Cameron and the Zagreb Zigzag

November 3rd, 2009 7:08pm

David Cameron will tomorrow raise the bugle to his lips and sound the retreat on the Lisbon treaty referendum. But he’ll tell his troops that they will fight another day as he pledges to repatriate powers. One thing to look out for is when he plans to trigger a formal re-negotiation and how. We’ve had a Cameron U-turn on the referendum — watch out for a  Zagreb zigzag on repatriation.

Some European diplomats think that Cameron is a pragmatic chap who has realised he cannot spend his first six months trying to reopen Lisbon. It would overshadow his fledgling government and could waste precious political capital, particularly if other European leaders ignore his pleas. (Remember that 14 member states need to support Cameron to even start renegotiation talks, while any changes require unanimity.)

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Klaus is close

November 3rd, 2009 11:05am

The Czech constitutional court has cleared the Lisbon Treaty, as my colleague in Warsaw reports here.

Klaus - the last man standing between David Cameron and Lisbon’s ratification - could now sign the treaty within a month. Now it’s just a waiting game for Cameron to drop his promised referendum on Lisbon, a pledge which was always going to be difficult to maintain.

Jean Eaglesham writes here that: “David Cameron is poised to rule out a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty….an announcement would come ‘very soon’.”

Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg answer questions on diversity

October 20th, 2009 11:39am

Brown, Cameron, and Clegg are answering questions - although separately - on diversity in parliament.

Further Reading:

Live Guardian Blog of the Speaker’s Conference

Watch the conference at the parliament website

Nick Robinson on the need for debate

Gordon Brown has said gay MPs and peers should to be allowed to hold civil partnership ceremonies inside the Palace of Westminster.

Financial pain - it’s not over yet

October 14th, 2009 6:13pm

Within the Westminster world there is a growing feeling that the financial crisis is over. Spring has sprung, daffodils are blooming, the stock market has (partially) recovered, unemployment figures are not as bad as expected - etc.

But many analysts are warning that the current recovery is almost entirely down to the actions of central government (QE, low interest rates) which will at some point have to unwind.

There is also the commercial property crash. The price of offices and shops may sound esoteric if not boring - but so did “sub-prime”, once upon a time.

My colleagues at Alphaville have done a great job of highlighting the risk to banks from the sector.

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An essential compendium of Legg puns

October 13th, 2009 10:39am

It will cost us an arm and a Legg

You’re pulling my Legg

Legg it

They’ve got Legg on their faces

They don’t have a Legg to stand on (Yes, Tony Wright MP did say this on Newsnight.)

Legg over

This story has Leggs

Putting all your Leggs in one basket

The first Legg of a long race

Shake a Legg

Dare we ask for more?

FT video: Analysis of David Cameron’s speech

October 8th, 2009 6:24pm

George Parker, FT political editor, analyses David Cameron’s last conference speech before the general election.

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FT video: What does business make of the conference?

October 8th, 2009 6:17pm

Brian Groom, FT business editor, assesses the reaction of business to the conference after a year of financial crisis.

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FT video: Are voters abandoning Labour in Bury North?

October 8th, 2009 11:58am

Jim Pickard, FT political correspondent, travelled to marginal Labour seat Bury North near Manchester to see how much of a chance the Tories have.  Follow the link below to watch the video.

Is David Cameron still a “green”?

October 7th, 2009 5:15pm

The environmental agenda was a key part of Cameron’s attempt to revive the Tory brand several years ago when he became party leader. Highlighting the impact of climate change on the Arctic went hand in hand with his broader call to let more “sunshine” into the Conservatives.

Blue + green = nice: that was the equation. But are cracks appearing in the stance?

Some in the environmental movement are concerned that the promises may not translate into a truly green reality. Andy Atkins, executive director at Friends of the Earth, said yesterday: “We should be getting far more detailed, coherent and ambitious (environmental) policy so close to a general election.”

One source has told me that Boris Johnson has slashed the number of people working in the GLA’s climate team - although I need to confirm his claim that the total personnel has fallen from 49 to 10 (update here later I hope).

UPDATE - it’s actually fallen from 49 to 25. The GLA have sent me an email telling me how many trees Boris is going to plant in London (10,000). It says: “We are confident that we can deliver more services (from City Hall and across the GLA group) for less to improve London’s environment.”

Meanwhile another green said there was a wider frustration that many of the delivery mechanisms crucial for fighting climate change were not in favour with the Tories. For example:

1] They are determined to slash regulation, especially from Brussels. Ken Clarke’s new promise to set up an anti-red tape “star chamber” - which will remove one new rule for every new one created - is a concern among the greens.

2] Regional targets. The Tories have promised to remove Labour’s attempt to push climate change targets down from Whitehall through the regions via a target system. Weak though it was, it was seen as a step in the right direction. It just doesn’t fit into the wider Conservative agenda of localism.

3] Money. When public finances are tight and Whitehall is about to be slashed, will the environment be among the priorities for the surviving civil servants?

4] Green taxes. Favoured by environmentalists - but feared by politicians. Will Osborne risk enraging Middle England further by tilting his inevitable tax increases away from the petroleum-based economy? It looks doubtful.

So how do they reach any green targets without the machinery to push them through?

The greens are grateful that Cameron shifted his party in their direction for a few years, helping to push through favourable legislation such as the feed-in tariff for energy. I suspect (people haven’t told me this explicitly) they now fear that he will abandon them once in power.

Will tomorrow’s speech by Cam have a major green element - or anything beyond broad brush strokes? Let’s wait and see.

The Tory allies in Latvia: the truth

October 7th, 2009 10:50am

The Board of Deputies of British Jews last night wrote to the Tories raising new questions about their allies in Poland and Latvia. But the letter was angrily dismissed by the Conservatives, who claimed the board had been swayed by “politically motivated allegations”.

The Latvian controversy (which was inflamed last week by David Miliband) centres around an annual memorial event for fallen soldiers from World War 2 - when many Latvians were conscripted by the Germans. Enemies of the Tories have spun this as some kind of Nazi-glorifying event and criticised Roberts Zile - leader of their Latvian allies - for attending it.

But we asked our Scandinavian correspondent, Andrew Ward, to give a more balanced view. This is what he wrote:

“Britain’s foreign secretary portrayed Latvia’s LNNK — the Fatherland and Freedom party — as right-wing extremists who honoured the Nazi SS.
In fact, the party, while right-wing and nationalistic, is firmly within Latvia’s political mainstream and a member of the five-party coalition government currently battling to pull the country out of economic crisis.
It has its roots in the anti-Soviet independence movement of the late 1980s and is the only Latvian party to have been represented in every parliament since the first post-cold war elections in 1993.

Britain’s Labour party has sought to embarrass the Conservative opposition, an ally of the LNNK in the European parliament, by highlighting the LNNK’s involvement in annual marches to commemorate the SS.
Daunis Auers, political scientist at the University of Latvia, said members of other parties had also taken part, although the marches had fizzled in recent years.
The event was a focal point for the Latvian nationalist movement to celebrate resistance against the Soviet Union rather than to honour Nazism, he added.
Latvian society is sharply divided between ethnic Latvians and ethnic Russians. “They each have their own interpretations of history,” said Mr Auers.
The dispute has received relatively little attention in the Latvian media – in part because the country is preoccupied with its own political drama this week as the government struggles to keep its IMF rescue programme on track. But Mr Auers said it had sparked debate in the blogosphere, with nationalists accusing Britons of slurring Latvia and misunderstanding the country’s history.”

There is also a very fair piece with more detail in today’s Guardian.