Category: Labour

Jim Pickard

Most of the attention on the number of candidates for the May 5 local elections has centred on the relative numbers compared to 2007. The Lib Dems are contesting 59.2 per cent (down from 63.6 per cent), the Tories are fighting 93.7 per cent (up from 88.7 per cent) and Labour has candidates for 72.1 per cent (up from 60.5 per cent).

Clearly this narrative conveys a sense of momentum for Labour in particular, representing a rise of a fifth in its army of candidates.

Bear in mind though that the figure is still six points lower than 1999, when the party fought in 77.9 per cent of wards.

Jim Pickard

The chief political officer of Unite is of less significance now that Charlie Whelan has left and Labour is out of power. But it is worth recording who has just been picked for the job; former London political officer Adrian Weir. Unlike Whelan he will not report directly to Len McCluskey, the general secretary. Instead new chief of staff, Andy Murray (who also chairs the Stop the War Coalition) is increasingly seen as the power behind the throne at Britain’s biggest union.

Unite had been talking to Joe Irvin, former political secretary to Gordon Brown, about replacing Whelan, as I reported last autumn. But apparently Murray was not keen on this idea.

Irvin’s name is now cropping up again, this time has a contender to be the next general secretary of the Labour party itself. But this seems wide of the mark. Ray Collins, who has done more than two years in the post, has just entered the House of Lords and a successor will be picked by the summer. Support seems to be coalescing around Iain McNicol, the highly capable political secretary of the GMB. Potential challengers should be aware that the softly-spoken McNicol (not pictured) is a black belt in karate.

UPDATE: The name of Roy Kennedy, former director of finance for Labour – and now a peer – has also come up, albeit less convincingly.

Lord Mandelson has never been one to shy away from defending doomed politicians.

But it was still a surprise to see him riding to the support of reformers within the Mubarak regime — not least the president’s son Gamal.

In a fascinating letter to the FT, Mandelson argues that it is too “simplistic” to cast Gamal Mubarak as the “putative beneficiary of a nepotistic transfer of family power, the continuation of ‘tyranny’ with a change of faces at the top”.

He warns that this diverts attention from the hidebound military and intelligence service figures who are really exercising control behind the scenes.

These security forces, he says, have been engaged in a tug of war with Gamal — a man who “has been the leading voice in favour of change within the government and the ruling party”.

An “orderly transition” (did he ever use that phrase about Gordon Brown?) should involve forging an alliance between secular opposition figures and reformers like Gamal in the government, he adds.

The letter is in full below. Well worth a read. I’m not sure how much support it would garner on the streets of Cairo. But it certainly shows that Mandelson still has an appetite for unpopular causes.

Jim Pickard

My colleague Sue Cameron reveals that David Miliband was at a recent event where he said that many Labour types are optimistic that the current government will only last for a single parliament: “It’s what makes some of us seek to lead the party,” he said. The tense is rather revealing, as Sue points out in her must-read weekly column.

Miliband then asked Lord Healey if he thought there were parallels with Heath’s brief parliament in the 1970s: “No,” was the unwelcome response.

Jim Pickard

Plenty of coverage around today of the Independent’s story about Miliband’s plans to “sever big money ties with unions”. I predicted a week ago that the Labour leader was planning a symbolic gesture to show that he was not in hoc to the union barons; perhaps this is it?

Yet the reaction to the Indie story has got ahead of itself in terms of what it all means.

Firstly, Labour has today denied point blank the claim that Miliband wants to give 25 per cent of votes in future leadership elections to members of the public – thus reducing the union vote from 33 per cent to 25 per cent. I’m told this is just an idea in the ether and not one that Ed M backs.

Secondly, reducing a donation cap to £500 sounds radical. It sould stop unions making big one-off donations to fund election campaigns. But under Miliband’s suggestion – put forward to the committee on standards in public life – unions would still every year give millions of pounds in aggregate from millions of members each paying £500. Labour would not bow to Tory demands for an “opt in” rather than an “opt out” clause on the unions’ political funds.

Meanwhile under a £500 cap the Tories would see a massive slump in funding given that currently their donations tend to be in the thousands, tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands from individual backers. For that reason they are likely to argue for a higher cap – which Miliband may then reject.

While taking the credit for the seemingly ultra-democratic £500 cap idea.  

Party funding talks under Sir Hayden Phillips foundered in 2007 for precisely these reasons; don’t expect an imminent solution. (The obvious one, greater party funding – which Sir Hayden himself backs – remains unpalatable to the public).

Jim Pickard

Mr MacShane, the former Europe minister, was reported to the police today after questions over his office expenses. The decision was taken by the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards and endorsed by the Standards and Privileges Committee.

The claims are understood to involve an office based in the garage of the Rotherham MP’s Yorkshire home and invoices from the European Policy Institute for “research and translation”. The EPI is controlled by his brother.

Jim Pickard

David Miliband’s advisers are confirming that he is leaving Manchester and is heading back to London. That is surely not the behaviour of a politician who is about to say he will run for the shadow cabinet and unite behind his brother. I could still be wrong – but it seems increasingly likely that he will quit frontline politics.

A key moment today, picked up by Channel 4, was when Ed Miliband criticised the Iraq invasion. David, stony-faced, refused to clap. He turned to Harriet Harman, politely applauding next to him, and whispered:

“You voted for it. Why are you clapping?”

She replied: “I am clapping because, as you know, I am supporting him.”

This follows yesterday’s moment when the brothers spoke after David’s triumphant speech. A lip-reader employed by Channel 4 (again) is sure that the younger brother said it was a very good speech: “I’ll be honest I thought it would be three or four minutes,” Ed said.

