glitnir, had already been nationalised on September 29.

Here is the role of shame:

London Borough of Havering £2m
Kent County Council £3.3m
Redcar and Cleveland Borough Council £4m
Restormel Borough Council £3m
Bridgnorth District Council £1m
Kent County Council (again) £5m
South Yorkshire Pensions Authority £10m
North East Lincolnshire Council £3m
North East Lincolnshire Council (again) £1.5m

The report says: “In some cases, a contractual agreement to place the deposit may have been made before 30 September.”

In defence of the local authorities, their savings in Icelandic banks did drop from £2bn at the start of 2008 to the £953m when the Reykjavik banks imploded.

For the full report read here.

Regular readers of this column may remember which public finances watchdog was embarrassed by the Icelandic saga because it, too, had £10m placed there. That’s right: the Audit Commission.

One more Tory MEP is throwing a hissy-fit over David Cameron’s decision to leave the European Peoples Party, the mainstream group in the European parliament.

This report quotes Caroline Jackson, who has been an MEP since 1984, as saying:

“Pulling out of the EPP was ridiculous, is a serious mistake and I am minded to leave the party”

She goes on:

“It was a ridiculous decision for another reason and that is that it will be very difficult for the Tories to form another group. The fact is that they will be left with the odds and sods of Eastern European political parties.”

Like her colleague Christopher Beazley, she is giving up her seat before the June European elections. Are there any more retiring MEPs out there who want to have sound off?

Jim Pickard

Labour love to talk about the environment and housing – and the ecotown project combines both in a single grandiose project.

Even now, with the property industry in meltdown, no minister will admit that Gordon Brown’s cherished idea is heading for the grave.

I wrote this morning that a report by the DCLG itself admits that several of the projects would need massive public subsidies (tens of millions of pounds) to go ahead. On others, the maths is uncertain. Only three of the last eight (from 57 proposals and a shortlist of 15) are deemed to be definitely viable.

A flak from DCLG rang this morning to point out that I’d ignored another three schemes which weren’t on the shortlist but have been added to the list. Apologies, the relevant sentence was cut from the story by a sub-editor.

In fact the reality could be even worse than the government believes.

Jim Pickard

Enemies of Harriet Harman – I’m told they exist – will take delight from her slips at PMQs just now.

First there was an Austin Powers moment when she told the House of Commons that the government had helped….wait for it….90 businesses. Amid ripples of laughter, she clarified this to the real figure, 90,000.

Second she referred to UKFI, the arms-length body which controls the nationalised banks, as UKIA.

And was I the only person who picked up on her description of those who will benefit from the Tory inheritance tax cut as the “super-rich“? If this is people whose estate is worth more than £700,000, doesn’t it include lots of Labour MPs?

***

More seriously the Tories may want to re-examine their IHT policy (lifting the threshold to £1m). A tax cut which looked wildly popular during the boom times does not look so cunning during a recession.

Westminster blog

on the UK political scene

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Jim Pickard and Kiran Stacey, FT Westminster correspondents, share the latest news and analysis on the UK's political scene.

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All posts are published in UK time.

Contact the Westminster blog team: Jim Pickard, Kiran Stacey, Nicholas Timmins, Elizabeth Rigby and Helen Warrell.

The illustrations of Jim and Kiran are by Nick Hardcastle.

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The authors

Jim Pickard joined the lobby team in January 2008. He has been at the Financial Times since 1999 as a regional correspondent, assistant UK news editor and property correspondent.

Kiran Stacey is an FT political correspondent, having joined the lobby in 2011. He started at the FT as a graduate trainee in 2008, working on desks including UK companies and US equity markets before taking over the FT's Energy Source blog.

Contributors

Elizabeth Rigby, the FT's chief political correspondent, joined the lobby team in September 2010. Elizabeth has worked at the FT for more than a decade and was most recently its consumer industries editor.

Helen Warrell is the FT's UK reporter, covering home affairs, crime and policing. She joined the FT in 2008 and has spent time as a reporter in the Brussels bureau and more recently, editing the paper's Asia coverage on the world news desk.

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