Your hosts are Jim Pickard (JP) Alex Barker (AB) and Beth Rigby (BR)

15.37 AB A few concluding points. This probably did enough for Ed’s team to be satisfied — it was a decent performance from a extremely difficult hand. It slowly won over the audience and by the end they were behind him. But it did seem as if they were willing him on, rather than being gripped by a compelling story. It certainly lacked the honesty that he said was important in politics. Most of the difficult issues were glided over. One passage stood out on education: Ed praised comprehensives but then pointed to an example of a poorly performing school that had been taken over and improved. Now, if you’re honestly making that point, why not mention the fact that is was probably an academy? Why miss out the name, if you are being straight with this Labour audience?

15:28 JP Time to wrap up. The judgment here – and from senior colleagues at the FT – was that it was a 6/10 speech at best. “At least he didn’t bomb,” says one. Ed started slowly with some bad anecdotes. There was no single narrative thread; he was too concerned to tick off a variety of subjects. It’s not clear where the heart of the speech lay – the only new line was his call to unions not to go on strike. Only at the end did his rhetoric pick up, with a rousing finale. Some colleagues thought that the anecdotes about his immigrant background was moving; others were not sure that it convinced. And maybe the whole thing was too long. Neither a failure nor a triumph.

15.25 AB One of the best applause lines in the speech was the Red Ed bit. But I’m wondering whether this was wise. Running through a list of insults — Red Ed, Wallace out of Wallace and Gromit, Forest Gump — and then saying “come off it” is not necessarily the best idea. It does a great favour to the hostile media. As most politicians are told when they start out in the business, the first rule of interviews is never to repeat a question, even if you want to say it is absurd. It gives people the quote they need. (JP Also, don’t admit that you sometimes find politics ‘depressing’. Your job is to inspire and lead.)

Jim yesterday spotted the extraordinary number of spoiled ballots among the trade unions and affiliated organisations. More than 36,000 ballots were wasted — about 14.6 per cent of the votes cast in this section of the electoral college. The reason is that the voters simply failed to tick a box saying they supported Labour.

An absurd rule, I know. But did it make a difference? There was talk last night among some of the Ed Miliband camp suggesting this was an important factor. One aide claimed the campaign had managed to reduce the spoiled ballot rate in the unions backing their man. The ground campaign apparently handed out thousands of “how to vote” cards making clear that they vote wouldn’t count unless they ticked the box at the end. One Ed aide claimed the effort won them up to 6,000 extra votes. If true, it made a big difference to the result. Was it another Florida hanging-chad moment?

As Jim just pointed out, there were not many turncoats among MPs. Most voted the way they said they would.

But some MPs still managed to do wonders for their political careers by ranking the new leader Ed Miliband in fourth or fifth place.

They should all stand up and take a bow.

The runners up for the career enhancement award — who put Ed as the fourth choice — include: Hazel Blears, Chris Bryant, Derek Twigg, Mark Tami, Ian Austin, Gerry Sutcliffe, Mike Gapes, David Lammy, and Tom Clarke.

But the clear, hands-down winner is the legendary Paul Flynn, an MP who has never let his career stand in the way of his opinions. He put Ed down in fifth place.

Jim Pickard

Crucial to the Ed Miliband camp’s narrative was the idea that the YouGov poll in early September – which for the first time put him ahead of David, albeit by only 51:49 – gave him the psychological edge. The theory was that ambitious MPs in the elder brother’s camp would jump ship in order to win promotion, as we reported at the time.

This was wrong. Ultimately only one MP quit the David Miliband camp in the last week or two: Chris Evans, MP for Islwyn. And even then it was not to join the Mili-E bandwaggon: he decided to back Ed Balls, whose political reputation – if not his campaign – had been picking up.

Perhaps politicians are rather less principled than some might think. Or they were restrained by the knowledge that hacks such as myself would be poring through sheets of paper (from this website) trying to spot the “turncoats”?

Jim Pickard

There are those who argue that Lord Mandelson’s intervention on behalf of David Miliband was counter-productive given his associations with the old New Labour project. Mandelson’s centre-ground modernising agenda is not to the taste of either unions or more radical activists.

Only last week he said that the manifesto, authored by Ed Miliband, failed to address the concerns of anyone other than natural Labour supporters.

Yet one of Ed’s backers in the PLP told me subsequently that the peer’s criticism was welcome as it reinforced Ed’s image as a break with the past and burnished his leftwing credentials.

Now it transpires that the former business secretary will not be attending conference in Manchester this week. It seems rather surprising given that his speech last year was one of the high points of the gathering, going down a storm in the Brighton conference hall.

Westminster blog

on the UK political scene

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Jim Pickard and Kiran Stacey, FT Westminster correspondents, share the latest news and analysis on the UK's political scene.

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Contact the Westminster blog team: Jim Pickard, Kiran Stacey, Nicholas Timmins, Elizabeth Rigby and Helen Warrell.

The illustrations of Jim and Kiran are by Nick Hardcastle.

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The authors

Jim Pickard joined the lobby team in January 2008. He has been at the Financial Times since 1999 as a regional correspondent, assistant UK news editor and property correspondent.

Kiran Stacey is an FT political correspondent, having joined the lobby in 2011. He started at the FT as a graduate trainee in 2008, working on desks including UK companies and US equity markets before taking over the FT's Energy Source blog.

Contributors

Elizabeth Rigby, the FT's chief political correspondent, joined the lobby team in September 2010. Elizabeth has worked at the FT for more than a decade and was most recently its consumer industries editor.

Helen Warrell is the FT's UK reporter, covering home affairs, crime and policing. She joined the FT in 2008 and has spent time as a reporter in the Brussels bureau and more recently, editing the paper's Asia coverage on the world news desk.

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